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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Brandon
    At least we are getting the Reds better players back.
  2. Brandon
    I look at adding Farmer as if we are adding Nick Punto to the roster. He can play all over. He has a hole in his offensive game (OBP). But he fields multiple positions well. He fits the mold of our bench last year in that he won’t be a huge drop off that other benches have issues with during the season. He can fill in at SS or other IF positions for long periods of time in case of injuries. Hopefully he gets less than 300 plate appearances next season as that would mean the front office did their jobs and we have health from our players too. So I am rooting for a sub 300 plate appearance season from Farmer while he’s healthy for the season next year.
  3. Brandon
    Don’t forget the extra year of control too. Farmer won’t be a free agent for 2 more years. Urshala only has 1 more year.
  4. Brandon
    Cheaper than Marwin Gonzales was for us a few years back. this guy almost hits like Urshala. same power. less average.
  5. Brandon
    Pagan pitched much better the last 2months or so of the season. I think I heard he was bullheaded about taking instructions probably until he failed so much it was either cooperate or be DFAd and when he did he improved. The FO probably want to see how he progresses next season. I think it’s an ok gamble.
  6. Brandon
    The Nike logo on the tops bother me for some reason. They totally distract from the uniform. I can’t stop looking at it. My OCD is annoyed.
  7. Brandon
    I guess the Twins plan to get an expensive SS this offseason. Since the just traded their best internal option other than Lewis ….
  8. Brandon
    A minor league deal is not gonna hurt. We can give him a low base high incentive contract. That doesn't mean I think he should be back but that is how I would want him to return if he did.
  9. Brandon
    The great debate….. Sign Correa to a long term deal or the Cubs C Contreras and Bassit to 4 year 80 and 3 year 60 respectively. With a SS like Andrus, which of these two scenarios gives us the most talent and bang for buck? Keep in mind we could resign Sanchez for backup C as he was league average and won’t cost much. Not sure we could afford Bassit if we sign Correa. I think a Rodon signing is too risky for the price compared to better options out there. I only see OF Contreras, Garlick as easy cuts. The others have value and we be tougher decisions in my book. Urshala is an easy keep. I see us keeping Pagan with a lower base like 2.8 million instead of what he is projected. He did pitch better the last couple of months of the season. I can see a pathway for him to return. If it truly was he needed to fail to get to a point of following directions and he is now. also this has been a fun discussion thread to read.
  10. Brandon
    Sisk looks like a LOOGY based on the video. A lefty submariner who probably doesn’t throw too hard. Righty’s will tee-off him in the majors. Since I have no expectations for any of these relievers except for maybe Henriquez since he got innings as a starter. Anything else is a bonus. Even a reliever brought up that throws 5-10 effective innings.
  11. Brandon
    He was a top relief prospect when he was traded. Many were upset he wasn’t given a shot here since he was a local guy. He was awesome for a few seasons. Injuries may have done him in. He is arbitration eligible so he would make closer to 1 million if we claim him. I am not opposed to a claim but not to worried if we don’t either at this point.
  12. Brandon
    3 year 21-24 million max. I wouldn’t go any higher then that for him. He might only be worth a 3 year 18 million deal. I look at a good reliever like this. They throw around 1/3 the innings of a good starter and probably a little more compared to good Twins starters. I use 60 innings for relievers and 180 for starters. Anyways if a great starter can get 30 million then a great reliever is worth 10 million. It’s rudimentary and leaves out other factors but for back of napkin calculations this works for me. I would think a good starter who throws 180 innings is worth 20-25 million per season. You can use Bassit as an example. See what he gets per season in FA and divide by 3 to determine what Fullmer should get on a per season basis. How do you determine what Fullmer is worth? Or any reliever for that matter?
  13. Brandon
    8-9 years in the 33-36 million per year should work. With front loading a little, opt outs and options for another year or two. That should be the framework for a contract. Can we get it done and structured in an acceptable way for both parties?
  14. Brandon
    I prefer to look at it as signing both Carlos's that way it still looks realistic.
  15. Brandon
    I think the Twins will have Moran and Stashak for the pen next year. while Stashak gets injured every year, he still will cost less than 1 million next season. I want the Twins to have lots of rotation and bullpen options for next season. It looks like they will. I would like to see them sign a bullpen arm whether it be Fulmer, Hand, Rogers, or Jansen or Kimbrel, or Roberstson, or...... I think Correa will sign for less than 40 million per season. I think an 8 or 9 year deal in the 33-36 million range gets the job done. (obviously with options, buyouts, and opt outs) Rodon will likely cost closer to the 25-30 million range over 4-5 seasons. expect to pay in the 120-150 million range for 4-5 seasons to get him. Mancini will probably cost in the 2 year 16-20 million range. (He is still a good get at the expense of Kepler. an exchange of defense for more offense) I would find a way to keep Urshala as he seems to be solid on both sides of the ball which is a Twins type of player. Kepler on the other hand has not produced enough offense to justify staying in the lineup. For C I am not opposed to trading. Oakland is rebuilding and I think they have a good C we could acquire for some good prospects. Sean Murphy for Wallner or Eduord Julien and Varland or SWR with a low A lotto player? I know Oakland will want major league ready prospects.
  16. Brandon
    The Twins do get less revenue from cable and radio deals. that would help if they could get an extra 15-20 million extra per season from this. and if we could somehow get attendance up to the 2.5 million range, that would also add to the ability to spend. I wonder how much more revenue is in an extra 400,000 - 600,000 more fans at games. If the average fan spends 60 - 80 for the ticket and food and stuff thats an extra 24 million to 48 million in revenue. So lets pay more for cable and lets all go to more games. That could theoretically add an extra 25 to 40 million for payroll with more money still going to the Twins.
  17. Brandon
    The size of the Twins market vs others is a little skewed by the fact that Minneapolis is the smallest market with every single sports franchise. Hockey, NBA, WNBA, Soccer, NFL and MLB. and independent baseball league if its still up and running. so the Twins are also competing with these franchises and college teams for sponsorship and corporate money. This hinders our revenues some too.
  18. Brandon
    This is a good offer. If the Twins offer this and do not sign him, I would be fine with that.
  19. Brandon
    This trade was a bust. If Donaldson hadn’t worn out his welcome here, he clearly would have easily hit 30 HRs with a .350 OBP. Isaeh would have been a contender for a GG at SS for us. How could you view that as anything but a failure for us?
  20. Brandon
    No Sands, Balazovich and Strottman have not had a debut with the Twins at any time. Varland has 5 starts and Henriquez has several games pitched. THey were successful in their debuts. Ober, yes the injuries are a concern. my point was he was successful when he pitched. thus making it more likely he will continue to be a successful major league pitcher if he can succeed. The bottom line is as a whole we have more pitchers ready to go than the year before. Its ok if you disagree. also i dont expect all of the pitchers i listed to take the next step either. Hence the point of seeing how the next 2 seasons go.
  21. Brandon
    While I agree with your statement, I wonder if he would have had better results in Minnesota. His overall pitching line for the season is similar from season to season in terms of hits, K's and walks. and HRs. He could have had better results for the right situation and that could be the Twins.
  22. Brandon
    The names coming into this season were Ober as the closest to being established, Ryan with a solid debut, Winder, Balazovich were hopefully ready to take the next step. and Duran, Woods-Richardson, Petty, Sands, Dobnak, Strottman, Canterino, were still developing. That is a lot farther behind then where we are now. Last year: Ober was close to being established Ryan had a good debut to go into 2022 all other prospects are still developing. some are close, some are far away This year: Ryan, Jax, and Duran have broker out, Ober has had success in 2 successive season and is an effective big leaguer at this point. Winder, Varland, Woods-Richardson, and Henriguez had solid debuts. There are still a list of prospects in the pipeline. we even traded several of them this year. See how this year there are more pitchers? thats cause we are 1 year further in development with less injuries with the pitchers in the minors this year. It hurts that Balazovich took a step back. hopefully he can get back on track. This is why i am fine giving the front office more time. plus this was the funnest transaction season in my 35 years of following the Twins.
  23. Brandon
    yeah the mets closer is gonna get around 100 million. so yeah Moran would be how you could do it.
  24. Brandon
    You must have missed this part of my statement. "Going into 2023 we have Winder, Ober, Ryan, Varland, Woods-Richardson, Henriguez, Balazovich, and Testa and Dobnak is there somewhere, Duran, Moran, Jax. So they are getting pitching developed." Ryan, Jax and Duran have already broken out. Winder, Ober,Moran, have had some success and Woods Richardson, Varland, and Henriguez had successful debuts so it seems the pitching pipeline is on the brink of lots of success. hence the call for patience.
  25. Brandon
    He did pitch better down the stretch. If he is willing to take instruction, I am ok with giving him a flyer contract. if not he should be let go. What he is doing isnt working. and not taking advice at this point is asking to be released.
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