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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    3.35, 3.69, 4.14, 4.49. Exactly what leads anyone to think Odorizzi is capable of reversing this trend? The smart money is an ERA of about 4.8 this year.
  2. yarnivek1972
    Just because this team hasn’t picked good free agent pitchers, doesn’t mean they weren’t out there. As Mike said, if the Rays - or any other team - thought Odorizzi was going to continue with a sub 4 ERA, it would have taken more than Palacios to get him. In principle, committing to your # 4 or 5 starter long term makes zero sense to me. This is the slot you should be trying to constantly upgrade.
  3. yarnivek1972
    Maybe you do that. The bottom line is that given how long it took the Twins to eat Phil Hughes’ salary, it is clear Jim Pohlad doesn’t easily do that. And it’s ultimately his call, as I’m sure the Hughes decision was.
  4. yarnivek1972
    With the exception of Hrbek and Oliva, all the retired numbers are hall of famers, most likely including Mauer. Mauer just broke Hrbek’s tenure record. That is, longest career with the Twins and only the Twins. The hometown aspect is a big reason why Hrbek is retired as well. By nearly every national account, Oliva is one of the best players not in the Hall and probably should be. As for other candidates from the past, next in line IMO would be Brad Radke or Joe Nathan. But it wouldn’t be terrible if neither were. As for future candidates, it is an absurd conversation. That kind of over-hyping is how this organization found itself in the situation it is in with Buxton and Sano.
  5. yarnivek1972
    Pretty sure Puckett and Hrbek both had ceremonies the year following their retirements. Sort of. Hrbek’s career ended with the 1994 strike. There likely wasn’t time to get something on the schedule by the time the 1995 season got going. Edit: According to his wiki page, Hrbek’s number actually was retired in 1995. Likewise, there was still hope that Puckett would play again deep into the first season that he did not.
  6. yarnivek1972
    This, exactly. Odorizzi is the type of starting pitcher that is always readily available every offseason. Twins should be aiming higher. If you commit 2-3 years to a guy performing at or near replacement level, it makes it harder to replace him if/when a better choice comes along. Say the Twins sign him through 2021. And he slots in the 4/5 spot. What happens when you want to bring up a pitching prospect but have no room because your worst starter is guaranteed millions? You have to most likely send down a pitcher better than Odorizzi to make room. And that’s not how to build sustainability. You should always be looking to improve your weakest links. That’s how you get better.
  7. yarnivek1972
    A better question is if the Twins don’t plan to be competitive in 2019, why wasn’t Gibson dealt at the deadline? He would have brought in at least one blue chip prospect as opposed to the roster of project prospects they in fact acquired. The lack of a clear, cohesive, consistent direction by this FO remains concerning.
  8. yarnivek1972
    His career is kinda similar to another free agent second baseman that we know welll. But Schoop is 3-4 years younger. Wonder how this will impact the market for the other second basemen.
  9. yarnivek1972
    Another reason batting averages are high there are the ridiculously large dimensions. Such a large outfield means that fly balls that are outs elsewhere drop in because the outfielders have much more ground to cover.
  10. yarnivek1972
    Might as well resign Dozier if your bar is THAT low.
  11. yarnivek1972
    Regarding McCutchen and his BB rate. It is worth noting that for most of his career he had zero protection around him. Quick, without looking name any other Pirate all star hitter during his tenure. McCutchen drew a dozen intentional walks three times as a Pirate. Keep in mind, he hit third almost all the time. So, someone walked him to bring up a 4th place hitter. Frequently. I’m sure his plate discipline is better than most, but I would expect his BB rate to decline if he were in the middle of a good offensive team simply because teams would be less inclined to pitch around him. Of course, whether or not the 2019 Twins will be a good offensive team is still undetermined.
  12. yarnivek1972
    Ironically, one guy who does that pretty well is also a guy that many on this forum want benched: Max Kepler. His BB rate was second only to Grossman’s. His K rate was also lowest among all Twins hitters with more than 25 at bats except for Willians Astudillo.
  13. yarnivek1972
    Grossman has an additional year of service. Fair or not, that’s simply the way the system works.
  14. yarnivek1972
    I don’t really love Odorizzi at $9 mil either, but that is probably about what he will get and sadly market rate for pedestrian starting pitchers these days. Could be worse (Carlos Silva flashback). It is ironic that Gibson will likely get less in arb as the two have nearly identical service time. Gibson was obviously far better last year but Odorizzi has considerably better career numbers. $9 mil would be a 50% raise for Odorizzi. I think Gibson will get close to $8 mil, maybe even over, which would be almost 100% increase. Point being the system seems to be working the way it is supposed to.
  15. yarnivek1972
    Well, Vargas was outrighted and spent all of 2018 in AAA.
  16. yarnivek1972
    I’m hungry.
  17. yarnivek1972
    The tender date has already passed. So, by adding him now doesn’t this put the Twins on the hook for whatever his arb award is?
  18. yarnivek1972
    Is not a WAR difference of .9 literally less than one win? Of course, 2.9 bWAR is Cruz’s worst in 6 years. Cron has only reached 2.0 twice and never higher than that. So, Cruz at his worst > Cron at his best.
  19. yarnivek1972
    And that
  20. yarnivek1972
    This
  21. yarnivek1972
    Blame an overly paranoid culture for intrusive security. When it’s your time, it’s your time and no amount of time and money spent in the name of security is going to stop it from being your time.
  22. yarnivek1972
    Which was likely the reasoning behind not calling him up to keep his service time under 3 years. Buxton has three years of control by the Twins. That is more than enough time to decide whether or not he can hit well enough to keep putting him in the lineup. Frankly, I think he will have to hit decently (OPS over .700) in 2019 or he will not be in a Twins uniform in 2020.
  23. yarnivek1972
    I believe “catastrophic physical issues” is exactly what ewen is suggesting. And given the way he plays, his risk of that is higher than that of most.
  24. yarnivek1972
    Buxton’s floor is a 4 OPS+.
  25. yarnivek1972
    As the staff stands now, yes. However, Falvey has said he is looking to create a model for sustainable success (not sure exact wording). That means drafting and developing better pitchers. Frankly, that’s true for any team.
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