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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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Like hire a manager who likes to play station to station baseball and a GM who likes everyone to hit the ball 500 feet.
- 276 replies
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Yeah, 87 was not a great staff despite having a Cy Young Award winner and a HOFer. That was reflected by their meager 85 regular season wins. You can get lucky, few teams have recently but it's possible. However, I think to give your team a realistic chance, you need to put together an elite staff and hope it's enough.
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I do too, perhaps partially because I like the chemestry when your core guys came up together, but it certainly does look like the on the 10 year anniversary of their WS championship they are trying to copy the formula. That year they signed Jermaine Dye, Tag Iguchi and Aj Pierzynski, along with they back of their bullpen Dustin Hermanson and Luis Vizcaino while trading for Carl Everett, Freddie Garcia, Orlando Hernandez and Jose Contreras. Obviously some moves were better than others, but enough worked out.
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I think we're past the point where simple post season "entries" are something we place as our goal. I'll be happy to see the White Sox crash and burn, but they are putting together a pitching staff that looks like it may be capable of taking home with World Series. I doubt they will, but at least they recognize what their pitchers need to look like. They Twins haven't put together a pitching staff that looked like it could win a World Series in 24 years. The last time the Twins actually fielded a staff capable of winning a championship, they actually did. Three studs up front and a rock solid back of the bullpen and you give yourself a chance.
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Let's all pray there isn't a third one detailing what happened in the clubhoust after that passionate Hrbek/Morris embrace.
- 276 replies
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Seperately, I don't think I really like any of the White Sox moves, but combined, they now have few holes. When you put it in those terms, it really puts it in perspective, the Twins should be so lucky if their remaining concerns were lack of offense from their catcher and the development of one of their top prospects.
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Article: Is The Rotation Already Full?
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This just in: Houston, Colorado and a "mystery" team are all involved in talks for Ryan Vogelsong, Stephen Drew and Dan Uggla. -
Exhibit A: http://mlbreports.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/aj-2005.jpg Exhibit B: http://stmedia.startribune.com/images/ows_139882729899394.jpg
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Yeah, it certainly looks like they're taking the Royals lead and adding flamethrowers throught the pen and doing their best to get them in the rotation also. Only Perkins can hold a candle to the butt kicking these teams will bring in the later innings. That is, only the healthy Perkins.
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LaRoache is a good defender though, I'd guess unless they're platooning two guys who they paid $100 million, that Abreu will be getting most of the DH AB's. He likely will regress some, after all, if he didn't, a continued pace of a .964 OPS is going to have us talking HOF in a couple years. Still, even if you want to go extreme and use that 14.5% regression that Cespedes had in year two, Abreu is still putting up a .825 OPS, which is better than any player the Twins had last year.
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Actually, looking at that pattern it apears like a great time to buy low on him in an odd numbered year. He seems to enjoy those.
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Article: Is The Rotation Already Full?
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I would enjoy the Twins being a mystery team, but I don't think I'd like a 7-year deal to a pitcher on the wrong side of 30. -
Article: Twins Preparing To Make Their Pitch
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Um, shouldn't that go without saying? Why the hell is there a 'might' in there? That sentance should be devoid of all 'mights.'- 48 replies
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Article: Twins Preparing To Make Their Pitch
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Wilson is older, but he actually has less tread on his arm as he spent his first 5 years in the bullpen. I'd guess the Angels would have no interest in taking on the longer contract, especially since Wilson was far less of a disaster last year. Also, while a change of scenery may do both good, both are California boys and playing in Minnesota would probably at best have a neutral effect on their mental states. Fun side note though; when Joe Nathan went down with TJ surgery in the spring of 2010, the rumor was that the Twins and Rangers had at least some casual discussion of a getting Wilson to Minnesota in exchange for Kevin Slowey. I believe it was the Twins who balked as a promising young arm like Slowey was more valuable than a 29-year-old set up man. Of course had the Twins gotten Wilson, they likely wouldn't have had the foresight or need to convert him to a starter.- 48 replies
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Article: Twins Preparing To Make Their Pitch
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Contact brings the element of chance into play every time. Strikeouts prevent sac flies, moving runners over, errors, seeing-eye-singles, Texas Leaguers, hit-and-runs and your all too common brain farts that are a favorite of Twins outfielders. Hopefully May and Meyer will miss a bunch of bats, but Gibson doesn't look like he will. His sinker looks like it's made to induce a lot of contact. Hopefully Hughes stays a strong strikeout option, but it was a career year for him in that department (and basically every department) so we'll have to see how that plays out. Nolasco was 8.0 K/9 or better twice, in his mid 20's in the NL. He's not a strikeout pitcher any more.- 48 replies
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Article: Twins Preparing To Make Their Pitch
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes, all the more reason NOT to sign Vogelsong to be an "innings eater."- 48 replies
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Article: Twins Preparing To Make Their Pitch
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
While you never want your pitchers to get hurt, the Twins are in a position where they need quality innings, not a quantity of innings. After all, if Liriano or Anderson can only get you 150 innings, doesn't that at least mean there are 50 extra innings available for Meyer? I'd much rather see 200 IP between Anderson and Meyer than 200 IP for Ryan Vogelsong or whoever is this year's version of Kevin Correia. I like the idea of Liriano, but not the years. I want one year deals, maybe with an option.- 48 replies
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Article: 2015 Breakout Prospects
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I guess I'll be in the minority but I actually have a few more concerns about Gonsalves now. I think most people expected his velocity to increase as part of his normal development, but didn't it go from low 90's in HS to more upper 80's last year? That concerns me a bit. Maybe even more than a bit regardless of results. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong, I'd gladly sacrafice my take for some good news. My dark horse is Anderlin Mejia. He can play anywhere on the infield, has good on-base skills, low strikeout rate and can swipe a good number of bags. He's not sexy and has a low ceiling and no power, but I bet he's a utility player for the Twins after unexpected injury #2.- 39 replies
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Article: Is The Rotation Already Full?
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
McCarthy will probably require three years or so, would you really want that? I sure wouldn't. Not even two. -
Article: Is The Rotation Already Full?
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd like to agree but when you throw the word "quality" into your sentance you've taken the Twins out of your hypothetical over the last half decade. If the team didn't have a track record of deciding rotation spots based much more heavily on experience than potential then I'd say the more the merrier, however, even experience with spotty results seems to weigh more than potential with this club often times. -
Article: Is The Rotation Already Full?
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That's likely Ryan's thought, but I don't like it. They're too old to hope they will force the issue. They need the issue forced upon them. No more coddling and pats on the back, turn these guys into fighters and less reliant on organizational glad handing. If their psyche is too fragile to handle the expectations of a MLB rotation at 25, odds are they're never going to be mentally strong enough to be useful. -
Article: Is The Rotation Already Full?
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'll take any pitcher that only requires one year and can manage a minimum 7.5 K/9 in the AL. Otherwise, not interested. Also, if the Twins give one spot to Pelfrey or Milone and make May and Meyer fight for another spot, I won't be happy. The loser of the May/Meyer fight should have a shot at the Pelfrey/Milone spot also. In fact, unless Pelfrey/Milone really overwhelm, both spots should be going to the youngsters. -
Article: Torii Hunter Signing Is Hard To Figure
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
While I agree, seeing as the Twins clearly have an affinity for former players, UZR has a human element also. I'd guess that both sides are wrong, in opposite directions of the scale of course. People just need to build the robots and let them do the math. Maybe it's just because I can barely use a calculator, but people + numbers seem to be a bad fit.