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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. I hadn't thought much of Lyles, I only remembered him as a high contact pitcher. Looks like both of his stints in Milwaukee the past two years have seen him at his best. Maybe he likes the air here in the upper mid-west. There's some Mike Minor similarities here.
  2. I like Pomeranz as a reliever as well. He was never starter material, if he hadn't had that flukey 2016 in pitchers paradise San Diego, I'd guess he would have been a full time reliever a couple of years ago, and a good one at that. If the team is committed to putting him in the pen full time, I'd do multi years for him. If they want to make him a swing man again, like he has been most of the past two years, I'd probably have next to no interest. I could get behind Rondon, he probably wouldn't be a needle mover but he rarely has a bad season. I don't know what to make of Cingrani, when he was a Red, he was always a guy I wanted the Twins to buy low on, but looking at his stuff, I don't know that I'd trust a guy who only has two pitches, and throws a FB 85% of the time. That seems like it could go pear shaped fast. I'm not a big McHugh fan. I'm all about strikeouts, but man, it's just hard for me to trust a right handed reliever who's only hitting 90 MPH.
  3. The list of "dumpster diving" relievers who have become good pitchers is long. Like really, really long. Also, let's stop using that term, these are human beings, equating them to trash is disrespectful which is against posting policies.
  4. Wisler went all-in on the slider in 2019 (70.2%) out of the bullpen. Opponents hit .206 with a 41% whiff rate on it. Bad news is opponents hit his sinker to the tune of .451 Brooks Baseball says that Wisler throws a four seamer, not a sinker. I'm never one to advocate for a sinker (yuck) but maybe he's got the wrong fastball pairing. Maybe let's just go with a splitter instead. I do like a nice slider.
  5. He rarely throws off speed stuff, almost certainly because his off speed pitch is a curve and you can't count on a curve not to hang in Colorado. It's an above average pitch for him though and I think a team will see much more improved results from his strong FB and slider if if the new club feels comfortable enough to let whip out off speed pitches more than 10% of the time.
  6. Yeah, aside from what looks to be pretty good stuff, this is always a selling point with me.
  7. I'd like Gray quite a bit. I could take a chance on Ray as well, I don't think he's as good as his numbers but I also don't think AZ is the best place to unlock potential, there might still be more to him. No interest in Boyd. Musgrove is interesting though. He doesn't wow anyone, but the guy can and does throw every pitch under the sun, I love that repertoire. Also, I'm interested in the fact that he saw a velocity drop at the beginning of last year but he saw it increase through the season and by September he was averaging 95 MPH on his four seamer. Yeah, I like the idea of Musgrove not yet hitting his peak, I'm in. Also, still get Gray too.
  8. This always bothered me, though to be fair, with most innovation there seems to be some bumpy spots and false starts where some theories and procedures show up to not be effective only to be weeded out by trial and error. The delay may have let the Twins bypass those spots directly to a more efficient model. Not that I'd let them off the hook, if any of that occurred it was clearly unintentional.
  9. Would that many people be involved though? I can’t imagine they need a whole division to order baseballs. I picture George Costanza who reports to some one else who has additional duties (that’d be Mr.Wilhelm obviously). No idea if this un-juiced ball theory has anything behind it, but it would seem like a 2-3 person conspiracy most likely.
  10. Well Ruth would probably strike out 300 times having never seen a modern slider or a 95 MPH fastball in his life. But that obviously just reinforces the same point.
  11. Obviously this won't stick, but if they didn't include Graterol, the one guy aside from Berrios who has the upside to be more than a swingman, then they're doing it wrong. Based on his usage down the stretch, I think he's already ahead of Smeltzer, Thorpe and Stewart in the pitcher hierarchy. That's assuming the front office hasn't decided to move him to the pen full time.
  12. The threat of the QO is going to be one heck of a negotiating tool. It's hard to say where Odorizzi sees himself in the free agent pitching hierarchy, but after last year it should be very clear that unless he puts himself on par with Cole, it's possible his phone won't ring until June 11th if that QO is around his neck. How long has this QO system been around? 8 years maybe? The Twins finally have a player who is actually worthy of having this discussion! Hooray!
  13. True, but you can also pick up usable corner outfielders on the free agent market real cheap. If someone is willing to offer some pitching for one of ours, I'm more than fine picking up whomever next year's Avisail Garcia, Nick Markakis, Adam Jones, Cameron Maybin or Hunter Pence is and bide our time with them waiting to see if the prospects emerge.
  14. Odorizzi has been absolutely awful in Yankees stadium for his career. Yes, I feel much better about him at home.
  15. Well the flyball thing certainly can be a factor, but it's more about setting the table for the best odds to win. I like the Twins odds at home with Odorizzi, I don't like the Twins odds at home with Dobnak. I don't like the Twins odds in NY with Odorizzi. There's only one of those three scenarios I feel reasonably comfortable with so I'll take that one. Reusing Duffey is a different issue, which I did not agree with. I'd have liked to done a straight bullpen game for that anyway. If the Twins somehow make it to Game 5 I hope that's the strategy. In a vacuum without knowing the innings these guys will pitch between now and then, I'd open with Romo for an inning, Graterol for two, Rogers for two, Duffey for two and run May out there to finish it off.
  16. But there's really no difference if the team wins Game 2 or Game 3 when you still need to win three games to advance. If the Twins go with Odorizzi in NY and Dobnak at home, I don't like their odds of winning either game. If they go with Dobnak in NY and Odorizzi at home, I at least give them reasonable odds of winning Game 3.
  17. My point was that they did not sign much in the way of pitching last offseason as they clearly prioritized the offense. Since they won 101 games maybe we need to consider that decisions or non-decisions they made were the right call.
  18. They need to get over this playoff funk obviously because my goal is to win the WS as I'm sure it is for everyone in the organization. But they won 101 games this year while prioritizing hitting over pitching last off season, so it seems they're on the right track as far as improving the quality of the team goes. Baldelli made some questionable bullpen calls but the organization has hired front office and coaches that are versed in contemporary baseball strategy and eager to try new things to create advantages for the team. I don't want to get swept by the Yankees, but I think an awful lot of people are blinded by two games and not seeing the giant and completely unexpected strides made this year.
  19. I think there’s only one pitcher better than Berríos on the free agent market next year.
  20. They can switch out Perez for Gibson against the Astros. I wouldn't bring along a LOOGY simply for one single batter though.
  21. Would you even offer a guy like that arbitration? Probably got to DFA him after his options are used up.
  22. If the regular season was the ALDS, the Twins take the Yankees to the fifth game with game 5 being one of the most dramatic playoff games of all time. Except this time the Yankees don't have Aaron Hicks to win it for them! (don't think too hard about who the Twins may or may not have)
  23. Got through season 2 of Mindhunters on Netflix. Dark and creepy, it's great. Then I watched the Youtube videos that show the actual serial killer interviews compared to the fictional interviews from the show, and wow, it seems like most of what was depicted was not actually fictional, so much of the dialogue was word for word.
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