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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Because, in the big ticket contracts, the total is what the agent and player care about. AAV matters to the team, total dollars is what the player and agent care about. Correa wanted the highest dollar amount possible, Bonilla day is fine with him. $28 per or 26, it’s all huge money and plenty to live like a king. The 315 is generational wealth that his grandkids maybe great-grandkids won’t have to work a day in their lives. But to the team that 8 years 315 mil is 39 mil per year vs 26 mil per on 12 years. 13 mil per year gives the team tons of flexibility. They’re paying 315 no matter what.
  2. Correa won’t even be the SS…. Makes you wonder what might have been….
  3. For the Twins Eovaldi would not be their best starting pitcher. 1) Gray 2) Ryan 3) Mahle 4) Paddack Then Maeda, Eovaldi, & Ober Eovaldi doesn’t even raise the floor, he has the same injury issues that half the starters already on the team are already dealing with.
  4. They do, but none of the options in free agency move the needle, and a DFA candidate cheap no hit utility quad a type gets them by until Lewis/Lee are ready. Iglesias riding the pine for 10 mil doesn’t make sense
  5. This, I’d add for Starting Pitching and Bullpen, a needle mover improves more than the floor, specifically swing man and early innings don’t move the needle ever. Leverage relievers and front of rotation (for this year, mid rotation in previous years) move the needle.
  6. I’ll echo the Sano whiff. I really thought he’d have enough Power and walks to overcome the Ks i thought Berrios trade was a mistake im sure there are many, many more that I’m missing
  7. Sure he’s played CF. If he’s an $11M 4th outfielder who gives Celestino time in AAA, I’ll be pleasantly surprised. OAA paints a different picture than “elite fielder”. Not sure I believe that stat, but it’s the best perspective I have. Gold gloves are typically hitting awards, more than fielding awards, but reputation does mean something. For his career he has a 0 OAA, in 2022 -3 or -2 in LF and RF, 2021 he was +6 in RF and 0 in left. 2019 he was 0 in CF. I’ll take league average fielding or better if he hits like he did prior to 2022. the challenge is, outfielders need to HIT, and 2022 was when they installed the Manfred ball. There’s no indication the Manfred ball is going away. The Manfred ball sapped power across the league. From 6776 home runs league wide in 2019 to 5215 in 2022. 23% decrease in dingers. Maybe Gallo banks a bunch of doubles off the limestone, but man I’m skeptical. can he rebound? Sure, it’s possible. Will he? Doubtful. what are the other moves that come with it? Does he replace Kepler? Larnach? Celestino? There’s a few plausible outcomes here that depend greatly on return from trade. I’m skeptical
  8. For career at bats qualified Gallo is number 34 non-pitcher fewest sacrifice flies since 1954 when the stat was tracked by MLB. That includes offensive stalwarts like Oswaldo Arcia, so I raised the bar from qualified to 2k at bats. that makes Gallo number 2 behind something called Ryan Freel who had 21 sac hits, making Gallo likely number 1 im not sure what this prestige tells us though, since Ted Williams had no Sac hits and only 20 sac flies in his career. He likely just had enormous RISP and only played a few years after the stat was instituted
  9. fangraphs says 3 sac flies and 1 “sac hit” which I assume to be a sac bunt or fielders choice that scored a run. So 4 sacrifices in his career
  10. I remembered the Jack Kennedy bit, forgot about misspelling potato bit. I was 8.
  11. Last offseason had a plan? “Holy crap look at all the pitchers sign, let’s get Dylan Bundy” and “OMG that flier on Correa worked!” was a plan?!
  12. I’m sad…. what if instead of Kepler being traded away, it’s Larnach?
  13. This! It’s not the contract and whether or not Correa signed it, it’s the dithering while their competitors signed the players they needed to sign. A trade for a fine utility player and fine catcher does not a successful offseason make. Now there’s no free agents available that move the needle and the question becomes “should the Twins sell?” yuck
  14. 13 years just spreads the money out for cash flow. Correa, Boras and Zaidi themselves don’t expect Correa to be playing in 13 years.
  15. Is this FO incompetent, that they can’t effectively multitask, to fill gaps in the roster while negotiating with Correa, or are they so hamstrung by budget that they can’t afford to sign Correa and fill other holes adequately? both paint a picture of incompetence as resigning one player you can’t afford is just as bad as not being able to multitask as a basic pre-requisite of management
  16. Ugh… the post WM swirl and miss.., just ugh

  17. I’d rather the Twins pay his salary, and trade very little in minor league capital to get Crawford. Honestly, I think they should turn attention away from SS, now. They need hitters, and the available options at SS are not really upgrades from Farmer. Swanson could be, but with one season of good hitting, not sure I’d bet the Farm(er) on that.
  18. FTFY i still think Correa was worth the 350 mil. The length of the contract is just the way to spread the money to make it work for the team cash flow. I understand why the Twins didn’t match or beat that, but I’m still disappointed
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