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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    I said before ST that he'd be an all-star this year. Wish his ST had been better but I'll stick with it. Something close to .265/.350/.520 with ok defense. Top 10 in homers, close to what Seth's prediction is.
  2. gunnarthor
    I did, actually. Bought in the low 40s. Been fun to watch.
  3. gunnarthor
    Well, we'll see. I do think that if he's running out a 5.00 ERA after ten starts (at the most), we'd see him moved/cut for Mejia. But I don't think we'd see another 20 starts like that like we had with Nolasco last year.
  4. gunnarthor
    Sure but he's right that the positive regression of guys like Gibson and Santiago should outweigh the negative regression Santana will have. Nolasco, Meyer, Dean, Milone and Albers combined for 45 starts last year. Duffey had another 26. That's a lot of new starts to be made by new pitchers this year.
  5. gunnarthor
    We don't have anyone - today - that has #1/2 potential but that's somewhat rare. Berrios was our last guy with that kind of ceiling and a lot of people had him pegged as more a #3 type. But Gonsalves, Romero, Stewart and Jay were all on somebody's top 100 list just this offseason. And even with Jay moving to the pen, they still have some upside there (plus Thorpe and some pretty young arms in the low minors that are too far away today). I'm bummed that Jay is being moved but at the same time I think the angst is a bit overblown. We know that not every draft pick will reach it's ceiling although we don't know which ones won't.
  6. gunnarthor
    Yeah, that's one worry I had. I wonder if it's just the player and his agent pushing something that gets him to the majors faster or if the FO really thinks the payoff for him being a reliever over the risk of trying to make him a starter is worth it.
  7. gunnarthor
    I like the idea of Vargas starting in AAA and letting the DH position move around a bit, with Grossman getting some platoon time there. Eventually, I think Park gets put back on the 40 man.
  8. gunnarthor
    The obvious reason they drafted Jay was that they thought he could make the transition to the rotation, as did many draft gurus.
  9. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure this is particularly insightful considering the last ten years covers a large group of prospects still in the minors and most of those were the high draft picks. I do agree that the Johnson drafts have been bad - particularly the stretch from 08-11 - but it's a bit early to really make any final decision (as you have) on, frankly, 2012 forward.
  10. gunnarthor
    Wow. Disappointing news to come back to.
  11. gunnarthor
    The Pohlad's aren't going to spend big in free agency. Until they do it once, I don't think we should give them the benefit of the doubt that they'll do it. The new FO - particularly Falvey - come from orgs that didn't really rely on free agency. It's not a surprise that the Twins wanted that in their FO. Our bigger worry is that they won't pony up the money to keep these young position players around in a few years.
  12. gunnarthor
    Well, I hope Castro really helps our pitchers. Should be interesting to see if Gibson, especially, gets some low strikes.
  13. gunnarthor
    Nice to hear about Berrios. 62 pitches for five innings is pretty good.
  14. gunnarthor
    Oh, wow, man. I mean, that was a tough chance with Dems in the White House. No chance at all now. We'd need another 2008 for that to happen.
  15. gunnarthor
    Well, yeah. Depends on how old you are. I'm in my early 40s so the short term ebb and flow of the market isn't too scary for me - but I also said that in 08 when we held a lot of Wachovia stock (remember them?) and citibank. Uff-da. So we're watching a bit more closely this time but generally I don't worry about timing the market so much as having a smart(ish) portfolio, meaning buying boring index funds when appropriate.
  16. gunnarthor
    Bukauskas is a pretty exciting guy but other places have noted some concern with his effort/delivery. With 35 and 37, it's also possible (likely?) that a pitcher slotted for the top 15 gets injured (like Giolito or Aiken) or has a crap season (Alec Hanson) and the Twins might be able to take a gamble that way, as well.
  17. gunnarthor
    Dang. Hope he comes back next year better than ever.
  18. gunnarthor
    Ahh, skimmed that. Well, let's hope so. I probably agree that Romero's upside is higher (I was pretty low on De Leon in the first place) but his floor is much, much lower.
  19. gunnarthor
    What De Leon statement? Did I miss something in this thread?
  20. gunnarthor
    Oh, sure. But that's a few different regimes/draft coordinators. Things really changed under Deron Johnson. And "safe" college arms, to me, sounded like the control specialist college pitchers Radcliff drafted - Slowey, Baker, Duensing et al. Completely different from the high upside velocity/high risk reliever strategy of Johnson.
  21. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure that's true at all. Their drafts since 2012 have been some HS OF with tools but also several HS arms and some non-typical college arms (lots of relievers). Actually, looking at picks taken in the top 100 of each of those drafts only 5 players qualify as a "safe" college arm or HS OF - Buxton, Eades, Kiriloff, Babadoo and Jax. Lots and lots of college relievers and a fair number of HS SS were nabbed as well.
  22. gunnarthor
    What are the chances that Bakauskas can clean up his delivery enough to be a starter at the ML level? If we could sign him #1 at #4 money ...
  23. gunnarthor
    I think you're overreacting a bit.
  24. gunnarthor
    I think you're reading a bit much into this. The international signings under Smith were great and he pushed ownership to pay a record amount for Sano. That's all great. The point I was trying to make with Romero was that Romero wasn't a huge financial signing but a scout pushed for him. As for Ryan, not sure why we're set on dragging him into this but since we've just seen the 2009 international signing guys make the majors, we'll probably have a few years before we can see the 2012+ groups. As for why people are somewhat dissatisfied with Smith is because he inherited a pretty young ML team and made some trades that didn't work out in either the short term or the long term.
  25. gunnarthor
    Yeah, they've certainly had their misses, too.
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