
caninatl04
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Everything posted by caninatl04
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Article: Twins 2019 Position Analysis: Catcher
caninatl04 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
To put things in a larger context, the catcher position is better than it was, and the future looks better still.- 67 replies
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- jason castro
- mitch garver
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I like the movement on Reed’s pitches. Thanks for the video. I didn’t know the pitch clock at spring training was only 2 seconds! Must really speed up the game.
- 20 replies
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- lucas duda
- mike morin
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Some numbers: Marwin: GP AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS 2018 Regular Season 145 489 61 121 25 3 16 68 53 126 2 3 .247 .324 .409 .733 Career 795 .264 .318 .419 .737 Ehire: 2018 Regular Season 114 335 42 84 23 1 6 39 24 82 5 1 .251 .301 .379 .680 Career 338 .242 .303 .355 .658 So, yes, its an upgrade over Ehire. 500 AB x (.264 - .242) = 11 hits / year. But, 500 AB x (.419-.355) = 32 bases a year. This difference in bases is explained by HR: Marwin: Hits a homer in 3.1% of his AB or once every 32.45 AB Ehire: 1.4% so every 71.64 AB That difference over 500 AB is 8.4 dingers But is it worth $10 million / yr?
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Here are some (old school) stats for team bullpens in 2018: RK TEAM ERA BAA Whip 1 Houston 3.11 .217 1.10 9 Cleveland 3.77 .244 1.29 22 Twins 4.50 .256 1.38 The Twins' relief pitchers in 2018 who: pitched 20 inningshad an ERA of 3.77 or less, anda Whip of 1.29 or less,were May and Rogers (and Pressly). So, there is some catching up to do...
- 53 replies
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- fernando romero
- addison reed
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Article: Catching Up With Ryan Jeffers
caninatl04 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Will he start ‘19 in Cedar Rapids? Will he move to the FSL mid season? -
Article: TD 2019 Top Minnesota Twins Prospects Recap
caninatl04 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
From the article: "Half of our Top 20 now consists of players acquired by the new regime (Lewis, Larnach, Rooker, Duran, Enlow, Jeffers, Severino, Celestino, Littell, Alcala)." and from Seth: "I'm also really impressed with what Jeremy Zoll and all of those coordinators are doing on the player development side." If one doesn't love the new FO, one must, IMHO, at least feel somewhat more optimistic. This year, picks 13, 41 and 54. Hopefully, they will be buyers at the trade deadline, but they do have a number of one year contracts that might be desirable to buyers if the Twins are sellers. I know nothing about their International signing pool for either pre-July or post-July (except that for the '19-'20 pool, they'll be in Pool . Let's hope the good work in prospect acquisition continues. A bigger hope is that player development is better than ever. -
Article: Kepler's Unusual Contract
caninatl04 replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
What's the over / under on how long he'll remain a Twins. My guess is the '21 trade deadline. That's assuming Bux doesn't completely flame out and they need to move Kepler to CF. -
Article: Projecting the 2022 Lineup
caninatl04 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Mock drafts have them drafting a pitcher. And a starter at that! (as opposed to a reliever they are “confident” they can convert) -
The lone All Star will come from the bullpen. And his first name will start with a “T”. And they will lose opening day.
- 33 replies
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- byron buxton
- miguel sano
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It’s got to be Willie Joe (Garry) for the name alone!
- 41 replies
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- alex kirilloff
- vladimir guerrero jr
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And I think the performances of Kepler and especially Bux will be factors as well. But let’s not put the cart before the horse. Even thought, as nater 79a pointed out, his numbers were insane in the pitcher friendly FSL, the jump to AA is usually the most difficult. Finally, close inspection of the spray chart shows a number of doubles that weren’t gapers but fell close to the wall. I’m guessing these were in the larger FSL parks. Perhaps some of the will become homers in Pensacola.
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- alex kirilloff
- vladimir guerrero jr
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Article: Making Sense of the Lineup Makeover
caninatl04 replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I wonder if the 1 year contracts instead reflects the FO”S confidence in prospects: Gordon for Scoop, Kirilofff for Cron. I don’t necessarily share that confidence BTW.- 21 replies
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- nelson cruz
- c.j. cron
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Article: Making Sense of the Lineup Makeover
caninatl04 replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Interesting C.J. Cron stats: his ISO is six points higher versus RHP, but his walk rate is .7% lower. Was he hit by a bunch of RHP pitches?- 21 replies
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- nelson cruz
- c.j. cron
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Questions What is his current breaking ball? If he starts at Rochester, does that count as using up an option? If he’s kept on the 40 man, isn’t he immune from the Rule 5 draft? My opinion would be to begin the year in the minors until and if he can develop at least an average third and maybe fourth pitch.
- 53 replies
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- fernando romero
- johan santana
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I agree. I'd have to re-evaluate the entire strength of the prospects list if the #8 prospect in the whole organization was destined to be a middle reliever. I know the new pitching coach is "Mr. Velocity", and who wouldn't want to add a tick or two to an already 60-ranked fastball. But I concur that to be more than a #4 starter, the brain-trust will have to figure out a plus breaking ball for him.