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Deduno Abides

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Everything posted by Deduno Abides

  1. Some of Navarreto’s defensive stats are crazy good. If he could only hit as well as Drew Butera, he’d have a good career.
  2. A lot of teams, with statistical models, are batting players like Dozier first or second. Perhaps the most similar hitter on the Astros is George Springer, who hits first. For the Twins, the expectation is that Sano will be a good clean-up hitter, batting behind Polanco and Mauer.
  3. Yes, I personally am satisfied with Dozier’s results. Last year, the offense was clicking with Buxton and Kepler hitting in front of Dozier. The order seems to work.
  4. Help me understand the problem with Dozier leading off. He’s scored more than 100 runs four years in a row and driven in almost 100 each of the last two years. Seems like outstanding production, so I don’t see the problem.
  5. Dozier is great, or at least highly very good, and he deserves whatever he can get, but it will be interesting to see if he has a better market while looking for a multi year big bucks contract than the Twins were able to find two years earlier when he was cost-controlled and younger.
  6. Years ago Gleeman wrote an article criticizing the Twins for letting go a reliever with good K/BB rates, Mike Nakamura. Look him up, if you need to. Turned out not to be a loss. All of these guys are much more likely to have careers like Nakamura than like David Ortiz, who hit 20 HRs in the majors as a 25 year-old with a broken wrist before getting released. Most of these guys are older than Ortiz was and have either barely played because of injuries or have had almost no impact when they played. They are also replaceable with players in the organization or available at limited cost, e.g., Jake Reed may be more likely to contribute than Bard and Morrison County is preferable to Palka.
  7. Two ideas regarding game length that won’t require negotiation. 1. Get rid of the juiced ball. 2. Start playoff and World Series games earlier so people who live somewhere other than Hawaii and Alaska can see the end of the game.
  8. Young pitchers would rather know that they will play in the majors on certain dates as part of a development plan, with the opportunity to prove they belong, than to stay in the minors until who knows when, not knowing when they will pitch or for how long.
  9. Bullpen cars remind me of an old joke about the difference between the Mets and the Yankees. The Mets have a mascot with an enormous head, and the Yankees have Rudy Giuliani.
  10. I’ve been wondering about a similar idea regarding the #5 starter, although not considering as many details about the other slots. What if, for example, Slegers, Gonsalves and Romero shared the #5 slot, each pitching every 18 days or so, and cycled to the minors before and after each start? They would get major league experience, learn from it, and then pitch ten or so innings in the minors between starts, where they could work on what they learned in the big leagues. If one proves that he’s should stay, basically by pitching better than someone else in the rotation, move him up and a fourth pitcher could join the rotating trio. The former starter could be that fourth pitcher, circulating between the majors and minors, or he could become a long reliever.
  11. Not quite, but this is the perception fans have and the Twins old FO partly had. There’s a step missing. Tampa has a good development program, which is more than bringing the kids up and letting them take their lumps. Instead, they have a coordinated program to prepare pitchers. The old FO sort of recognized this, which is why Neil Allen was hired to be the pitching coach, but it requires a whole organization, not just one guy. The new FO understands the organizational requirement, which isn why it has hired so many new and notable people to work in the minors. Fans sort of notice these hires, but get a lot more fired up about free agents, even though it is likely that the new pitching development personnel will be responsible for a lot more WAR over the years than any free agent would.
  12. Assuming Romero has a finite number of grade A pitches in his arm, it seems like he should get to Target Field as quickly as possible. In terms of a pressure situation, it’s likely that next year will have more pressure than this year.
  13. 2017 vs. lefties (OPS, ISO, wRC+): LoMo: .761, .186, 109 Grossman: .696, .082, 96 Vargas: .597, .123, 56 With today’s four man benches, teams can’t worry about a AAA reliever when building a roster.
  14. Last year, Andrew Miller had better stats against righties. Who are the other lefty relievers to worry about?
  15. Mauer was great. Last year he was good. I hope he has another good year this year and then retires. An extension would be pushing his luck, for him and the team. It’s better to leave a year too early than a year too late. If he signs an extension and then declines, even on a normal curve, a lot of fans will turn against him and have some kind of expectation that he should retire mid-season like Ken Griffey, Jr. and may be resentful if he doesn’t.
  16. Starters from the farm: Mauer, Dozier, Polanco, Sano, Rosario, Buxton, Kepler, Berrios, Gibson, Rogers, Hildenberger. Others include Vargas, Garver, Granite, Duffey. Players acquired while minor leaguers include Mejia, Pressly, Busenitz, Enns, Moya, Adrianza and Escobar. Slegers, Gonsalves, Romero and Curtiss are likely to make appearances this year, and Lamonte Wade could be one injury or hot stretch away. Seems like plenty of opportunities for players from the farm system.
  17. Taking advantage of what the market gives them. Good move. Could be curtains for both Grossman and Vargas, because they are positionally limited and have not been awesome at the plate, despite glimpses. Granite is a much better choice for fourth outfielder if fielding is a priority. Vargas’ friendship with Sano may not be a factor in his favor. Would be good to see if Billy Beane would give anything for Grossman. The funny thing about lefty/righty issues is that there aren’t many good lefty starters and thus not as much need as expected for right-handed hitters. Nobody of either hand hits the top lefty relievers, like Chapman and Miller. Even funnier is that two of the best lefty starters, Sale and Quintana, have often been owned by the Twins.
  18. Makes sense. I guess my concern is that he doesn’t turn into a 36 year-old Jim Thome before he turns 26, especially because Sano won’t have Thome’s value in the clubhouse.
  19. I agree he’s unlikely to sign here, but it’s because it was always unlikely and because he’s been called a lot worse things than “fat” over last few months.
  20. BTW, there shouldn’t have been any “Sano is in bad shape” articles last year. He got in great shape over the winter and started the season in the MVP discussion, before tailing off, gaining weight and then getting injured.
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