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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    What’s your go site to for stats? why? Mix and match? what are your favorite stats for specific applications? why?
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    data is a lot like baking a cake. If you like or dislike something you can change the recipe to improve the quality of your metric. also like baking a cake, consistency is critical for a high quality cake.
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    WAR gets calculated slightly differently depending on your source. I like Fangraphs. FWAR is the shorthand for Fangraphs Wins Above Replacement the link goes to the Fangraphs library where they define the stats. For hitting I like wRC+ because it puts hitters relative to all other hitters (100 as average) by components of run creation. For pitchers FIP is a great stat. It predicts ERA better than historic ERA does by calculating out if a pitched were to experience league average BABIP For fielding I like OAA
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    Buxton, Correa, Gray, Lopez, Miranda
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    Rooting for Dobnak. I think there could be a multi-inning reliever/swing man role for him on this team in ‘23. Some of his value is he may not be in the development track like SWR who can come in for 3-4 relief innings make spot starts, in the early part of the season that’s really valuable when not everyone is stretched out and Maeda/Mahle might not be quite 100%
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    And the Pohlads own tv/movie production companies. How long until they crank up VS1 again? I bet it’s already in the works. Joe becoming owner head guy wasn’t a fluke/accident. The Twins saw this coming
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    How many of the 3.5m are Yankees or Dodgers fans out of market? 2.5m? 3? It’s more like 20k per team and 2.5m Yankees fans.
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    You’re right. No one cares because most of us can’t watch the Twins anyways. The more it hurts the Twins and the MLB, the more likely a big change for the better
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Had a blast! Great event as usual!
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    My guess is Larnach, Celestino, Gallo, Gordon, Kepler, Wallner
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    While I agree with your opinion that Falvine received great value for Arraez, value is relative. Value is opinion. Opinion is not fact. if the Marlins GM feels Arraez was worth it, the Marlins got value too. after all, it takes two to tango.
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    Me too!
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    I don’t see the Twins as a juggernaut either, and Tigers/Royals are less of the pushovers they have been
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    The odds of an NFL style below .500 division winner skyrocketed.
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    But the division weighted schedule is gone right?
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    That’s how they’ll overcome the shift ban! 2 outfielders and an extra infielder!
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    It is a narrow statement. He has a narrow skill set. Last year was a terrible year even though his K rate was only slightly elevated and BB rate only slightly below his career averages. Aligned close enough, that seeing his HR/FB drop in the Manfred Ball era would make me pessimistic about the value he can bring with the stick. The shift ban doesn’t help on flyballs. Unless Gallo suddenly gets the Judge treatment, he’s a 4th outfielder defensive replacement
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    And 16 is the composite I rely on daily. There’s something for everyone!
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    It was even
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    His only value is in outfield defense.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Or 5 and fly
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m not against bringing in a RH bench bat, but Gurriel would not be an improvement over what they have. There aren’t really good options in free agency right now, anyways.
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    Correct, and neither against righties or lefties is he above 100 wRC+. 96 against righties, 88 against lefties. So he has reverse splits of what you want and neither are particularly good. Garlick, on the other hand… 126 wRC+ against Lefties…. 63 against Righties. 8M+ for Profar interests me as much as Gallo… that is to say I hate the Gallo signing, and would hate Profar signing as well.
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Sano is 2” taller and 60lbs heavier
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    The Twins traded away Mr Balky knees…. maybe injuries are a part of the game?
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