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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    What deadline moves? It's a 3M guaranteed deal, the team clearly hasn't put too much weight on the idea of Rich Hill being a shoe in for the rotation this year. I think every post I've written today has had the qualifier that I like these moves only if the team also makes a trade. I meant this winter, not in July. Rich Hill is a lotto ticket only and based on his contract, I think the Twins brass see it the same way. As for Bailey being too expensive, the Royals only paid him the vet minimum salary last year as the Dodgers were still, and still are on the hook for the remainder of the Cincinnati contract.
  2. nicksaviking
    Why don't you wait until they actually call these guys "impact pitching" and fail to make a trade for some this winter before stating it as fact.
  3. nicksaviking
    That's not even close to what I said. I was only refuting the idea that Homer Bailey was a shoe in for regression.
  4. nicksaviking
    I guess his value isn't really what would be at the forefront of a Homer Bailey deal for me. I don't think the Twins will get to any kind of uncomfortable payroll situation and I expect them to compete again so I don't imagine he'd get traded. To me just looks like a better bet to be reliable rotation piece than the Dobnak/Smeltzer/Thorpe alternatives.
  5. nicksaviking
    Two of them? I'm still betting against that.
  6. nicksaviking
    While many pitchers don't bounce back well from injury, Hill does it about every year. Since he's proven to have this ability to produce after an injury induced layoff, returning at all is a bigger concern than returning at diminished capacity. But since Hill returning and providing subpar performances is certainly still a possibility, it gives the team all the more reason to make additional moves so they can bump Hill to the pen and avoid those 75 innings. An additional trade could help save 6.75M if Hill doesn't work out.
  7. nicksaviking
    Also, if Bailey believes his new approach will bring him better results, he might just prefer to bet on himself. The Twins have been giving out quite a few option years to their free agents the last couple of years and both Bailey and Hill seemed like prime candidates to get one this year, if not from the Twins than from another club. So I might suspect they were the one's who didn't want to be tethered to a 2nd year.
  8. nicksaviking
    I'd have a hard time seeing Bailey be so good he'd be worth a QO, but there just seems like a lot of hand wringing for what looks to be a 5th starter. Hill on the other hand is a top of the rotation arm when healthy, if he's not healthy, well it was well worth the $3M to find out from my perspective. But yes, this is all predicated on the Twins still swinging a trade for a higher ceiling, hopefully longer-term arm, which I am still just as hopeful for. They still only have three starters for opening day, so I don't think they're done. Ownership and the front office will still be well aware that these moves will not scrub any egg from their face, face they'll surely still want to save coming off of last season's fan building momentum.
  9. nicksaviking
    Well Perez wasn't good in 2019, but he was significantly better than in 2018. If Bailey's new approach holds it will be a good deal for the 5th starter. If he improves at the same rate as Perez did, he'd be a really good pitcher.
  10. nicksaviking
    It's a pretty cheap bet. After last season I think we saw the Twins prefer the splitter to the two seamer, which Bailey himself shifted more heavily towards last year. I wouldn't be surprised if the club saw a like-minded approach in Bailey and thought last year's results may be more indicative of his numbers going forward than whatever stagnant non-sense was occurring back in Cincinnati.
  11. nicksaviking
    If you're talking about Bailey, his K% jumped 6% last year. That's got me interested. I never liked him when he couldn't miss bats, but now that he can he has my attention.
  12. nicksaviking
    I had been asking for Hill early on in free agency before I got egg on my face after someone pointed out he was going to start the year off on the IL. But he's been fantastic when on the mound, so if he comes back healthy I think there are few pitchers who'd be available in a mid season trade that could provide the the boost that Hill is capable of. Assuming health, (foolish mortal!) Hill is already my pick for Game 1 of the playoffs. He's old and not a sexy name, but he's got the track record and pitch-ability that matches up best against whomever the Yankees and Astros will be throwing out there.
  13. nicksaviking
    I'm not sure if that last bit was also sarcasm, but yeah, I wanted nothing to do with Kuechel and next to nothing to do with Bumgarner, so I do prefer this. Not that I won't be upset if there still isn't a trade for an arm for the front of the rotation.
  14. nicksaviking
    With Hill and Pineda out to begin the year, I think it's more likely the Twins swing a trade. I know the rotation could get crowded at some point, but the good teams like rotation depth and have no problem shuttling good-not-great rotation vets out to the pen when needed.
  15. nicksaviking
    I'd prefer to get some rotation stalwarts, but if the option is doing multi year deals for pitchers of Gibson's caliber, I'd rather cherry pick my rotation each year.
  16. nicksaviking
    Because of the last man in the bullpen? I'm actually really interested in seeing Wisler this spring. I love bullpen guys with a wipeout slider.
  17. nicksaviking
    He still has a 94-95 MPH fastball, a wipeout slider and dropped the Pittsburgh-mandatory sinker midway through last year and his peripheral stats are always show he's better than his ERA. I like those things as better indicators of future results.
  18. nicksaviking
    Pittsburgh is going to be awful, I don't see how he's going to have a .500 record, I also don't see why his W/L record matters.
  19. nicksaviking
    I don't think anyone is saying ALL free agents don't want to sign here. People who come here seem to like it here, that's why so many former players are still in the area after their playing days are over. And if some of these guys are choosing other locations for family/stability reasons, then the Twins should have a leg up on retaining current players on their roster. Which is another good reason to trade for players. Don't give them a choice where to play and then once they're here win them over with our charm and hot-dishes.
  20. nicksaviking
    Ask about Price, then when the Red Sox don't initially accept a reasonable deal for him, pivot to Sale and see how they feel about moving him instead. But I'd not be happy waiting until the trade deadline. I think Gray and Blake Snell could be moved if their teams are presented with a proper deal now. But if those teams find themselves contending in July, they won't be moving pitchers. I think the Mets might be the best team in the NL though, I don't think they'd be interested in moving Syndergaard unless they get an excellent MLB player in return; Buxton or Sano perhaps. And maybe not even Sano since they don't have a DH and have the best 1B in the league. The Twins might not have an impact player they'd actually want in exchange for Syndergaard now that I think about it.
  21. nicksaviking
    I want the best starters available via trade, which hand they throw with doesn’t matter to me.
  22. nicksaviking
    I think they’re going to be forced to. Unless they’re able to sign Donaldson there’s no way payroll can reach last year’s level. I know everyone hates the Pohlads, but they know the temperature of the water everyone will be standing in if they can’t point to a significant acquisition to show they’re trying to win.
  23. nicksaviking
    If they trade for Blake Snell or Jon Gray they’ll have rescued it.
  24. nicksaviking
    I'd be on board for either, they both still have some interesting aspects about their game that I think hold open the door for a nice rebound. But I'd probably prefer both to be that 5th (6th) guy who's filling in/auditioning in May while Pineda is out.
  25. nicksaviking
    Ah the other one. That would be an even longer Uber ride to the park for Mike though. I bet they'd have excellent oyster stew and crab cakes in the concession stands though.
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