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terrydactyls

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Everything posted by terrydactyls

  1. Does anyone else think that the term "positive regression" is odd? Sounds like a contradiction in terms.
  2. Now that makes no sense at all. How does a team attempt "calculating (what) they will do in the future"? They thoroughly examine prior years to establish what they are willing to offer. It seems to that is exactly "signing a guy in free agency based on what they did in the past.". If the past isn't the determining factor, then you are making an offer based on nothing.
  3. I take exception to the last comment! Have you ever engaged in hand-to-hand combat at a budget meeting for the last donut? That, my friend, involves some serious torque!
  4. I don't understand how people can be so worried about the number of walks that Moran allows and then get all excited about pursuing Moore who also gives up a lot of walks. Why spend $10M on Moore when you already have a much younger version for $1M?
  5. The obsession with power appears to be hindering as many players as it helps. Why would any team go after a player and then try to change him into a player he isn't? Reminds me of when the Vikings gave up players and draft picks for the best I-back in the NFL and tried to turn him into a two-back player. That sure turned out well (for Dallas). Let Martin be himself and be satisfied with what he can bring to the team.
  6. Hubert Horatio Humphrey was the last public person who I actually felt was telling the truth (at least most of the time).
  7. All of your examples relate to 1B and OF. Trading Urshela doesn't impact those positions.
  8. Where are you seeing this "better depth" if not from the front office?
  9. You forgot to state your assumption that talent, execution, and competitiveness have zero impact on your data.
  10. That's what I love about metrics. If the result isn't what you hoped for, change the formula until it does (or add a letter to the old metric and create a new one).
  11. Fulmer is Handy He Won't Cost a lot. But Prospects are Dandy So Use What You Got. Burma Shave
  12. Which do you feel is better? Maximize a player's potential or use a player's potential to maximize the team's potential? Personally, I prefer the latter. I would use Lewis at whatever position that places the best Twins team on the field. If Larnach proves to be a better right fielder than left fielder, then put Lewis in LF and Larnach in RF. If Miranda becomes the next Brooks Robinson (for you young folk, that means superior defense), Lewis never plays 3B and will be forever an outfielder. If that ends up becoming a problem of where to play Lee, Lewis, and Salas, the Twins will have valuable assets to trade.
  13. Does anyone know (and I mean factual, not "I read somewhere") if revealing health information on recuperating players violates HIPPA rules?
  14. If (and that's a BIG if) the Twins really need another pitcher, IMHO I think they should wait until the trade deadline. By July (or even June), the Twins will know what holes they need to fill. The need for a position player might be far greater than the need for a pitcher or possibly the currently assumed starting rotation is over performing and Paddock has made a couple successful starts after his long recovery period. Leave the minor leagues alone for now. However, if a really solid pitcher or position player can be acquired by trading Polanco, Kepler, and Gallo, (along with one good prospect outside our top ten), go for it.
  15. Miami doesn't want older players. I would remove Kepler and Pagan (7.1) and offer them Winder (8.3) and de Andrade (2.9). That would end up with the Twins overpaying (37.6 to 29.6). I think Luzardo is undervalued. Or, turn your sights to Pittsburgh and go big. Twins trade: Miranda (26.4) Ober (21.8) Larnach (14.6) Winder (8.3) Salas (20.5) Total 91.6 Pittsburgh trades: Reynolds (64.2) Bednar (21.9) Total 86.1 Again, it's a slight overpay, but close enough. The right-handed outfielder and relief pitcher problems are addressed.
  16. No I didn't. But I did play 1B for many years and I can tell a good one from a bad one. Arraez was far closer to the bad end of the spectrum than he was to the good end. I was listening to three former GM's discussing the trade. One of the better comments was that a team doesn't make a trade hoping to "win" the trade. They make a trade to make their team better. The second interesting comment was that both the Marlins and the Twins should be very pleased because the each got what the felt they needed and only lost players that were from a position of strength. (P.S. They also said that the extra two players that the Twins received were a complete shock to them and that the Twins' front office should be congratulated.)
  17. I would like to see the Last Vegas odds on which comes first: Arraez' knees give out or Lopez's shoulder explodes.
  18. Bad example. The Twins have a multitude of replacements at 1B, but no replacement for Duran.
  19. While I am in agreement with most of what you eloquently presented, I would like to add to one of your statements. I believe that Minnesota "nice" could become an important selling point to free agents if the front office/ownership would loosen up the purse strings to: 1) make a few high-impact trades (Arraez and Kepler for Cabrera) to fill the relatively few holes that the Twins still have, and 2) extend all the young talent that appear to have bright futures. Success in the post-season, coupled with the far less stressful playing atmosphere, might be highly prized by enough free agents to turn the Twins into annual contenders.
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