Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Nashvilletwin

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    689

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Tutorials & Help

Videos

2023 Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Free Agent & Trade Rumors

Guides & Resources

Minnesota Twins Players Project

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Nashvilletwin

  1. Nashvilletwin
    I’ll take 140 innings and a sub 4.00 ERA right now and be perfectly happy. There will be some days when he is superb and a few clunkers for sure. But that would be a great season from Mahle. Anything better than that is gravy; however, if pressed, I’d probably bet the under. Seriously, given the arm issues late last season, should we realistically expect any more than that through the course of an entire season? Hopefully that type of season will not qualify as the Twins 2023 “Ace” - Ryan, and both Gray and Maeda if healthy, should outperform that.
  2. Nashvilletwin
    Maybe I’m just a worrier. But I’m worried about all four aspects of the 2023 Twins - and, if we sign Correa, the position player lineup is the least of those worries. In order: 1. Starting staff - sorry, but we have two decent starters on whom we can reasonably rely (and one of them, Gray, should not be expected to be healthy throughout the season). Might be able to get through the year on depth, but a true inning eating #3 would be a huge hedge on Mahle, Maeda, and Ober. 2. Relief staff - Four or five fairly reliable one inning guys. Lopez is a big if. With a two times through the order starter strategy, our depth needs augmenting by at least two/three solid additions. 3. Coaching staff - Rocco has not proven he and his staff can develop young talent or keep the players on the field. In addition, his in game decision making needs to be a net 5 wins vs. a net 5 losses over the season (can’t back up that stat with data, but it feels like about that). 4. Sign Correa and a catcher - no worries then.
  3. Nashvilletwin
    Even if Lewis is healthy you still pay up for Correa. No brainer. 2024 starting infield is Lewis (3B), Correa (SS), Lee (2B), Arraez (1B) and Miranda (DH and primary utility infielder). Those five players should essentially be in the lineup every day. That infield has decent defense, a good mix of hitting for power, average and OBP, and great interchangeability/flexibility. Oh, and even with Correa and Arraez, it’s very affordable.
  4. Nashvilletwin
    It’s an interesting bidding situation. On one hand you have four sellers. If there are five or more buyers willing to purchase any of the four (even not necessarily at the same price), and it appears there are, then it most likely will maximise the value of the last seller to wait until the end. From a buyer’s perspective, you may want to overpay slightly early in the process so as to avoid having to overpay if it appears you may get shut out in the musical chairs at the end (and particularly if you are marginally more budget conscious than the other bidders), It behooves the Twins to slightly over pay early in the process for their top target. For Boras, he very possibly may find himself in a conflicted situation in that the interests of each of his clients are not necessarily aligned - not that he cares, However, if one, on the margin, would prefer one buyer over the others, his best strategy as the agent for two sellers is to get one deal done early at a slight over pay with the seller with a preference and then build greater value as the sellers diminish for his second client.
  5. Nashvilletwin
    Innings Pitched by Starter Projection - Most to Least Ryan (solid, healthy season upcoming) FA/Trade (we need an innings eater SP) Gray (solid season with one or two IL stints) Maeda (gets ramped up but he’s had his surgery) Ober (in and out as the #5) Mahle (oft injured - very sad) Winder (spot starter out of the pen) Varland (call up starter) SWR (call up starter) Paddack. (DNP)
  6. Nashvilletwin
    I’m actually way more worried about Mahle than Maeda; Kenta has had his surgery. Sorry to be Debbie Downer, but in terms of innings pitched in 2023, there is a strong chance Maeda>Mahle. Winder, Varland and SWR need their chance this year. And they will get it. But none of those young guys is an every fifth day guy looking at 30+ starts. In fact, only Gray and Ryan out of our pencilled in starting five (with Mahle, Maeda and Ober) could be expected to play that role and Gray really doesn’t have the history. Therefore, 1. Maeda is absolutely a starter until a) the rotation proves it’s durability and/or b) Kenta doesn’t perform; and 2. the Twins absolutely need to add a durable, inning eating #2-4 SP.
  7. Nashvilletwin
    Hope Mahle gets healthy and contributes - CES and Steer was a big price. Even if both of them were blocked and/or had a hole in their games, the return for those two needs to produce.
  8. Nashvilletwin
    Couldn’t agree more. C’s ideal, B works, A is we are looking to 2024.
  9. Nashvilletwin
    No doubt - not even close. Marshall was very good for a long, long time. I was only referring to the rationalisation for getting hit.
  10. Nashvilletwin
    Great post.
  11. Nashvilletwin
    A lockdown pen, given our “two times through the order” starter strategy and one dimensional, low run scoring offense is a must if we even remotely want to contend. I’ve got the under on Pagan being a key part of a lockdown pen. The argument for Pagan reminds me a bit of the old Mike Marshall days. He’d blow a save and his pedantic response was usually ‘Hey, he hit a quality pitch”. Yeah, a quality pitch that cost us the game. Pagan sounds like the new Mike Marshall except Pagan fortunately doesn’t get 90 appearances in a season.
  12. Nashvilletwin
    Nothing is better than Gilligan’s Island reruns……
  13. Nashvilletwin
    The “M” hates are horrible. Just flat out horrible. I’m just trying to imagine Pagan wearing one - what a nightmare that is. Buxton looks like a stud in the Twin Cities uni. I think that will be a best seller and a smart move by the club.
  14. Nashvilletwin
    Just saw that the FO had Polanco modelling the new uniforms alongside Miranda, Buxton, Arraez, and Ryan. Polanco stays until the deadline.
  15. Nashvilletwin
    Two down (Sano and Urshela) and one more (Kepler) and possible another (Polanco) to go. Cleaning house, redeploying cash, and making room for young players. Things are just starting…..
  16. Nashvilletwin
    100% expected. Had them tendering all eight, so the trade of Urshela was the only mild surprise. Four of the tendered players were pitchers the Twins acquired in trades. For each, some of the “value” was the tender option so that each could be on the club through at least 2023. So the FO doubles down on their trades even though all four have been major disappointments to date. We shall see if any of them meaningfully contribute to the Twins. I’m pulling for each of them - but, to be honest, I’ve got the under on all four. Hope I’m wrong.
  17. Nashvilletwin
    Hi Brock. I’m not hung up. I just think it looks like it’s separate from the rest. But I’m not unhappy about it or losing sleep. It doesn’t look bad at all.
  18. Nashvilletwin
    Good creative thoughts and ideas, Keep in mind, in four years $40MM now will only be worth about $25MM in “cost” to the Twins given inflation and revenue expansion. We could just keep it simple too - 8 years @ $40MM/yr with a player opt out after year 3. By then Lee, Lewis or Miller will be the new Correa and we will have won at least two WS anyway….
  19. Nashvilletwin
    Love most of this. You could/should move Polanco as well. But there is no way I’m trading Brooks Lee. That kid has “it”. Lee falling to us might just end up like JJ falling to the Vikes.
  20. Nashvilletwin
    Agree, the convection between the “w” and the “i” is awkward. Also, the “T” is the only letter not connected. The “T” seems disconnected from the rest.
  21. Nashvilletwin
    Sometimes fate just hands you an unexpected treasure. There is no way Justin Jefferson should have fallen to the Vikings at #22 in the 2020 draft. Just like Lee shouldn’t have fallen to the Twins in last year’s draft. Maybe Lee is the Twins’ JJ……..just have a feeling about it,
  22. Nashvilletwin
    Sorry, forgot Miranda. It’s hard to keep track of all our young talent! We ideally have some good competition brewing over the next couple of years.
  23. Nashvilletwin
    Both are great prospects, but if we have to split hairs I’d go Lee as 1A and Lewis as 1B. My hope is that neither one is our starting SS for the next 5 years - that’s Correa. But each could still start - one at 2B and the other at 3B, Regardless of ranking, the Twins have five non pitching prospects who should constitute the new young core on the ‘24 team: Lee, Lewis, Martin, Julien, and Wallner. All need to find playing time in the bigs next season - Lee has the pedigree to be rushed a bit. Assuming Buxton, Correa, Arraez, Jeffers and Gordon (he’s proven his spot) are still around, that’s 10 position players. An additional C and hopefully Kiriloff and Larnach round out our top 13. Celestino is still young too. If Correa is signed, Lee and Lewis mean Urshela and Polanco could be gone before the deadline (unless we are contending).
  24. Nashvilletwin
    The key question is not what these new hires really do - no, instead it’s are these new hires TDers? Clearly the more TDers hired, the more wins for our beloved Twins…that’s indisputable.
  25. Nashvilletwin
    Exactly - if the team is committed to a strategy of 2x through the order or 5 innings at most for the starting staff - and there is no reason to think that is not the case - then that leaves about 45-50% of available innings to be filled. Add into that the facts that none of our starters are true #1 types and our offence isn’t what could be called prolific, and it turns out we are usually in a tight game or losing when our starter is pulled. Therefore, you’d better have a great pen if you want to compete for the pennant. There is no other choice. So we shouldn’t lay up in pen investment if that’s what it takes. We really could use three too notch relievers to add to the current squad.
×
×
  • Create New...