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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I'd think that if you're thinking about trading away some top prospects you'd start by getting a feel for your most ideal targets first. I'd have to think top end starters would be the first place the team would want to use their equity. I'd be more interested in using surely some of the same required pieces to get Chris Archer. I'd be willing to do something painful to get him. And if on the off chance the Twins WERE thinking about turning Iglesias back into a starter, I'd hit up the Dbacks about Archie Bradley first.
  2. nicksaviking
    I watched two episodes last night. It's well made but two episodes in and I still can't even tell what genre this is supposed to be; it simply is playing like a grounded period piece, but there's no way that's how it ends up. I can tell there are big twists a-coming but so far the story is so straightforward it's hard to picture how the writers will make any atmosphere change feel organic. I might have been spoiled by Mindhunter though. That was a really smart show. I love a show that lays out every character as a stereotype or trope but then goes about quickly breaking some while pinning down others.
  3. nicksaviking
    Well I'm OK crossing my fingers that Berrios continues to develop into a better pitcher than Santana. Otherwise, yeah, I want two better than Santana. They don't have to be signed though, I'm fine with trades. Also, I don't care if they were better than Santana last year, I care about next year and the year after. I'll be OK if the front office gets young guys they believe in who have yet to peak, even while the fan base struggles to look past what said hypothetical pitcher did last year. And so we're clear, Santana had a 4.77 xFIP and a 2.9 fWAR. Despite his smoke and mirrors first two months, I don't think Santana was all that fantastic, and that's not even taking into account almost certain regression from a 35-year-old pitcher. I know others will disagree, but I don't think the bar is set all that high.
  4. nicksaviking
    I'm not OK with a rotation that can't keep up with Cleveland and Houston come October. It's not good enough now, not even close. Ervin Santana would be the 4th starter on both of those teams.
  5. nicksaviking
    I don't know that I'm ready to commit Kepler to being a platoon player going forward, but perhaps if he's still really tanking against lefties by June and the team is winning you've got to adjust the game plan. I'd probably be more favorable about this plan if the team wasn't signing a 4th OF but instead signing a regular DH who could also play OF and hit lefties. Maybe a guy like Melky Cabrera?
  6. nicksaviking
    The subjectivity and grey area that is determining an individual's personality seems like a good reason to put nearly all the emphasis on what the guy can do on the field instead of off of it. I'd rather use those leadership evaluations for the coaching staff.
  7. nicksaviking
    The guy's 39 though, I'm not putting any weight on what he did when he was 34. If he's a mid season waiver wire deal ala Colon, sure, I'm down for that. However Lackey isn't coming here on a non-guaranteed non-multimillion dollar deal; I don't know how a team that needs two top of the rotation arms could justify using a 25 man spot on him. I guess I'll add the caveat that if the Twins sign a Chatwood and trade for an Archer and Lackey's still sitting out there come February, sure, then go for it.
  8. nicksaviking
    Fine, Austin Jackson as the 4th OF and Tyler Chatwood as the #5 then. Why would anyone intentionally go out and sign a "5th starter" anyway? No team should be intentionally looking for a guy who profiles as a 5th starter, that's typically a pretty poor adjective for a guy and the spot that goes to the weakest performing member of the rotation by default. This team needs front of the rotation help. Signing Lackey is just going to mean there's 5-10M less to go toward getting the #1 and #2 that this team needs.
  9. nicksaviking
    Last year the team signed a bunch of "clubhouse" vets who's benefits were pretty entirely off-field related. While Lackey and Worth may be a slight step up from Giminez and Breslow, it's not like these guys are a big help on the field. I really hope the Twins stop doing this. Isn't Carlos Santana known as a good clubhouse guy? Surely Addison Reed has some valuable veteran leadership skills? Can't we instead start getting veteran leaders that also contribute statistically?
  10. nicksaviking
    I'd trade Dozier if another team was offering a young arm with top end upside. I don't mind keeping him though if all that's offered is another De Leon deal. I wouldn't extend him though. He's going to want a big pay day and frankly his numbers probably warrant one. But if no one is offering up much in trade, he's not going to have many free agent suitors either. It's probably a unique situation, but if the Twins want him back after 2018 he'll probably be cheaper as a free agent then he would be as an extension now.
  11. nicksaviking
    It's hard to see this team knocking off CLE, HOU, NYY and BOS without significant rotation upgrades. Even if Berrios does what we hope he does, they're still way out-classed. 35-year-old Santana who got by on smoke and mirrors last year is sure to disappoint anyone who's counting on him to be more than a low end #3. I agree you don't have to get today's big-time starters, but then you better be able to identify and acquire tomorrow's.
  12. nicksaviking
    I highly doubt any team is going to view Diaz as a middle infield candidate. How many teams even carry a bench player who is strictly confined to playing 1B anymore? Let alone a guy who certainly can't hit MLB pitching. No one cares about first base anymore. You can get a half dozen guys who can post a .750 OPS for a couple million bucks each year in free agency. It has become an afterthought of a position; these days the Rule V is mostly made up of pitchers with a handful of defensive minded middle infielders and toolsy outfielders.
  13. nicksaviking
    Particularly considering how affordable veteran corner bats are these days.
  14. nicksaviking
    I'd kind of hate to lose Bard, I started to really like his numbers last year. But frankly, there doesn't look to be a big need for consternation this year. For a team that made the playoffs there looks to be a whole lot of players on the 40-man who should be removed regardless of the Rule V needs.
  15. nicksaviking
    I agree. On the other hand if it was the White Sox in that situation and they had a tempting 60-day DLer..... we'll screw 'em!
  16. nicksaviking
    I like Polanco, and he started to show some pop too, but I'm willing to package some of the middle infield depth to get a good pitcher. I wouldn't be in favor of trading JUST Polanco (or Gordon, or Escobar, or Javier etc.) because I have no interest in the kind of pitchers a singular player on the Twins end would return, but I'm open to moving any of them in a package for someone with +potential.
  17. nicksaviking
    The guy who was pitching the best since the trade deadline, who was keeping the ball on the ground and striking guys out as opposed to the aging vet who's wheels were clearly falling off, extremely HR prone against a HR happy team in a HR happy park and who was coasting along based on a reputation gained from success found only in the early months and which every statistic showed and later proved was unsustainable? Yeah, yeah.
  18. nicksaviking
    He should have been starting game 163 at Yankee Stadium. He was the team's best starter the last two months.
  19. nicksaviking
    All three 1B finalists are free agents. If I was a conspiracy nut I'd think the MLBPA gave the BBWA recommendations of who to choose to try to help inflate the importance of a position that in recent years has seen a decrease in value and pay due to it's perception of being minimally important in this new era of focusing on defense. Good thing I'm not a conspiracy nut! But good news for those of you that are, Mauer is a lock for the award next year!
  20. nicksaviking
    Maybe I read the tea leaves wrong, but I assumed when the Twins hired Falvey the idea was to do what Cleveland did; identify and procure a young stable of arms before they hit their peak and every other team wanted them.
  21. nicksaviking
    If you wait and he improves next year as much as he improved this year it's going to be more than double the projected cost. Seth's two free agent years are basically 2/$20M. That's what you pay #4 starters these days, the Twins are already used to eating money for far inferior pitchers.
  22. nicksaviking
    I can't imagine Kintzler or Belisle get big bucks though this year. I want velocity and I want strikeouts. I want free agents that can offer those things, otherwise I'd rather go with the young guys who can.
  23. nicksaviking
    Agree. It's more important for the acquisitions to be smart and projective then "safe" and presumptuous. You're bringing a guy to a new team in a new ballpark with new coaches and a new atmosphere. Don't expect the same results.
  24. nicksaviking
    I think this team needs to do better than shooting for another Santana, and in my view Lynn, an NL lifer with middling strikeout numbers isn't as good as Santana. The problem with these second or third tier starters like Lynn, Cobb, Santana, Nolasco, Pelfrey and Hughes is that they've had just enough success to get rewarded with a multi-year big-time deal so they're going to stick with what they know and what got them there; they aren't going to get better, you just have to pray they don't get worse. You want to get a guy who has the ability to lead a staff but Darvish won't come near Minnesota? Buy or trade for the guys who at one time had promise but who have recently struggled yet still have good stuff. The guys who find success after having had their teeth kicked in yet had too much pride not to keep pushing or to try another approach are the guys who make the difference for clubs who can't get the big names.
  25. nicksaviking
    That might just end up being the hand we're dealt. The free agent crop is terrible outside of one pitcher all 30 teams want. I hope there are trades available, but we'll never really know who's actually for sale. I'm not at all being a defeatist particularly after seeing this team make the post season this year, but I don't want cosmetic fixes now just so some one can pretend and act like they tried.
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