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To say Miranda’s breakout was a surprise is an understatement. The Twins left him off the 40-man roster last winter, and he went unpicked in the Rule 5 Draft. A solid but unspectacular hitter before 2021, Miranda adjusted his approach at the plate and unlocked tremendous power.
Among 302 upper-minors hitters in 2021, Miranda led in average (.344) and hits (184). Miranda finished in the top 10 in homers (30), OPS (.973), wRC+ (158), and strikeout rate (12.5%). It was an impeccable season for the 23-year-old from Puerto Rico.
Steamer by FanGraphs projects Miranda to hit .282/.329/.460 with 15 homers and 2.0 Wins Above Replacement for the Twins in 2022. That’s quite a statement for a player whom the Twins didn’t see fit to keep on the 40-man just 12 months ago.
Similar to Alex Kirilloff last year, the Twins have a decision to make on Miranda. But unlike Kirilloff, who hadn’t appeared in a regular season game in over a year before struggling mightily in spring training, Miranda has checked every conceivable box to this point. He has nothing left to prove.
The last-place Twins could’ve given Miranda a look last September but opted to keep Andrelton Simmons at short, blocking any path for Miranda to make his debut. The situation is the same this winter. Unless Jorge Polanco is moved back to shortstop (he won’t), there simply isn’t a starting spot for Miranda, who projects as a first, second, and third baseman in the majors.
Luis Arraez and Josh Donaldson will likely split time at third base and DH, with Miguel Sanó spending time at first and presumably DH as well. With both Mitch Garver and Ryan Jeffers needing at-bats against lefties, both should DH throughout the season in their own right.
The Twins’ 2021 MVP is entrenched at second (Polanco), with their $92 million man at third (Donaldson) and a former top-20 global prospect at first (Kirilloff), with Sanó also pushing for starts.
Without an injury or trade, there aren’t any easy paths for Miranda to start on Opening Day against Lucas Giolito in Chicago.
Miranda damaged right-handed pitching plenty in 2021, but his work against lefties points toward a potential platoon role to start his MLB career. He hit a remarkable .397/.450/.713 with 11 homers in 151 plate appearances versus left-handed pitching.
It’s naive to think the Twins will be completely healthy come March 31st, especially when you’re talking about a group of players who have extensive injury histories. As it stands, though, almost every role is accounted for. Miranda could DH against lefties, but is that really the best thing for his development?
If the Twins are set on limping through this offseason without any frontline additions, there’s no excuse to block Miranda. If the goal is to provide innings for their slew of pitching prospects, the same should be true with at-bats for Miranda.
The Twins had a solid-ish argument to hold Kirilloff down last spring. They were competing for a division title and were willing to give Luis Arraez a look in left field. The former is no longer true, and shuttling Miranda back to St.Paul sends the wrong message and will once again raise questions about service-time manipulation.
What do you think? Should José Miranda make the Opening Day roster? Will he?
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