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rdehring

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Everything posted by rdehring

  1. Great prospect with awesome first couple months in the organization. Thinking, would I have Javier ahead of him? Javier has missed so much time, but could be as good as almost anyone, anywhere. He could, couldn't he? For that reason I would probably flip Javier and Larnach. One has missed so much time, the other has only been around for a short time. We all talk about the Top 3, but these two could be their equal. The only drawback is that only one of the five is a pitcher...or is it? Nothing wrong with having four studs at shortstop, shortstop, corner outfielder, corner outfielder. Fortunately, we should know a lot more six months from now. Lets hope they all do well, very well, so the Twins are looking at a young core in a couple years, a young core that comes up and gets it done!
  2. It doesn't have to be either or, Seth, He could be used every fourth or fifth game as a long reliever. Come in for one of the starters who doesn't pitch deep into games and finish their game. That could give him three to five innings in say 30+ games during the year...say 135+/- innings. Would likely not see the lineup turn over for a third time which should lead to success for him and the Twins. Would also set him up, innings wise, for being a starter in 2020. A side benefit would be that the rest of a seven man bullpen would get a day off and save wear and tear on everyone else.
  3. Looking at that picture above confirms he is no longer the skinny kid we remember from two years ago. Please, please stay healthy and give us the chance to enjoy what this kid can bring to the organization. When talking about ceilings, his is as high as any in the organization. What is the probability of his reaching it is the question. Lets think about the possibility he could be the player who will force Lewis to move off the shortstop position. Like all of us, I have no idea how likely that is, but it could happen.
  4. Will Rooker be in spring training with the Twins? If so, get him working with Tom Kelly at first base. This kid looks to be somewhat athletic, gotta be able to get him to be at least an acceptable first baseman.
  5. Is there some way, Seth, that you all can factor in the probability of player X reaching his ceiling. Kind of like going to Vegas and throwing the dice, knowing there is a 20% probability of X happening and a 30% probability of Y happening. Not all potential front of the rotation starters are the same. You may think that Graterol, for example, has a 30% chance of reaching his ceiling. Whereas, you may think that Duran has a 10% chance of reaching his ceiling with both having ceilings of an ACE. Has anyone attempted to do something like this?
  6. Continue to be more than pleased with what the FO did last July. They totally changed the quality and depth of the entire organization. Have to believe they will use those bullets over the next couple years. Whether that is by continued trading down a few levels and out a few years or by enhancing a trade for a MLB ready asset remains to be seen. The important thing is they stockpiled a lot of assets and this kid just may be the cream of the crop.
  7. Have been a fan of Thorpe since he was a 17-year old pitching winter ball down under. Expect he will take another step forward this year in his third year following his two year absence. Personally, would have him a couple slots higher than #8.
  8. My gut tells me I would rank him lower than 10. Then after looking at #11-#20, the only player I would move ahead of him is Rortvedt. Will be interesting to see how he does in 2019, although we could say that about the entire Top 20++++++.
  9. Thanks, wasn't sure where each stood. That may put Reed in the driver's seat if he has a spring anything like his 2018 season.
  10. Options will be a factor, both if one is available or is not. This could be a crapshoot all the way down to the last day of camp. Does one player make it because he is out of options and Player Y is not? Am I correct that Cave and Reed are out of options and Granite is not?
  11. Was excited to see you have Rortvedt in your Top 15. Have been a believer for a couple years that he will be the Twins main catcher for much of the next decade. Will be interesting to see if the G'men can get their careers back on track after last year's blips.
  12. I really like the above group of players, Seth. Wouldn't shock me if well more than half got at least a cup of coffee with a third or more having nice major league careers. If these guys are all outside the Top 20, this has to be the deepest the system has been...at least in my memory. Expect a lot of this is due to last summers trades. How many guys in the Top 20 were added last July?
  13. Do you remember watching Duffey pitch the first month or so he was with the Twins a couple years ago? I recall a game he started in Houston where he was unhittable. Remember thinking he could tell the hitter he was throwing his 12-6 curve and they still couldn't handle it. Maybe some within the organization are thinking this new staff just may help him find what he once had?
  14. I have been thinking the same thing. Kept expecting Granite to be the one gone. After carrying only 14 position players much of last year, are they going to try to stay around 20/20 this year?
  15. Thanks for reminding us about Helman, who I have forgotten about. What a season, career so far including college. Would agree he belongs in this group.
  16. What a pleasant surprise that Law has Balazovic so high. Found it unfortunate that Graterol contracted Berrios disease. Am I correct that by not mentioning Rortvedt, he is in your Top 20? As for catchers, I would have Jeffers in this group as I don't see him as a Top 20 guy. I have been down on Stewart for a couple years, thinking he was over rated in previous year's Top 20's. But I was impressed with the progress he showed us last September and believe he should now be at least a Top 20 pitcher. Expect he will start the season in Rochester, but can see him getting regular innings with the Twins by year end and beyond. Also don't know where to put Arraez. Got a feeling if Schoop lands on the DL, we are going to see Arraez in a Twins uniform at second base. Wouldn't be surprised one bit if it leads to him being their lead off hitter come 2020. Looking at this group, man the system is deep, deep, deep!
  17. If everyone hits the number of home runs management is paying for, they easily are in the 225-240 range. Catchers (Garver/Castro)-15, Cruz-35, Cron-25, Schoop-25, Polanco-15, Sano-40, Rosario-25, Buxton-15, and Kepler-25. That's 220. Add 15 from the bench (mostly Cave) and you are at 235. Are all these career years, a few yes...most good years but not career. Granted, this puts each player on the team hitting what we should expect from them. But it also doesn't include someone coming up and doing what Cave/Austin did last year if one of the above is injured or doesn't perform. Now if Sano doesn't play like he has been expected to for several years, then it is less likely to get to 225+...or impossible. But if Sano doesn't have a good year, we are all gonna be talking about something else come summer anyway. But it is almost the first of February, isn't now when we are supposed to be positive about the coming season?
  18. Yup. But shouldn't we expect 100 home runs from Sano, Cruz and Cron? I will be disappointed if they don't hit that many.
  19. Over two months to go until opening day, guys. Lots of time to get one or two of these players extended....Berrios, Gibson, Rosario. Will I be disappointed if no one gets extended, yes. Do I think it will be a mistake for the Twins, yes. Will that disappointment change my excitement for this team, no. Damn, I wish I could be going to south Florida next week.
  20. Am happy with the team going into spring training? For the most part, yes. Would I like to see some improvement before opening day, yes. But that improvement may come from one or two of those young players forcing themselves onto the team. For that reason, I have no problem with the guys reporting in two weeks. The fact they are costing about $100,000,000 rather than thirty or fifty percent more means nothing to me. Matter of fact I believe it is to their advantage that it isn't a higher payroll. Because it isn't, they are in great position to spend some dollars this spring extending a couple players and/or adding someone via trade during spring training if a couple of the young studs don't demand an OD roster spot.
  21. I have been waiting for someone to do a poll as to how many home runs the Twins will hit this year. Or maybe an over/under poll. Personally, I put the number of home runs somewhere between 225 and 240.
  22. Thank you, Nick, for a rational review of what is happening this winter. Was a pleasure to read it.
  23. You lost me. Are you saying Enlow is a Canadian? I think he is from Louisiana. They did get a couple Canadian's lately, Balazovic and Leach.
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