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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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Article: TD Top Prospects: #4 Kohl Stewart
nicksaviking replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If Stewart's proponents are right and his K numbers get in line with his stuff, I'll probably be more excited about him than Berrios or Meyer. But we have to see it first. Also, Willie Banks always seemed soooo close to breaking out. His 1993 season was a huge improvement over 1992 and I thought he was going to be the real deal the next year. Of course the Twins traded him that offseason and he never got his control tamed down after that. Andy McPhail must have hated Willie. He traded him to the Cubs in the 1993-94 offseason and then traded him away from the Cubs once he landed that gig. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #4 Kohl Stewart
nicksaviking replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I know, who in their right mind would want seven kids?! -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Tommy Milone
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Oh I'm sure they will, just as they misguidedly have the past four years. This team won't be competing until the young guys are ready, and they won't be ready until they start playing. Isn't it better to struggle now in an effort to be better in the future? Youth and upside should weigh more heavily on roster decisions than experience. If Pelfrey is the "best" pitcher this spring and is given the job, how would that help the team in 2016 or beyond? -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Tommy Milone
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Milone pitched well extremely pitcher friendly Oakland. A pitcher who throws poorly there is about as rare as a pop foul reaching the seats. Most people, Beane included and likely Ryan as well, see the writing on the wall. His mid 80's fastball is a mirage and it won't stand up, particularly when he's coming from the stadium with the most foul territory and going to one with among the least. -
Article: Push Candidate: Adam Brett Walker III
nicksaviking replied to Shane Wahl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sorry to derail. I tend to think a pitcher with a 4.0 BB/9 can still make it at the majors. I also think a middle infielder who struggles to get on base can still make it if he has a nice glove. I just don't think it will work for a corner outfielder. I don't mean to sound negative, I love Walker's power potential and he sounds like a good guy, but it just seems to me that a promotion would send the wrong message. And I don't think he's a lost cause by a long shot. I just think the severity of this deficiency needs to come across loud and clear. -
Article: Push Candidate: Adam Brett Walker III
nicksaviking replied to Shane Wahl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well for one thing, the "struggles" we're pretty subjective. Neither Gibson nor May were struggling in any truly meaningful way in AAA. I was simply suggesting that struggles at the MLB level were expected and it would be best to get them out of the way. For another, in this analogy there was very little difference between the HS students than the college students anyway. -
Article: Push Candidate: Adam Brett Walker III
nicksaviking replied to Shane Wahl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes Gibson, May and Meyer are the main talking points when questions arise about slow promotions. Gibson and May have struggled upon their arrival, but that doesn't tell me the club was right to wait, it tells me the opposite. They were viewed as "ready" before their call up yet they still struggled implying being "ready" doesn't occur until they get acclimated to the MLB. Gibson should have been allowed to struggle in early 2013 with the hope he'd be useful at the end of the season and closer to his potential to start 2014. The same should have been done with May. This team has been historically awful, yet they seemed to keep the young arms down at least in part because they didn't want to chance making the MLB product worse. If that played any part in the decisions, and I'd bet it did, they were very short-sighted. I don't know why there is an idea that guys have to learn in the minors and education ends upon a call up. -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Tommy Milone
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The A's were smart enough to consider what he would do for them going forward, not what he did in the past. The A's had just traded for Samardzjia and Hammel and had no room for Gray, Kazmir, Chavez and Milone. Milone had by far the lowest upside and was the least likely to succeed going forward. Seems like an easy call to me. If the Twins are smart, they'll also put most of their deciding votes on the guys with higher upside. -
Article: Push Candidate: Adam Brett Walker III
nicksaviking replied to Shane Wahl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think putting top pitchers drafted from major conferences in the rookie leagues is coddling. I think not letting top pitching prospects work out their kinks at the MLB level even when your MLB starters are serving up BP nightly is coddling. I don't think this team coddles the batters. However, possibly because of such a lack of success this past decade, they appear overly cautious with the starting pitchers, perhaps because the organization is unsure of how best to develop them, perhaps because they think if a player is injury prone he shouldn't be on the MLB roster. That being said, Berrios doesn't look like he's going to get much of a stop sign, neither do several of the college arms drafted in the last three years. Things may be changing. -
Article: Push Candidate: Adam Brett Walker III
nicksaviking replied to Shane Wahl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I could care less about the strikeouts. I care that he doesn't appear to have either very good zone recognition or patience. That doesn't translate to the MLB level. If MLB pitchers know you're strikeout prone AND you can't take a walk, he'll never see a hittable pitch. -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Tommy Milone
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think he did. He was pretty upset about his service time ramifications. He's OK depth, but he had little trade value last year as we found out; he shouldn't have much now. I'm not really concerend with a return though, I just don't want him getting in the way of the higher ceiling guys. -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Tommy Milone
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Perhaps it's wishful thinking, but I think they did their best to find the veteran innings eater to put at the front of the rotation this year. I think they'd really prefer May and soon Meyer. But that could just be spring optimism. I tend to turn dour regarding the front office once they start proving my hopeful expectations wrong. -
Article: Push Candidate: Adam Brett Walker III
nicksaviking replied to Shane Wahl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Adam Dunn could take a walk. Lots of the actually. He was always among the league leaders. As a corner outfielder, Walker is going to have to get on base or he'll stall out really quickly. -
Article: Push Candidate: Adam Brett Walker III
nicksaviking replied to Shane Wahl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm usually a "push" guy as I don't like babying these guys but I think Anti-Walker needs to open in Ft. Myers. Usually my beef with the slow promotion is that I don't want these guys getting coddled and end up soft. Perhaps it's just me, but guys who refuse to take pitches even when it would seem their livelihood depends on it, seem somewhat stubborn and could use remedial correction, not a reward which would only encourage the lack of discipline. -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Tim Stauffer
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Right, innings, not appearances. I don't see him as more than the longman/mop-up-guy, but this club always seems to want to indentify one of those early. -
Article: Alex Meyer and AAA Walk Rates
nicksaviking replied to jorgenswest's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That BB decrease from AAA to the MLB is very intersting. It could very well show that on the job training at the MLB level is the best way to learn. It could also show that MLB hitters are more agressive and AAA hitters are concsiously trying to improve their OBP, something that it seems is often a prerequisit for many MLB clubs. It could also show that AAA pitchers are more agressive knowing how much teams, scouts and people who perform prospect rankings value strikeouts. -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Tim Stauffer
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Rebuttals to Stauffer in the rotation should first consider this. While I'd guess the percentage is a bit exagerated, I can't see a scenario where Stauffer gets the #5 gig except for a rash of injuries. Bottom line is, he's an asset as a bullpen arm and he looks like another futile NL reclamation project as a starter. To me he looks like Anthony Swarzak's replacement and an upgrade at that. I could see him among the league leaders in appearances, particularly if the Twins can resist the urge of keeping a 13-man pitching staff due to all the veteran starters they have acquired. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #10 Nick Burdi
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
BB in college are probably something to be more skeptical about. I'd guess once the pitcher gets to full season ball however, the BB rate is probably a decent baseline for future projection. Seems to me the numbers start to become a little more guessable by that time, assuming we're not dealing with a small sample size issue. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #10 Nick Burdi
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not to mention that after Hoey's shoulder surgery he had huge control issues. Aside from his first start, that doesn't appear to be a major concern for Burdi. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #10 Nick Burdi
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Why not? If he was, the team could just trade him for a top SS. -
Low velocity wouldn't bother me if they still generated strikeouts.
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Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Alex Meyer
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sorry if you folks have heard this one from me before, but I hate the rotation projections. Meyer does not project to be a #3 starter; #3 starters don't throw 98 with ++ strikeout potential. Meyer projects to be a #1-2 starter or back of the bullpen arm. I'm sorry if their rating criteria doesn't match the real life model of a MLB rotation, but that doesn't change the fact that their evaluations are misleading. Fireballing relievers have a repertoire and velocity more in common with front of the rotation arms than they do with the traditional command concious mid-rotation arms. -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Mike Pelfrey
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Nope. I merely brought it up because it seems that guys with a strong pedigree get many more chances to prove they can be useful. I'm not sure a Luke Hochaver, Jason Isringhousen, Zach Britton or Glen Perkins gets as much leeway if they previously weren't a high draft pick or highly rated prospect. Their stuff was well respected at one point so these guys likely get more chances as there likely is hope that the positives scouts saw at one point can still be salvaged. Sometimes it can. -
Article: 5th Starter Candidate: Alex Meyer
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is where I have issues with keeping him down. You're not going to make him more durable by throwing extra pitches in Rochester. If he may not be durable, get as much as you can out of him before his clock strikes midnight.