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TFRazor

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Everything posted by TFRazor

  1. TFRazor
    I wanted to see how confident you were in your hand. Since you're obviously working with at least 3 aces off the draw, I fold.
  2. TFRazor
    Please don't tell me we're going to start asking why Lance Lynn didn't perform as well as Justin Verlander. We all know exactly why. Verlander is a possible hall of famer. Lance Lynn, while he's good, is very much not.
  3. TFRazor
    Ok that makes sense. I was going paranoid when I couldn't find a pitcher named Russell anywhere in the organization
  4. TFRazor
    I really don't think any of those teams are going to be willing to offer dozier that deal. Yankees: Are going to get one of Harper, Machado, or Kershaw. I'm leaning towards Machado (easier to fit him into the lineup than Harper unless either Harper or Stanton or Judge are willing to move to first base) so they won't turn around and drop 100 mil on an older infielder. Mets: Aren't really in a win-now position to tie up that much salary on one guy. (Ownership is also cheap but what can you do?) Bos: Pedroia may be on fumes but he's still under contract. They are also looking at contract extensions in the next few years for the Killer B's so they don't have much room to play with Angels: Ian Kinsler and they've been burned on their last two big free agent signings for lots of money over lots of years (Hamilton and Pujols) Dodgers: They could've had two years of Dozier at his current salary but all they were willing to give up was 1 pitcher with a pretty extensive injury history so I doubt they're going to turn around and hand him 100mil when he's 2 years older. I don't disagree with you that those are the usual suspects, I just think that it's going to take a perfect storm of a free agency for Dozier to get 100mil. I just don't see the market for him. This is why I still think that how the team performs this year is going to be important on where Dozier ends up. If they make a deep run (fingers crossed, BRING HOME THE HARDWARE!!!!) I could see dozier coming back for **less money because they're a contender mixed with the comfort and familiarity factor. **Less money in that $70million is mathematically less money than $80million, but you're not crying in your sleep because you "only" got $70million. Especially if it's only over 3 years (which is totally a deal I would offer him during free agency)
  5. TFRazor
    Who?
  6. TFRazor
    This one gets chalked up to Verlander doing Verlander things. This is why he's one of the best in the game. Our pitching was good enough to win, but we just couldn't figure out how to get that one timely hit. If all three games of this series are close like this one, I'm reassured in that it means our guys can hang with the big boys.
  7. TFRazor
    Just curious, what teams do you see as being candidates for giving Dozier 5+ at $100mil?
  8. TFRazor
    Sad thing is he doesn't even have to be terrible for it to be a bad contract. If Blackmon has just decent numbers throughout the deal, it's still a terrible one to make.
  9. TFRazor
    I think that the upcoming offseason is going to have an absolute landslide of changes in MLB free agency. We're going to have the largest deals in league history (Harper, Machado), and I think we're going to see a complete shift on what kinds of contracts 2nd-tier veterans are going to be looking for. If I'm a veteran player on Dozier's level I would very seriously considered a short term, high AAV contract. For example, Dozier is sitting on two offers, one at 5yrs and 100mil, other at 3yrs and 75 mil. Let's say he accepts the 3yr deal. Assuming good health and that he just maintains his current level of play, he would be reentering free agency again at 34 with another 3yrs of solid results. He could then be on the lookout for another similar contract. If the second deal is equal to the first, he could be looking at 140mil over 6yrs instead of 100mil over 5. Hopefully we win the World Series first, but this offseason is going to be fascinating to watch.
  10. TFRazor
    Whether he's earned it or not is immaterial. What's going to matter is what the bidders value him at. If last offseason is any indication, that's not going to be anywhere near 100 mil over a lot of years. I will say that's not a statement on how they value Dozier personally, but how the views on veteran players looking for big deals has shifted. Assuming that this devaluation on veterans continues I would absolutely floored if he walks out of next offseason making above 100mil over 5 years or more.
  11. TFRazor
    It's all going to come down to what kind of a free agent market this offseason turns into. If after the big names like Harper and Machado are gone does it revert to a couple of years ago where vets were getting big deals? Or this past offseason where they couldn't seem to catch a break? I think the team is willing to let him hit the market and circle back around to him once the market has been set on the second-tier guys. Honestly don't think blackmon's deal is going to set much of a precedent for what's going to happen in 7 months.
  12. TFRazor
    There's not enough like buttons in the world for me to demonstrate how much I agree with this statement.
  13. TFRazor
    Gibby!!! We are not worthy!
  14. TFRazor
    Never claimed anyone was being unreasonable. Was simply saying relax. It's only game 1.
  15. TFRazor
    Did we just lose the World Series? Because the way I'm reading some of this, we just lost the World Series. Chillax people. It's game number 1.
  16. TFRazor
    I think it's going to be interesting to watch Odorizzi in the opener as he is quite used to pitching against the Orioles and I want to see our offense explode right out of the gate. It's Opening Day. The best day of the year. http://gifimage.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/im-ready-to-party-gif-9.gif
  17. TFRazor
    I get that you don't like him as the closer because you're afraid the wheels are going to fall off. Valid. You can't however say he is ineffective. At a certain point you have to go with what gets results. However he's doing it, Rodney over his career has produced good results. It's not like there were any Craig Kimbrels on the market. As for the 100% comment that's just ridiculous. Saving 100% of the opportunities is the exact opposite of awful. All that matters at the end of the day is adding that W to the record.
  18. TFRazor
    How about an 87% save rate? Because that's exactly what Rodney had last season. In 2016, Rodney had an 89%. Mariano Rivera for his career was at 89%. (Fun little aside, Joe Nathan had a better save percentage than Mariano Rivera. Admittedly, over fewer opportunites. Rivera over his career: 89.071%. Joe over his: 89.125%)
  19. TFRazor
    So in other words yes, you can win a gold glove with league average defence. Rosie gets to league average and roll the dice. Personally I think he's better than -1.6. Last year was a weird year defensively for him.
  20. TFRazor
    Did you see Alex Gordon play left last year? Apparently average defense can get you a gold glove. In other words, LET'S GO ROSIE!!!!!!!
  21. TFRazor
    They're right up there with Howard, Fine & Howard when it comes to personal injury
  22. TFRazor
    Hey, Gimenez was far and away our best mop up duty pitcher last year. Don't know how we're going to replace him.
  23. TFRazor
    Is it too much to hope for a Minnesota sweep of the Gold Glove Awards for the outfield?
  24. TFRazor
    Who doesn't love a guy finally making good after years of busting his tail. He's looked legitimately good this spring and honestly it hasn't even been that small of a sample size.
  25. TFRazor
    We're just going to have to agree to disagree. They even discussed how the twins could make a deal with Miami to keep Kinley less than an hour ago on the game broadcast
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