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Lonestar

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Everything posted by Lonestar

  1. He's a slightly above average defensive 1B. Austin and Cruz are not. Why are some of us giving Austin a scholarship? On the other hand, his OBP without his (unsustainable) 17 HBP's last year was about .304. Hard pass.
  2. IMO if the Twins don't add Nick Anderson to the roster they will have pooched it. He will go at the top of the Rule 5, he will stick, and he will perform like we wish our rookies or even veterans would. A reliever who has a K%-BB% = 28.4% and can go multi-innings should be prized.
  3. Chirinos is worse defensively than Kurt Suzuki. Even in a vacuum, he only makes sense on the 25-man roster if Garver and Astudillo are unable to catch.
  4. Did we resolve that Roster Resource is wrong and that Graterol and Alcala are not Rule 5 eligible.
  5. Brandon, your plan might work if the Twins can survive a 7-man bullpen instead of the de rigueur 8-man.
  6. If the Twins have a 8-man bullpen and sign Cruz for DH and McCutchen for RF, that means they can only carry 3 other outfielders -- one being Rosario. The 3 candidates for 2 remaining positions are Buxton, Cave, and Kepler. Buxton and Cave have minor league options. Kepler does not. IMO Buxton will likely have to be optioned during the course of the season based on his poor command & control of the strike zone. Will it happen on Day 1 or later or at all? [i don't think they would carry Buxton as a 4th OF/PR/defensive specialist until he is out of options. He needs the reps and the work on pitch recognition and command & control of the strike zone.] Now if the Twins sign McCutchen as a RF/DH option, they can carry both Kepler and Cave. And better absorb the Buxton demotion or injury.
  7. I am a big fan of Max, but I have finally realized (thanx to Doomtint's and wsnyde's dialogue) that he won't be more than he is until he fixes his swing and pitch selection. Send him to Driveline Baseball in Seattle or some equivalent.
  8. Their CF sucks until proven otherwise. Their 3B sucks until proven otherwise. Those are holes. Their SS sucks at defense (proven) and some think the same deficiencies would follow him to 2B.
  9. The Twins finished 85-77 in 2017 was the 2nd Wild Card team in the AL. The Brewers finished 86-76 in the NL and missed the Wild Card by 1 game. Stearns looked at his talent (including the #5 farm system) and the underlying data and decided to make significant moves. Falvine looked at their talent (including a #14 system IIRC, weighted towards the lower minors) and underlying data (including sequencing) and decided to be more guarded. After missing out on Yu Darvish, they did sign 4 multi-year deals (if by multi-year, you mean team control for more than one year): Reed, Rodney, Duke, and Morrison. Turns out Stearns was right … for 2018. Almost everything worked. Falvine were also right. The Twins were not ready. Players gotta play and they did not. Not only Reed, Morrison, and Rodney, but also Polanco, Kepler, Mauer, and the reinforcements from Rochester (Gonsalves, Gordon, Wade, Busenitz, Duffey, and Curtiss) did not play. Most especially Buxton, Sano, and Dozier did not play. Those 3 alone account for more than the drop off from 85 wins 2017 to 78 wins in 2018. Of course it took 91 wins to make the playoffs in 2018 and likely will take that amount in 2019.
  10. I'm one of the biggest Anderson fans on the board and would have loved to see him in 2018, but it was not a crime to take one last look at Busenitz, Duffey, and Curtiss. But if they let him go in Rule 5, it will be a crime.
  11. No. Carlos Gomez, Aaron Hicks, and Byron Buxton have convinced some of us.
  12. Sano and Buxton both can be optioned next year. But unless you plan on optioning them on Day 1, building the roster gets tricky. It wouldn't be so bad if the Twins had one question mark, but they have two. It's not like you can stash viable 2+ Win replacements in AAA (unless you grow your own, and the Twins have none in the pipeline).
  13. Lonestar

    Bullpen BS

    I didn't look closely because he isn't averaging 1 IP per game. He's had success this year. Not so much in 2017 and his splits held down his trade value in 2016.
  14. Lonestar

    Bullpen BS

    Ottavino would be worth it for the professionalism he would bring. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/adam-ottavino-rebuilt-himself-in-a-vacant-manhattan-storefront/ Watson is a LOOGY and I'm not interested in that, let alone giving up talent for it at this time.
  15. There is nothing wrong with Kepler's line vs LHP's this year: .254/.331/442/.777 Kepler needs to work on his launch angle IMO. For all of you that liked to complain about Dozier's pre-All Star splits, Rosario's post-All Star line is .233/.255/.341/.596. Dozier's pre-All Star splits were .242/.328/.417/.745 in 2017 and .246/.335/.450/.785 in 2016.
  16. Why did Anderson not make the top 5? Is it simply ERA? I hope they add Anderson and Reed to the 40-man roster -- especially Anderson.
  17. I like the idea of Jose Iglesias playing SS on a 1-year deal. That would move Polanco to 2B or better yet the bench.
  18. Are you talking SS or 3B? Machado is a below average SS and above average 3B. What are you figuring for the Twins payroll next year? I figure the Twins have less than $50M to spend next year if their payroll is $130M. Many would like to see the Twins add a starting pitcher, a shutdown reliever, a 2B. Are you planning on the Twins contending next year (without those additions)? Will Machado sign for a non-contender?
  19. What's best for Buxton is best for the Twins. What is that? Since the AllStar break he is slashing .340/.375/623/.998 at AAA. He is also striking out 29.6% of the time, walking only 1.8% and has a .457 BABIP. None of those numbers are sustainable, especially in light of that BB%/K%. Note: Last year's post-All Star K rate was 28.5% K and the BABIP was .402. And the BB% rate was 7.1%. Disclaimer: There was math involved and I have already amply proved my need for an editor and fact checker. I would not base next March 28th's roster spot on his September performance. Cave has an option next year in case Buxton makes the roster at any time next year. I suspect Buxton will spend 28 days on a MILB option next year, not to gain the extra year but hopefully be fixed. If Buxton doesn't get another year of team control by MiLB option, they can still extend him. If they want to. After next year.
  20. Buxton did not play today. I wonder what that means. Health has been a problem, but Buxton has been broken as a hitter. He has 16 AAA games left to prove he is not broken as a hitter. Otherwise I would give him September off.
  21. Nick Anderson should be added to 40-man roster. In fact he should be on the MLB roster -- a power reliever capable of more than one inning.
  22. Astudillo's career MILB OBP is .347 http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&player_id=553902#/career/R/hitting/2018/ALL He is hitting .286/.322/.507/.829 at AAA International League. Give him a chance to catch in the Show.
  23. There are 3 vacant 40-man roster spots and 3 on the 60-day DL to be added? Is Trevor May really not on the 60-day DL? These guys are candidates to be gone: Colon, Beslisle, Boshers, Giminez, Santiago, Gee, Palka, O'Rourke, Vielma. That's 9 spots. Recker's spot will be filled with a catcher on the 40-man roster. I would delete Hughes and Perkins. That's 2 more. Gibson will make for interesting conversation as might Turley. I think we all want to add 1 starter and 1 reliever at a minimum so we are back down to 9 spots. My givens are Gonsalves, Littell, Curtis, Thorpe, and Moya (5). I don't know why Bard isn't getting more consideration for promotion, but I would add him and Burdi. Slegers and Stewart do not warrant protection based on their current performance and scouting reports. I still have 2 available roster spots.
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