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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    I think I'm ok with any of the top tier guys although I lean toward Wright. I am curious on what McKay can do once he stops being a two way player and I think we're putting too much stock in his velocity. He's a stud. He's either the best college pitcher or the second best college pitcher. He's not Scott Baker. If they take Greene, is he fast to the majors like Berrios - meaning 2021 rookie season? If the Twins can take someone in that top teir at 1/1 and still save money for 35/37, great.
  2. gunnarthor
    This is off topic but HS pitchers - like Stewart - are risks. Stewart, Kolek, Aiken, Bell, Tate are just a few of the recent HS arms taken in the top 10 that look bad. It is what it is. Would people look at that draft differently if Stewart were the 4th rounder and Gonsalves the 1st rounder?
  3. gunnarthor
    I probably missed your post. What was your realistic return?
  4. gunnarthor
    This is pretty much how I feel.
  5. gunnarthor
    If you want to get rid of Santana to improve our pitching staff it means you think you can get a mini-Santana back in a trade that might be ready by 2019 or you're willing to accept some backend arms under team control like Montgomery. If you think Santana won't be good next year, why would a team trade for him?
  6. gunnarthor
    I don't think the Twins want to bring Boras clients into their locker room with so many young guys that will be looking for big paydays in the not so distant future. My guess is that Boras is a net negative in the drafting room. I could be wrong. We'll see but I doubt the Twins draft any of Boras' big clients on day one, including Romero. As for Gore, I'd prefer Wright. A lot would have to go right for Gore to be where Wright is in three years. I don't see why we should wait for that when the potential difference isn't that great. Wright is a darn good pitcher already. Take him and move on.
  7. gunnarthor
    Man, I realized I've been sort of combing Granite and Wade together for a few years now. Both are late round college guys, LH, OFers. I mean, I knew they were two different guys but I haven't really differentiated them.
  8. gunnarthor
    He didn't strike guys out.
  9. gunnarthor
    Kepler's really turning into an all around solid player. He does a bit of everything. He's a lot better than I thought he'd be, especially in the OF.
  10. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I don't think the idea that the Twins are slow on their pitchers is valid. Berrios got to the majors at 22. Both Stewart and Gonsalves were among the youngest arms at AA last year. Jay got to AA in a year. Romero was pushed to AA after TJ surgery etc. Really, except for injuries, the only thing slowing our minor league pitchers has been their performance. Brad Steil has done a good job pushing prospects up the ladder.
  11. gunnarthor
    If we think he's going to turn into a pumpkin, why would a team give up anything of value for him? Our offense is pretty well here. We're not waiting on some minor league guys. Pitching is a problem. I don't see how getting rid of a solid, cost-controlled, relatively cheap starter for 2017, 2018, 2019 helps us. Sure, if we get an insane deal, make the trade. The Twins should certainly listen. But a team that needs Santana probably doesn't have the pitching to send back to us, unless it's pitching that won't arrive until 2019. It's like not trading Dozier - if you don't get a deal you like, don't make the trade just to make a trade.
  12. gunnarthor
    I don't think trading Santana fixes those problems in the first place. I'm sure the Twins will listen and if the right deal comes by, great. But it probably won't.
  13. gunnarthor
    If the Twins were offered Rodgers and Tapia from Col, than go for it. But it's not quite the same comparison. The Cubs were able to spend a bunch on FA pitchers like Lackey, Lester and Hammel. The Twins won't be able to buy themselves out of their pitching concerns. So if we lose Santana and don't get pitching back, we're in a real hole.
  14. gunnarthor
    I don't see how trading Santana will help us. We need pitching for this year, 2018 and 2019. Santana gives us that. If we trade him, we need even more pitching for those years. So, arguably, we'd want pitching back. But if a team has young pitching to spare, then they wouldn't need Santana. I don't think trading Santana is going to get us top pitching back. Trading one of Dozier/Polanco/Gordon might.
  15. gunnarthor
    No, but they'd be saying that Stewart is the safer pick. Kind of like how, in this draft, people are saying Gore is a safer pick than Greene despite Greene being ranked above him.
  16. gunnarthor
    I posted this in another thread but it far from unanimous that Greene is the best guy. Fangraphs has Wright #1 on their draft board and Jim Callis said he'd take Gore over Greene. Greene has velocity but Gore is way ahead of him on secondary pitchers - Hall and a few others might be, too, including Carlson. Greene's risk is a lot higher than Kohl Stewart at draft time. Stewart was supposed to have quality secondary pitches already and was seen as a relatively safe HS pick. Wright is probably the best player in this draft class and that's the guy the Twins should nab.
  17. gunnarthor
    Greene over Wright is not a unanimous opinion. Fangraphs has Wright #1 on their draft board.
  18. gunnarthor
    You understand that Stewart and Jay were both risk picks, right? Hell, Buxton over Appel was a little risky at the time. Those picks were exactly what you are clamoring for the Twins to do.
  19. gunnarthor
    I think mine is Wright, Gore, Greene, McKay, Adell but, yeah, they'll almost certainly take Wright.
  20. gunnarthor
    Probably a little but I really don't know enough to be upset.
  21. gunnarthor
    I'm definitely more on Wright or Gore but I also don't have access to what Lavine has. It's possible our scouts think he's gonna be a great LH bat or pitcher once he concentrates on one. I think he's a bit risky though. I want a pitcher and Wright checks all the boxes for me. But if McKay comes cheap enough where the Twins could add someone like Baz at 35 ... maybe I'm ok with that.
  22. gunnarthor
    Sano's power is amazing. I hope we lock him up long term b/c him playing for another team will bother me. Hopefully, Dozier starts hitting again soon. I want him to start carrying the offense a bit.
  23. gunnarthor
    Yeah, Wright and Baz with Rooker for slightly under slot would be a nice little run.
  24. gunnarthor
    Appel was probably in the Strasburg/Price grouping. Wright is probably in the Guasman/Rodon tier, which is just a notch below. Hochevar and Burlington were, IIRC, below that. I like Wright quite a bit and if he pitched all season like he had the last six weeks, he'd be the consensus #1 and probably in the Appel class. Frankly, he's about as safe a pick as a pitcher can be, he should be very good, perhaps great and he should fit in nicely with the core we have forming.
  25. gunnarthor
    Sure, some players lose out but others don't. Tons of HS kids turn down ML teams and get drafted much higher a few years later. And most of these guys can get insurance to cover some of the risks.
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