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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I'd like the Twins to blow their wad and take the penalty seeing as this whole flawed process will be redone in a couple years. But only nine of the top 30 players remain unsigned and I haven't heard heard of the Twins connected to any of them. This is a process where if you're going to go for it you have to decide six months or maybe a year in advance, it's too late now. I don't think teams can swoop in and romance these kids if they don't already have a relationship.
  2. nicksaviking
    Agreed, I have high hopes for Kepler, but I think we're all forgeting he started the year in A bal, and here we are in July asking for him to be called up. I'm not normally against such moves, but he's been a one level a year guy, and not exactly a guy who has caught on quickly. Until this year. Side note, what the heck did the team expect Vargas to do upon his recall when they never gave him consistant at bats? Inconsistant at bats is going to happen to a ton of corner bat prospects if this team doesn't learn to manage their assets better. Time to get creative.
  3. nicksaviking
    Yeah, Ryan Wheeler was released. I can only think of one reason why they would do that. I have to say that I do feel a little guilty about being happy that a guy was released.
  4. nicksaviking
    If it's me, I'm playing for the future and I'm not making moves that do any kind of harm to that vision. Still, there are too many corner OF/IF types on the farm, some have to be moved or they'll just fade away without getting a shot. However I don't want these guys traded for veterans on dumb contracts. Young, cheap catcher, SS or fireballing RP? Sure, maybe. Don't go and get more 30+ year-olds on multi-year deals though.
  5. nicksaviking
    I would have to disagree. I think it's important to not only make the playoffs, but win in the playoffs in the years ahead. This team is not built to win in the playoffs even if they should happen to sneak into it. I want to see them play in October, but let's try on the hypothetical situation where the Twins make the playoffs, but once again are knocked out ASAP. Fair or not, the fans and media will say this is the same old Twins and nothing has changed. I think it's more important for the Twins to be relevant most of the year, even if they fall short of the playoffs. If they can hang on and contend for another month, it will be a wildly successful campaign from what I can see. It will whet the fans appitite, much as it did when they came up just short in 2001.
  6. nicksaviking
    I kind of think SS arm strength is a little over-rated, mostly because even on the few occasions where the additional velocity actually will get the out, all we're talking about is an infield hit or possibly not getting the back end of a double play. An outfielder with a weak arm might let a guy get to 2nd, 3rd or score. An infielder with a weak arm, in almost all scenarios, is giving up what amounts to a walk. I'd guess a pitcher who has a 3.5 BB/9 as opposed to a pitcher who has a 2.5 BB/9 would end up allowing more baserunners than a SS with a below average arm. And I don't get too riled up over a 3.5 BB/9. Of course I'm talking about arm strength; accuracy is a different scenario.
  7. nicksaviking
    Pelfrey. Milones 86 MPH heater doesn't really work in the pen. Works OK at Rochester though.
  8. nicksaviking
    We shouldn't expect rookies to come up and dominate. Historically rookies struggle. Teams have to ride out the roller coaster first. Letting rookies get their feet wet would be easier to stomach if they are called up when the team already stinks.
  9. nicksaviking
    I agree, but leading with an anecdote is pretty common when describing little known people. The led on Max Kepler is still that he comes from Germany. I don't like the organizational quotes about "bloodlines" either as I feel there is way too much weight placed on them. Hard to say if that actually affected his draft position at all. I tend to think it didn't considering the first three picks in this year's draft were all SS. Rodgers was a prep SS and went 3rd, I'm not sure he was any more impressive as a HS player than Gordon. His stats sure weren't.
  10. nicksaviking
    Is that something this team would want then?
  11. nicksaviking
    Max has been a one-level-per-year guy until this year. He started this season on Ft. Myers, I also have a hard time seeing him get a MLB call up unless it's September (he's already on the 40-man after all). I think his advanced approach at the plate probably does get him a promotion to Rochester though. Arcia, Danial Ortiz and Eric Farris are the starting OF there. If the organization isn/t picky about the Rochester OF defense, Kepler could probably bump the 29-year-old Farris.
  12. nicksaviking
    I agree, I would have had him lower on the list before his callup, but dispite his low BB rate, he looks like he can hit breaking balls. None of the other youngsters have shown that ability yet.
  13. nicksaviking
    I agree, most guys who age well seem to base their twilight years more on their power, Joe looks to be losing his. This is too bad as traditionally in sports, strength is the one physical quality that can hold up or even increase into retirement. I'm not talking about HR either. From my poorly trained eye, I think his the bat speed is greatly reduced. The line drives he hits certainly don't seem to travel far.
  14. nicksaviking
    Right, that would be Jason Kipnis and his .373 BABIP who currently sits 3rd overall in WAR. Seems kind of unfair to demand Dozier be top 2 in the league in WAR.
  15. nicksaviking
    I would have agreed last year. Coming from a guy who is as suspicious of the direction of this team as anyone: When considering his age, consistancy, and overall production in all statistical areas, if I had to pick one 2B in all of MLB to ride with over the next four years, it would be Brian Dozier.
  16. nicksaviking
    Derick Norris is ranked 4th overall for catchers. That places him at 48th of all players in baseball. Dozier menawhile is 14th overall.
  17. nicksaviking
    Your definition of elite seems to be pretty tight. 6 HOFers and a 1B who's first 4 seasons have put him on track to get there? Only five MLB players are currently elite? I think you're narrowing your criteria to support your batting average arguement. Dozier is 3rd out of all 2B in WAR, 2nd in the AL and 2nd in OPS. This while he has a sub-par BABIP of .289 while all of the other guys competing for the title of "Best Secondbaseman" have much less sustainable BABIP of .330+. There is easily a case to be made that Brian Dozier is the best secondbaseman in baseball right now. In my book that's elite.
  18. nicksaviking
    Anthony Slama's fastball sat around 89-91 MPH. Tonkin's runs about 93-95 while Oliveros is 95-97.
  19. nicksaviking
    Not a whole lot if he still chases pitches out of the zone and can't hit breaking balls. http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=wood--002ric http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=restov001mic http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=mottol001cha http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=borcha001jos http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=harvey002rya All of those guys except for Harvey could get on base too.
  20. nicksaviking
    I wasn't counting on them winning this year, none of us were. It is/was a pleasant surprise, but I don't want to see the development of the young guys stunted because the team desperately wants to chase a winning record. Winning in the comming years may be expected IF the young guys develop, but they won't develop if they are getting yanked up and down, or even simply kept down past the point where they should be at the MLB level. I'm not saying all or any of these guys are past that point, just that the club really has to be carefull.
  21. nicksaviking
    I think he is special, I just think his one flaw, his inability to lay off pitches, is an insurmountable achilles heel. He's got to at least partially cover that issue up or all his talent will be wasted. And he does have tons of talent, more than nearly any other prospect. It's a crack in the dam that can't go unchecked. This shouldn't be a surprise though, it's nothing new, we see the inverse happen all the time. The Twins have had tons of pitchers in the system with great velocity, a killer slider and good offspeed stuff, but they never make it because they can't pitch IN the zone. It should be much easier to fix the hitter though as he is the reactionary part of the equation. All he has to do is, well, do nothing. Stand still and keep the bat on his shoulder more. It's kind of frustrating. It's like a smoker saying they can't stop, even though the act of getting into the car, driving to the gas station and buying a pack takes a ton more effort than sitting on your couch and doing nothing. Fight the urge!
  22. nicksaviking
    Right, but their lack of trust in Stauffer is pretty justifiable based on his performance. Their lack of trust in Graham seems to be completely due to his inexperience, as he has performed well. Lack of trust in young players due to inexperience seems to speak to a much larger problem, which is only going to get exhasperated going forward.
  23. nicksaviking
    So is it against the rules or just frowned upon to send the late round HS picks some pot and hookers and then send the NCAA some pics of the party? I think they'd be easier to sign if they got their college offers pulled. Seems like a grey area to me.
  24. nicksaviking
    I love all the day 3 HS picks. Even if signing them are long shots, the normal college guys drafted in rounds 20 or later are probably even longer shots and with much less upside.
  25. nicksaviking
    I'd caution anyone against looking at the Twins 2008 draft. Though I guess they did pretty well with George Springer and Kolten Wong.
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