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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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Also Molitor showed a lot of faith in Hildenberger giving him quite a few late inning looks last year. They might not want to give Molitor two guys who he is going to be inclined to hide. Speaking of, I'm cheering for Kinley-Busenitz-Moya in that order, this bullpen is largely devoid of top end velocity. Also I'm cheering against Duffey (sorry Tyler, nothing personal) but I want it to fall upon Hughes to be the long man so as not to clog up the 5th rotation spot when it becomes a regular need and one of the young guys can have it.
- 33 replies
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Article: Twins To Sign Lance Lynn
nicksaviking replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm just fine with 1 year deals. More than fine actually, they tend to be great gambles. This offseason my number 1 concern was that I wanted a front line starter. To get out of the play-in round of the playoffs and advancing far enough, the Twins hopes now rest almost entirely on Berrios developing into a top 10 pitcher or so. I also think good pitchers will be available at the trade deadline. Unfortunately the Twins are almost certainly already at their max salary position; they're not going to be able to afford 2018's version of Justin Verlander now. And while I'm just fine taking a flyer on Lance Lynn for one year, I don't think he's probably going to have his best year. I can't see any way a guy is going to do any better than he already has when he doesn't have an off speed pitch. If he was coming up through the system today he would have been moved to the bullpen before he got to AA. His repertoire is severely limited; think Tyler Duffey but instead of the curveball, just different kinds of fastballs. I'm not raining on any parades, it was a fantastic off season. -
Article: Twins 2018 Position Analysis: Third Base
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Moderator note: We have multiple threads to continue this line of discussion in the sports bar. This article is discussing the 3B position and Sano's ability/inability to play it. If anyone instead wishes to talk about due process vs. the rights of the public, please take it to the more appropriate threads instead of derailing this one.- 77 replies
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Article: Twins To Sign Lance Lynn
nicksaviking replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I take Darvish. I only care about this team being formidable in the playoffs and I don't have any faith in Lynn or Odorizzi matching up with the top of the other rotations in the AL. That said, they couldn't/didn't get Darvish. The front office was active and bold. I don't like all the players brought in, but they made splashes unlike any other year. I'm glad for the effort and the deals are short, they can try again next year. -
Article: Twins To Sign Lance Lynn
nicksaviking replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not bad. One year deals are winners in my book. Hard to screw them up. -
Article: Is Another Arm Coming?
nicksaviking replied to Ted Schwerzler's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The rest of the months count much less. He made the wise decision to work his four seamer and reduce his two seamer those months while Lynn did the opposite. His improvement was most likely due to a change in philosophy; who in their right mind would dump him after he finally demonstrated that he understood what his problem was, took action on it and succeeded? -
Article: Is Another Arm Coming?
nicksaviking replied to Ted Schwerzler's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No team wants Hughes and his contract, the Twins couldn't trade him even if they ate 90% of his contract. Gibson wasn't expensive and he was the Twins best starter the last three months of last year. -
And that's not even showing how poorly rated his very rarely used offspeed stuff is: 2017 - FB 15.4 SL 4.9 CB -2.4 CH -4.4 And Fangraphs calling his breaking pitch a slider is generous, Brooksbaseball thinks it's simply a cutter: http://www.brooksbaseball.net/outcome.php?player=458681&b_hand=-1&gFilt=&pFilt=FA|SI|FC|CU|SL|CS|KN|CH|FS|SB&time=month&minmax=ci&var=pcount&s_type=2&startDate=03/30/2007&endDate=03/09/2018
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I'm typically not going to get too upset about losing the team's third pick, but to put it in perspective, this year it was Landon Leach, who might not be too exciting. However Leach was picked so as to allow the team to save money and get Blayne Enlow who is typically ranked as a top 10-15 prospect. Thus the Twins would have lost out on Leach and Enlow should they have made this move last year. I wouldn't give up Enlow for Lynn. But then again to be fair, everyone can see from my already stated views that I'd think twice about giving up a BOGO coupon to Chipotle for Lynn so my opinion of what he's worth isn't on par with others.
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Article: Is Another Arm Coming?
nicksaviking replied to Ted Schwerzler's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
How would the team be subtracting the Hughes/Gibson salaries? -
Article: Twins Pitching For More Pitching
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If the new regime believed in Lance Lynn's WAR, they would have signed him long ago and for much more than 2 years $20M. I'm not ripping on the front office, they've shown nothing to indicate they believe Lynn is anything more than a back of the rotation guy. I'm saying Lynn isn't nearly as good as the smoke and mirrors he trots out to the mound which are unlikely to follow him out of St. Louis. Also, the only thing that "proven" vets prove is that they've been around awhile. There's a reason teams are going younger. Being a vet does not necessarily make a better player, they just necessarily make them older.- 39 replies
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Article: Twins Pitching For More Pitching
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think Lynn is obviously a better option than Mejia. People might speculate that he is, but there's nothing ever obvious about signing mid-level free agent pitchers and if anyone knows that, it's the Twins. Lynn's repertoire is bad, his peripheral stats are bad and his splits are bad. He's basically good measured on Wins and ERA. I don't trust that moving to a new league and a new team and a new stadium. Also, if this team is going to be a buyer mid-season, I'd rather save the money for then. They're not going to be able to find room for a Justin Verlander this July if they are already at their max payroll.- 39 replies
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Article: Twins Pitching For More Pitching
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree, which makes the team's interest in Lynn a little puzzling. Gibson improved in the second half when he started using his 4 seamer more and really reduced his sinker usage. Lynn did just the opposite and went super heavy on the sinker all season but late in the year in particular. Unlike Gibson, Lynn doesn't really have a change or curve to use as offspeed pitches either. Does the front office think they'll be able to get Lynn to reduce his sinker? Do they think they can give him a usable offspeed pitch?- 39 replies
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- lance lynn
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Article: Twins Make First Roster Cuts
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well if he was in the pen to start with they would be able to limit his innings better. If anything I'd think it would reduce his likelihood of injury if his innings are being moderated and his health is being monitored at the MLB level.- 51 replies
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- felix jorge
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Article: Twins Pitching For More Pitching
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Falvey can keep his phone turned off for the agents, none of the available pitchers appeal to me. Keep it on for the GM's, I'm still up for more trades.- 39 replies
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- lance lynn
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Article: Twins Make First Roster Cuts
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Even though I commented preciously about the fact that Romero must have a slim chance to make the team seeing as he wasn't among the fist cuts, I'd have to guess that slim chance lies solely in the bullpen. The team has little use for a 5th starter for the first month or so, it would make some sense to look at him as a swing man for the time being, this would also help the team manage his innings. The bullpen is looking much better this year, but there's still no iron lock for the role of long man.- 51 replies
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- felix jorge
- zack littell
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Article: Twins Make First Roster Cuts
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd prefer Littell at AAA but he's still only had 14 starts at AA so far. But I think the bigger news is that Fernando Romero wasn't sent down. Typically the top prospects with injury history get sent packing right away just in case they get hurt and start accruing service time. If he wasn't cut there must at least be some possibility of giving him a shot at winning a 25-man job, even if still slim.- 51 replies
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