Everything posted by DocBauer
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2022 Minnesota Twins Top 15 Prospects
And he might be. There's nothing to say he isn't the best, or can't be the best. As I stated, and have before, ACES develop over time, you very, very seldom just draft one. Heck, this time next year SWR or Sands could looke better than everyone. No way to know. You've actually watched Winder, so I defer to your opinion and assessment. I guess I lump Balazovic, Winder and Duran together, IMO, as equals. I'm really excited for all 3 to be healthy and get a full season in. Unfortunately, I think Duran is now a little further behind at the moment.
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2022 Minnesota Twins Top 15 Prospects
I know it's really easy to get carried away with prospect rankings and optimism of the players listed there. Look no further than the recent OP about the top 2018 list which contains a few who didn't make it, some with questions, at least one traded, etc. But each "list" should be addressed of its own accord. And I'm really excited about this list, despite some usual caveats. Because this is fun, and because I'm optimistic, and because we don't have anything ML related to talk about, we'll, here I go. SANDS is sort of a "poster child" for how this FO sees a path to pitching development. Right or wrong only time will tell, but they believe that unless a pitcher lands in your lap right off the top, there are a lot of guys with real potential to be developed past the first couple of picks. Sands seems to make their ideas valid, as have a couple lower selections thus far. I think he's close and is forgotten about by some. I might have ranked him higher. WALLNER is a better version of Rooker, IMO. Reportedly, he's already a better OF defensively. That's not a knock on Rooker who still has a chance, I just think he's a better, more well rounded version. I don't expect a big BA, but time will tell. I liked what he did in his limited AFL. MILLER, fair or not, reminds me of JJ Hardy. A guy who may not have any single skill that is outstanding, but the ability to do everything well. He's a LONG WAY away, but can't wait to see what he does. Draft status and potential, I'm OK with him here. ENLOW shouldn't be penalized for his surgery. The ceiling remains high and he's still young. Hopefully he gets a few IP at the end of 2022 to get ready. WINDER should be a couple spots higher, IMO, but it's a testament to current depth that he's here. Decades of watching the draft, prospect lists, and MLB in general has taught me that unless you have the #1 pick in a year where a Clemmons or a Strasburg falls in your lucky lap, you NEVER draft an ACE. You draft and develop arms and their potential. And despite all the coaching you can give, an ACE is someone who also learns and develops on their own. Winder has front of the rotation potential. It may take a couple of years to reach his potential, but I think he pitches for the Twins in 2022. I think he has a good ceiling. CAVACO wasn't a mistake pick, but I wouldn't rank him this high. He is young, a late bloomer with trajectory when drafted, and has all the tools in the world. And like everyone else, he missed a full season. But I still need to see a little more from him to rank him this high. BUT, I would remind readers that he got off to a solid start in 2021 and was amongst the best bats/producers for a poor offensive Ft Myers team before an injury slowed him down. It's all up to him. The talent is there. I would be surprised if he doesn't start 2022 in low A despite some young options behind him. But would be pleased and not surprised if his talent took over and he hit A+ quickly. PETTY, to me, was an absolute gift. I know HS arms are the biggest guess/risk/reward possibilities for a 1st round selection. But I don't recall many times when I've seen a HS pitcher with an arm who throws high 90's consistently and touches 100 with a quality slider and a change that needs work but was still ranked a 50 on the scout scale. Hey, he's young and has a lot to show and work on and improve. He's a long way away. But to slide to the 20's confuses me unless it's because he's not 6' 2"+ and already over 200lbs and played in a northern climate for the most part. LMAO when I read a comment elsewhere that he projects as a BP arm when he's only 18yo and has so much ahead of him. CANTERINO just needs the baseball gods to give him health for 2022. So much for the Twins not drafting a pitcher high. They babied him his 1st season because of his IP in college. Makes sense. He was as advertised in his brief 2019. And he was again in his short 2021 after missing 2020. I believe his plan was to jump to AA quickly before injury happened. A curse for many arms, not just the Twins. His stuff is electric,though needing refinement. Some say his delivery screams BP. He says he's had the same delivery for years and feels comfortable with it. IDK! But if he's healthy and ready to go, he needs to be at Wichita from day one. He could be anywhere from a #1-2 SP to the next Nathan if starting just doesn't work out. SWR has been regarded as a top 100 prospect for a couple of years now. He was not only young for AA but had his whole season disrupted by the Olympic experience. Just give the kid a chance to settle in. The stuff plays. I wouldn't be surprised if he appears in 2022 at some point. DURAN.......just be healthy. STOP the "let's just put him in the pen" conversation. I don't care if he sits in ST Paul for the whole year! Just let him stretch out, build innings, work on his stuff, and let him develop. Don't waste an opportunity to develop a potentially great arm. RYAN...just keep doing what you're doing kid. Keep the bulldog in you but don't be stubborn. Keep listening and learning. MIRANDA just needs opportunity. He is not a flash. He is a high draft choice who everyone has just been waiting to put it together. He has now. He was a high pick with potential, not some flier. Either make room for him or make him the 1st guy up when there is an opening. And depending on trades or injury, he could make the opening day roster. Like I said in another OP, he COULD see time at LF or 1B depending on final roster construction. BALAZOVIC is everything I said about Winder. The stuff and the build and everything you want. But what you want is just a little more time to put it together. MARTIN is PROBABLY a stud LF/CF who can also play in the infield to follow the example the versatility of the Dogers that I feel the FO is looking at. But I'd keep playing him at SS for as long as I can. I mean, what's the worst that can happen? He suddenly turns out to be an optio there or he can at least cover that spot in addition to maye 2B/3B. LEWIS IS a lightening rod of sorts. He has EERYTHING athletically to be a decent to good SS. When you watch him, you see great plays that few can make and you see smoothness, and his potential. We just need to see it daily. But it takes time. He's lost a lot of time, unfortunately. And he's NOT going to jump to the ML level without a little time to get his legs underneath him, literally, for defense AND offense, despite his AFL MVP and reports about his 2020 play at the alternative site. This kid just might have the IT factor. Let's allow a tiny bit of time, OK? Pissed about the FO and things we don't have a clue about for2022 yet, just look at this list and get excited.
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Will José Miranda Make the Twins' Opening Day Roster?
He deserves to make the club right out of the gate unless he just struggles. He's a dynamite prospect! But the problem is he doesn't pitch and the roster is solid and complete as is. He makes the club opening day if there is a trade or injury, and both are possible. His best chance to make the club otherwise is AK in LF instead of Larnach initially, (again, without trades), then he may open as the primary 1B and still move around. Of course, he could also play LF initially himself. Otherwise, he begins at St Paul to be be able to play and hit daily and be the first guy brought up when there is an opening. It's just math and numbers.
- 12 Days of Twinsmas: #8 Kent Hrbek
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Let’s Remember Some Guys: Twins Players with Short Stints
Frankie Eufemia, as a recall, was a sidearmer in 1985. Not even sure how I remember him, lol.
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Let’s Remember Some Guys: Twins Players with Short Stints
Jim Eisenreich, 48 games played with a career de-railed by a medical conditions and then a pretty decent and long career after 2yrs virtually out of the game.
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10 Breakout Twins Prospect Candidates: 1-5
I agree we could debate about a few guys on the list and where to rank them, etc, but I think it's a good list. And I will be watching all 10 of these young guys, along with everyone else in the system, lol. But a couple quick thoughts: 1] Raya grabbed my interest the moment he was selected. No definitive reason why, but I was hugely disappointed he was out this past year. He's a long ways away and hasn't pitched in a while competitively, but I'm really excited to see him in 2022. 2] I think Big 10 baseball is vastly underrated and I'm thinking Hajjar might surprise and fly through the system. 3] Young, but super talented and with something approaching a full season under his belt, despite the interruption of is year with the Olympics, does SWR make a huge move in 2022? 4] A little surprised Cavaco wasn't on this list. He's young and athletic and was actually Ft Myers best hitter the first half of 2021 before an injury. Does he jump up in 2022? 5] I recognize there is a chance Duran might move to the pen at some point. But that's also kinda true for every brilliant, hard throwing arm that runs in to any sort of difficulty. ANY kind of decent, solid 3rd pitch and he has the ability to be a ML SP, and maybe a very good one. I am very anxious to see him up with the Twins. But he has an electric arm and exciting stuff. And I would do everything I could to keep him in the rotation for as long as possible. While I HATE being patient, when you have an arm like his, and that much potential, I'd keep him in AAA as long as necessary because the final payoff could be HUGE.
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The Twins Prospect You’re (Actually) Waiting For
Could Julian have any better first season in pro ball? OK, the BA could be a little better I guess, but when you have that incredible OB ability, it tells me the BA will rise. He was outstanding and I don't feel we've talked enough about him. I do wonder if there's any chance he can/could play even a "decent" SS for added versatility value? I'm also big on Steer.
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The Twins Prospect You’re (Actually) Waiting For
I'm still holding out some hope for Cavaco and him turning a corner in 2022. For the first half of 2021, he was Ft Myers best hitter. And while he has a long way to go, and will have basically not pitched competitively for almost 2yrs, I'm really excited to see what Marco Raya does this next year.
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The Twins Prospect You’re (Actually) Waiting For
I was really disappointed in Rooker last year. Previously, he's always shown the ability to adapt to each level successfully. After a tease in 2020, I thought he had a chance to make some kind of mark in 2021. I fully appreciate there is a big step from AAA to MLB, but again, Rocker has always settled in and "figured it out" before. If Larnach needs a little more time, which is very possible, I would not be shocked to see Rooker and a healthy Cave...if he finds the 2018-19 version of himself...suddenly sharing LF in 2022, at least initially. And that wouldn't be a bad thing, although a small reach, as it would mean even more depth and even more trade possibilities. I think Wallner can hit. The power is real. He's got a good arm. From everything I've read/heard, he's at least average defensively. I fully expect him to begin 2022 in Wichita at this point. They key for him, like Rooker, like Sano, and others, is to be able to control his hitting zone and not be a flailing, almost automatic out/consistent K victim. We've had fun in Forum and Main Page speculation about a future Twins lineup in a couple of years and Sabato has often been brought up as a DH and 1B option. And that may be. And I mean no disrespect to Sabato who be an absolute masher with quality OB skills, but Wallner, able to be a legitimate corner OF, would probably be more valuable if his bat plays.
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Twins Future Position Analysis: Center Field
So Celestino WILL BE a top 4th OF with a nice combination of offensive skills to prove to be valuable, at least until he hits FA down the road or the Twins trade him. My opinion. But I'm not going to push him again, unnecessarily at this point. I'm going to bring in someone like Pillar for 1yr if I'm trying to have a good 2022 team. He fits, won't cost much, and is easy to walk away from if necessary. But Kepler and Gordon can also fill in, assuming Kepler is still around. I am not crazy about Gordon in CF, but I was very surprised at how well he adapted so quickly on the fly. I wouldn't have protected Cave. But I kinda understood why they did. Glad he's off the 40 man, because he should be at this point. But I wouldn't sleep on him. Despite his offense disappearing, I think his defense actually improved. If healthy, I could see him forcing his way back to the 40 man if his bat returns to his 2018-19 version of his past self. It won't be an easy road, but I could see it happening.
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Twins Future Position Analysis: Shortstop
I'm sure Seth or someone else could correct me on this, but in regard to Lewis in the AFL, I think teams can designate a position preference for a couple of their players assigned. I may be remembering incorrectly, but am thinking that is the case. Regardless, Lewis struggled with some nagging injuries during 2019 but was still promoted about mid season before his trip to the AFL where his bat came alive and he earned MVP. I don't pretend to know Lewis's future at SS defensively. I know he has the arm strength and athleticism to play the position. I have seen a few ST games where he looked fine. And I've seen some hilight plays that looked outstanding. And if you can make those plays, then you should have the ability to make the routine plays as well, even if you are a little rough around the edges. And after positive "reports" of Lewis out of the secondary site in 2020, I'm still on his bandwagon. I think the Twins are as well. But I dismiss any notion he's ready for some early audition for 2022. Martin is a different story. He's a great athlete with a bat and decent speed and power potential who has been given a shot at SS because of his athleticism. I say "go for it" and give him a shot! He may surprise! At worst, he may be a fill-in. I do think it's a mistake to leave Palacios out of the conversation. He re-discovered the ability to hit and added some extra pop on his return to the Twins system. Other than that, this is the weakest position in the system to be sure. The "good news" is that there are some still very young options in low A that have a chance to take a step forward in 2022. Looking at you Cavaco and Javier in particular. I'm willing to Howard a pass for now as 2021 was his first year of pro ball. The one guy I'm really interested in is Steer. I'm not expecting him to suddenly morph in to a legitimate daily SS, but he's been playing the position. Could he handle it on an occasional basis as a utility player? If so, it adds even more to his future value.
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Where are you currently with this FO?
While not happy with this off-season at the moment in almost every way, Buxton being the obvious good news, I have resolved myself to not only attempt some patience and ignore recency bias, but to take a step back and look at their entire tenure. Sorry if I repeat points already stated. 1] I think they had a very large task to re-make the franchise from the top down. This includes the analytics department, coaching staffs, instructors, approach changes from said coaches and instructors, and just about anything else you can name. I think they've done a great job across the board there. Look no further than other teams pilfering our off the field talent and some beginning to copy changes in hiring practices by looking at college coaches and younger coaching options vs the standard old boys network and the such. 2] While I haven't liked or agreed with every trade made, or every draft selection, I feel the talent acquisition has been quality. The Odorizzi and Maeda moves were borderline outstanding. And they brought in additional arms in 2021. 3] Like it or not...and I don't care about any other team...the lost 2020 season tossed a serious monkey wrench in the development of the next wave of pitching prospects in the system. YES, they need to overcome and adapt. The Maeda move gave this team a top of the rotation arm to join Berrios in 2020. So I object they haven't made a serious move after being told a hard NO from Wheeler. Hill also helped out. The ST version of Maeda in 2021 was everything we could hoped for. But then everything went wrong once the season began. Impossible to predict. It's easy to look back and chastise the Happ and Soemaker moves NOW. Shoemaker was a smart move based on his career and his 2020. He was to be a solid, veteran, mid rotation bridge. In fact, he looked decent early. Shoemaker was a cheap depth piece flier with some optimism. On paper, the rotation was set up to be quite good. Because everything that could go wrong did is the fault of Falvey and Levine? So when I step back and look at the big picture, all the changes, improvements, moves made, wins, etc, I am happy and supportive even with the allowance of a mistake or two. I think they have been good to excellent in what they have built and I recognize the overall plan they have in their construction, even if things have been knocked off the rails a bit recently. ALL OF THAT BEING SAID, I have SEROUS ISSUES with how this off-season has been handled thus far beyond the Buxton extension. (And I'm not going invest in the Berrios debate because it's almost it's own topic and I feel there are points, counter-points and probably missing information we will never be privy to). Forget MY blueprint plan or anyone else's. They're just a fun exercise after all. The fact is the Twins had some serious money to spend to re-tool for 2022 with a solid lineup in place, the potential for a quality bullpen, but real needs in the rotation. And the Buxton extension does nothing to blow up payroll and address additional opportunities. This FA class offered up MULTIPLE options to re-tool without blowing up payroll or adversely affecting the future. Stroman, and his contract were a perfect match/opportunity. And he signed with the Cubs? Pick your FA SP? They virtually all signed for chalk, 3 or 4yrs at almost exact predictions. Even if we didn't sign Stoman to lead the staff, we couldn't absorb a pair of $14M deals to front the rotation for 3 to 4yrs? Even if/when the current pipeline starts producing....as it started to with Ober and Ryan last year...the payroll would fine with those minimum additions, plus Donaldson comes off the books in 2yrs if kept, plus Maeda and his easily navigable salary is only 1 more year, (maybe a fairly inexpensive re-sign?), plus the 2 arms signed this off-season might hold quality trade value in a year or two. Win-win! You spend $ to front your rotation and keep your team competitive. You put butts in the seats for ownership. You give your team a legitimate shot to, well, take a shot. You work in your young talent over the next season or two, and you might have trade assets. Instead, you have Bundy. Now, I'm not upset about Bundy. Some combination of his 2 best seasons in Baltimore and his 2020 with the Angels is enticing. But IMO, they have WASTED opportunity gift wrapped to them. Unless they are going to just waste the opportunity to compete in 2022, they have few avenues now to correct the current direction. And sorry, signing the good but questionable Story for $20M+ and 5yrs isn't the answer. 1] Rodon was the one very obvious omission FA SP to not be gobbled up thus far. We all know why. He wasn't quite the same after his IL stint, but he wasn't bad. Unless there is something serious lingering, he should be ready to go in 2022. If the Twins want to compete, then take a damn risk for once on a 1yr or 1+1 that could pay a huge dividend! They HAVE the payroll flexibility to do so. Then sign the next best FA you believe in or pull off another smart trade like Odorizzi or Maeda and give your team a workable rotation and promote and plug-in the prospects throughout the season. Add someone competent at SS, add one solid BP arm, add a flier, maybe add a cheap 4th OF option, and you have a shot. All very do-able. 2] Make a trade for ONE quality SP, then sign the best FA option left you like and follow the rest of the plan laid out in the previous point. The results COULD turn out as well, BUT, you already traded for a SP. Could you possibly be smart and savy enough to trade for two? 3] You trade ML roster players and/or milb prospects for TWO SP. Maybe you hit a couple HR's here. But how much have you given up? What about building depth and sustainability? What have you given up for a couple 1 or 2yr contracts, potentially? And if you trade someone from the ML roster, who then replacez them? My FO grade is probably a B+, maybe an A for everything they've done thus far for the ENTIRETY of what they've done thus far. And I DO NOT want my opinion of them to nosedive from a single off-season. But unless they find a way to correct what I see as a huge error of missed opportunity, they are currently crashing to an overall C grade at best. A few big mistakes can undo a lot of good things very quickly. Going to be really interesting to see what happens after the lockout ends.
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The Twins Probably Need an Outfielder. What's Available?
Nick, a well thought arguement and one I've shared for a while without stating such. LF is a question mark for 2022 and the 4th OF is open and debatable. But it's not to say there aren't options. Larnach is the #1 guy so AK can concentrate more on 1B. I think Arraez can and will still play a little LF if his knees are sound. (Why he played so little there in 2021). Miranda may get some time there just to get his bat in the lineup. Yes, Rooker and Cave are still around. They could be anywhere from awful to excellent platoon based on history. And, you even have Gordon for a speedy fill-in. I don't want to rush Celestino again, or Martin, so I'm trying to think of each as mid season options other than "break glass in case emergency" scenarios. So IMO, unless Kepler is moved as part of a deal, I only see a quality 4th OF being added or needed. Pillar and Herrera probably make the most sense. Again, things change if they move Kepler NOW.
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Luis Ramirez and Hank Conger Join Baldelli's 2022 Coaching Staff
That video was AWESOME! What is Domingo Ayala doing these days? Could he be brought in as another assistant for morale and comedy relief? Assistant catching and morale coach? I felt like I was watching a new age Python sketch, LOL. On a serious note, one of the best things I think the FO has done has been hiring good coaches throughout the system, though we have, unfortunately also lost some of them. But I've also applauded them in recent years as to making their staffs more culturally varied. I think they've done a great job focusing on Latin coaches from the ML on down. That is so important in regard to not only development, but from a simple communication standpoint.
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Twins Future Position Analysis: Second Base
While I expect nobody to man 2B other than Polanco for the next 3-5yrs or so, I really like the depth at 2B over and above Arraez and Gordon. While the jury is still out on any prospect, Steer, Julian and Severino, there is some exciting potential there. At this point, I view Soularie as an "athlete" looking for a position. Steer and Julian have moved around the diamond and field and could offer some great super utility options with potential offense, including pop/power and even some speed in different combinations. Thus far, Steer has seen some time at SS at each of his stops. I don't know how good his glove is overall, much less how well he plays SS, but I'm really hoping he can be serviceable there to increase his overall value. I think Steer's ETA is 2023 but wouldn't be shocked if he made a ML appearance late in 2022.
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AFTER the lockout, what do the Twins need to do?
PLEASE, this is NOT supposed to be more angst about what WASN'T done or how PO'd and disappointed we all are...me included...before the lockout, in regard to to opportunities that passed by because the FO either was caught off guard by rapid signings, or just decided they were taking a different course that we can only guess at, speculate at, etc. This post is about WHAT DO THEY DO NOW? To be any sort of competitive team in 2022 vs a re-build...which we are told is not coming...and there IS still a nucleus on hand...there are 4 primary areas to address for 2022: 1] SP 2] SP 3] SS 4] At least one solid BP option to augment what is on hand vs just depth and flier possibilities. I will begin. I have always felt the Twins would make at least ONE trade for a SP for 2022. The names, the organizations, are out there. I still believe a trade will be made. Oakland and Cincinnati may be the best opportunities for such. Each team has tantalizing options, some with SP options with varying amounts of control. I am not going to name a single player or trade proposal because I'm leaving the forum up to you all. So who do you feel makes the most sense to trade for? Do we look at Castillo and pay a ransom? Or do we look at Oakland for one of 3 arms with different control options? We need at least one more SP option. It makes ZERO sense for the Twins to accumulate milb position depth position and pitching wise and then just churn them over when they speak about sustainability. So unless they find a steal somewhere, they are going to need to spend some $ on another FA. Kershaw and Greinke are out of the equation for various reasons, IMO. Kikuchi is still out there, unless I've missed his returning to Japan. Pineda is still a smart re-sign, who I liked much better than Bundy, even though Bundy might have a higher ceiling. I DON'T like a trade for a quality arm and Pineda and Bundy but it may be a reality with some hope. And that hope may be disastrous, but I'm not sold. The ONE remaining arm that COULD make a difference is Rodon. Thus far, everyone has passed, including the Dirty Sox. Some rumors have Chicago passing due to payroll and young pitching they want to work in. He was OUTSTANDING before missing time due to injury, yet again, but seemed sound at the end of the season. If the medicals seem OK, do the Twins take a shot on a 1yr deal for a potential difference maker who could make anywhere from 20-25 GS? Could he and Pineda and Bundy be a sort of bridge of production while Ober and Ryan and our top prospects work their way in? I have to say I don't think Story fits in the Twins plans at SS, IMO. The years, the numbers, questions about offensive sustainability, I don't think he fits. They need a SS. It's going to be a short signing for someone, and I'm OK with that if they really have faith in Lewis. Despite the urgency that other organizations felt to sign SP, the RP market is pretty much open still. There are some interesting arms still out there to add at least ONE quality arm for the pen to POTENTIALLY have a quality pen. And they need to make sure the BP is deep and ready to go, with depth, hopefully with a guy or two has options to shuttle. Just my thoughts. But this OP is about what the Twins need to do after the lockout and the CBA is settled. What would YOU DO?
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Would you sign Andrelton Simmons to a one-year, $5m contract?
I like your thought process and kind of agree. If the Twins bring in Story...which I don't think will happen...I'd be excited. I just don't know that I trust his offense going forward. I like Villar or Iglesias on a short deal quite a bit. I'm actually intrigued by Goodrum but not entirely sold. Personally, I don't like Simmons anti-vaccination stance, or his openess in sharing his thoughts, but I don't hold his opinion against him. I like his defense, instincts and leadership in the field, even if his defense slipped a bit. If he's good in the clubhouse, then he's good with me. While I have no great expectations for him offensively, he was pretty decent for about 4-5yrs before 2021. I think he's a real bounceback candidate to be at least decent again. So I am not dismissing him as our 2022 SS for $5M.
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Minor League Rule 5 Draft
Forgive my memory, but wasn't Maciel the OF we got in the Escobar trade a couple of years ago?
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Former Twins Cooperstown Case: AJ Pierzynski
I guess I always have thought of him as a quality offensive catcher but had forgotten just how good until I read the OP. He was always quality behind the plate and tough as nails. He was one of those "redass" players that you love on your team but hated to play against. (Not sure tobthis day exactly why he fit so poorly with the Giants). I think he was VERY GOOD and undervalued in large, but I don't think he's HOF worthy. Note: The Twins had a game of the day I watched late in the year on the MLB app in which he was the color man and found him enjoyable to listen to.
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Tony Oliva, Jim Kaat Elected to the Hall of Fame
Been a Twins fan for over 50yrs since I was around 5yrs old. But I didn't really understand what was going on or who guys were for a few more years. Mid 70's I became plugged in. And I remember the days of Hosken Powell and Willie Norwood, followed by others and can barely recall Oliva as part of those teams. So I never got to enjoy, much less appreciate, what he did in his career. But I know the numbers and the accolades. As already pointed out by Trov, Oliva and Puckett are very similar as outstanding producers who DOMINATED before injury. I often think/reflect on someone like Sayers in the NFL. There is room for outstanding/dominate careers curtailed by injury. Oliva should have been in long ago! And Kaat had a long and tremendous career. Both have given back since their retirement in so many ways. Hell, Kaat could almost be included just as a broadcaster! So happy that both are in and feel each is so deserving.
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Rob Manfred's Public Arguments Framing the MLBPA's Desires As Harmful to Fans Make Little Sense
Just to be clear, I'm not on either side of the aisle here. I'm on the side of BASEBALL and the health and well-being of the game! The owners are just that, they OWN their business and have a right to profits and control and structure of their business. The players absolutely have the right to benefits and financial rewards and opportunity for growth as a player and individual. IMO, BOTH sides are to blame as neither side seems to be concerned about the game itself. The owners appear to me to just be obtuse about the health and growth if the game. How can they not see the health, wealth and growth of the NFL where things such as balanced revenue sharing and financial floors and ceilings create much better open competition for all franchises in the league? Again, my opinion, how can the union also not see the same things in the NFL? Further, it feels they are concerned more about the wealth of the top 10-20% "star" players and their earnings and less about the bulk of the players and their salaries that make up the league as a whole. If a floor and cap situation restricts the earnings of that top 20% but the remaining 80% earn more, isn't that a good thing? Isn't the purpose of a union to provide better pay and benefits for ALL members? Isn't a strong game, with shared wealth, and opportunjty for ALL franchises to compete and make the sport more balanced and fun for everyone, including the fans? Doesn't that lead to greater popularity for the game to grow and more than likely increase financial growth? I don't think Manfred's letter does anything other than toss fuel on a smoldering fire of discontent, even if his points have validity. But I am against ANYTHING that increases an already lopsided playing field for the "haves" and further lessens competitive balance and opportunity for all franchises and the health and growth of the game.
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Ranking the Top-5 Remaining Free Agent Shortstops
I really can't disagree with your argument, but I'm forced to. Despite angst and argument that the FO may have been egregiously patient and short-sighted in regard to just spending available $ to bring in at least 1 if not 2 quality arms that could easily fit in to budget parameters....different arguement that frustrates and confuses me....we know how the numbers usually work out. If you have 10 top pitching prospects, 2 will be good to great. Two more might be solid. A couple more might be good to better as RP. Numbers matter. And from the draft and trade, there is a large number of arms in the system right now. The FO has done that part right. Right now, the Twins HAVE to make at least one trade to put together a decent rotation. And they may surprise us, as they have done previously. But when you have built this much depth, I'm concerned you would deal too much too soon. Strotman is an example that confuses me, for example. A year ago, or so, he was a better rated prospect than Ryan. Coming off surgery, and then missing all of 2020, suddenly he's a "bum" to some because he jumped to AAA and was mediocre. Just silliness. I think the Twins are going to have to give up at least one of their pitching prospects, maybe two, to aquire a solid SP via trade. I'm OK with that. But history shows you need pitching depth, arms to work with. Arms for tomorrow. I just wouldn't give up more than a couple of arms, tops, in a trade. I'd rather spend a few $M more to augment my roster and hold on to the best arms I can, at this point, and make ONE trade move while keeping as much as I can.
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Ranking the Top-5 Remaining Free Agent Starting Pitchers
For a moment, forgetting my confusion and utter disappointment at what the FO has NOT DONE at this point, I see a semi-clear path as to their intentions. I can easily see the Twins offering Rodon a 1yr deal, and very easily a 1+1, for around $18M. Why? Because the talent is there, the upside is there, and there is "no such thing as a bad 1yr deal". And if they do a +1, the buyout would probably be small. Why wouldn't the Dirty Sox keep him? Don't they know him better than anyone? Yes. Great points! But as aggressive as they have been, they still have a payroll to consider as well. And they HAVE been VERY aggressive. Further, they may have some plans for promotion, etc. I'm not crazy about Rodon, but he seemed to be OK in his brief late appearances after coming off the IL. The Twins have been seemingly good about nurturing the IP by their SP the last few years. Do they trust their scouts and med profiles to take a shot for a 1yr with an option? I have no idea. But the reward could be great, even if he's only available for 22-25 GS. It's a gamble they just might take. The risk/reward might be worth it for 1yr while getting the prospects in the system a little more time to rise up. I, like most of us, feel Pineda is back. And I'm OK with that even though I don't expect 30 GS from him. It would be awesome if he could do so because he's experienced, solid, and proven when healthy. He's a great bridge to the prospects getting more time to come up. I DESPISE the idea of the Twins making more than ONE trade for a quality SP, thinking Oakland as an obvious partner. I say this because unless you get a steal or two, why would you decimate the ML roster or lose 4-6 top 20 prospects unless you got CONTOLLABLE pitchers for more than 2yrs? I've always thought the Twins would make at least one trade for a SP. Hopefully, it's a smart trade that won't hurt. But even then, they still need a Kikuchi or Pineda signing to just put a semi-decent rotation in place.
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Ranking the Top-5 Remaining Free Agent Shortstops
I've been kinda in on Galvis as a good glove with some power/pop. And I've been lukewarm but OK with Simmons if the Twins really believe his 2021 bat was an aberation from his previous 4 years or so. But I'm starting to think hard on Villar for his bat and OK defense. While I love and want good defense, I'm starting to wonder just how important a great glove at SS fits in today's game vs a better bat and OK defense. Story would be exciting and a great get. I'd be happy if they got him. My hunch is the Twins are still going to look harder at pitching via trade and at least 1 of the best remaining FA rather than decimate the roster or milb system with a series of trades. I mean, they went out and accomplished their intent to bolster the system with arms to develop and sort through. Why would they now trade those arms so soon? I just think they're going to go short term at SS and believe in Lewis.