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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Looking deeper at Baseball-Reference, it looks like Rosario is a disaster in CF and RF. He logged 149 innings at those positions last year and 32 this year. There's the difference. His metrics in LF are similar in 2017 and 2018. If Rosario's numbers are dragged down due to his play in CF, this means Buxton isn't on the field to steal stats from him. When Florimon was next to Dozier, Dozier's defensive numbers shined like they never have before or since. Dozier got a reputation of being a good defender from that one season alone, which is absurd when you look at it. I have a suspicion that good people around you make you look better, not worse, which has to be annoying to GMs during free agency. Apart from the eye test, there's just no way to know who is legit on defense and who isn't. Robbie Grossman, anyone? Anyway ... don't be fooled ... Rosario is barely an average defender ... not an elite one. If he keeps hitting any ball thrown his way, who cares.
  2. They are 59-64 now on August 20th. Your question is: can the Twins pull off a 5-game swing in 39 games? They should be able to, but can they really? Home: White Sox (5), Athletics (4), Royals (3), Yankees (3), Tigers (3) I figure the Twins will win 9-13 of these 18 games. Away: White Sox (2), Indians (3), Rangers (3), Astros (3), Royals (4), Tigers (3), Athletics (3) I figure the Twins will win 9-13 of these 21 games. Worst case: 77 wins Best case: 85 wins My estimate for most likely case: 78 wins (Thanks, red-hot Oakland) Applying the PERT method to these three estimates would tell you to budget for 79 wins, or not quite .500. But at least they will be playing ~.500 ball the rest of the season, so they will be fun to watch.
  3. Nothing wrong with any of this at all.
  4. Trevor May as a closer would give the young ones a taste of what Ron Davis was like. As tempting as this might be, listen to the old fogies when we say let's not do that again.
  5. The only thing that doesn't taste like chicken is the McNugget.
  6. I would expect it to take 6-8 weeks for him to be good. Sure, he is worse than "not good" right now, but this wouldn't be the first time the Twins brought someone off the DL at the wrong time. If the Twins have any thoughts at all about bringing him back next year they have to keep letting him play. If he is doing well in September he could be worth a look next year.
  7. I don't think the article is inherently helpful here. It's too generic. "Most people don't know they have this, most people have no pain," etc., doesn't apply here. He knew he had it and was in pain and couldn't play baseball because of the pain....
  8. What Dozier was for the Twins this year = What Forsythe would be for the Twins next year. I'm not against bringing him back, but hopefully the Twins explore other options first.
  9. 1) Max Kepler hasn't been bad. 2) All 3 of Kepler's seasons in the majors are of similar caliber, he has been the same player for 3 years. 3) He was in the minors for the maximum amount of time. He's been playing professional ball long enough to know who he is. (Anything at A+ and above is considered professional baseball.) I don't think Kepler is going to get much better, except possibly on defense. But he's also not bad, so big deal. The Twins are paying him the minimum they can and he has been worth $10M - $15M a year. Where's the problem? Should this thread have really been titled "Will Max Kepler ever be an All-Star?" Probably not. So what? He is a contributor. He's at the same level as Greg Gagne (87), Randy Bush (87), Roy Smalley (87), Gene Larkin (87, 91).... All solid contributors to world series winning teams.
  10. Did his delivery change? If not, why was he missing bats before if this is as obvious as A-Rod says?
  11. Until this year he was very good at hitting lefties. Likely he will go back to hitting lefties very well should his career continue. He could be the Twins' answer to the LOOGY, assuming Molitor ever thinks strategically like that. He can also play defense well. Is he the future? Nah. Could he be the veteran IF backup, late innings defensive replacement, and LOOGY specialist? Sure.
  12. Even the least interesting of baseball players have good streaks from time to time. Forsythe will regress back to his norm, and no one will be fooled enough to trade for him. He can hit lefties OK, so he could be good to keep around as a pinch hitter / late innings defensive backup ... assuming the Twins ever think in these terms (I don't think they have since Gardy left).
  13. No, it's because Gibson skipped Rookie ball and debuted at A+. The Twins were rushing him.
  14. Stewart only has 45 innings at AAA. Gibson logged OVER 200 INNINGS at AAA before playing for the Twins.
  15. I'm skeptical that Morrison was injured "all season" without any of us hearing about it at any time. Was there any point in the past six months that a journalist asked him how he was feeling? I'd love to know his response. If he was injured all year, the Twins gave up the opportunity cost of having someone in his place who would have almost certainly hit better... Vargas or any number of other guys at AAA. Seems like a strange choice for an organization to make for a guy who clearly can't play.
  16. Stewart played well. That last inning there got out of hand quickly but it was his first game. Don't listen to any 'experts' around here who are saying he is cooked, he sucks, he'll never make it, etc.
  17. Mejia is 7th on the team in bWAR this year after appearing in just five games. He is sure to pass Dozier for the year should he ever return (1.2 v. 1.0 bWAR).
  18. I knew they were going to lose once I saw who was batting leadoff -- Forsythe. I don't know why this organization has so much faith in a manager who can't fill out a lineup card.
  19. Is this FO as good as they think they are? They thought they were a lot closer than they were when putting together the pieces for 2018. So, at this point, no. They did a nice job fielding a team that could beat Cleveland, but they have to be able to beat other teams too. This was their first crack at putting a team together, so they deserve more time to figure things out. Do they really have a plan for promotions and prospect growth? Yes. Why are they enamored with cast offs from every other team? I don't feel like they are. Can they overcome their love affair with their own selections and drop players like Morrison when the answer is obvious? Morrison and Rodney were weird pick-ups, but one of them worked out OK. The weirder part about Morrison is the caliber of players that he blocked. They had a lot of people who would have been better. Do they like our own prospects? Yes. And if so why don't they give our players a sense of timing for their arrival. They are not good at communicating with their employees. Dozier said the first time he talked to them was at the winter meetings last year. Sad. But I will say that as a manager, you don't want to make promises you can't keep. They would be lying if they say they ever truly know when a player will be called up.
  20. I tore up my hip once and it took 9 months to heal on its own. Every time I would twist my body to do something like sit in a car, I could hear and feel it tearing up again. It seems like a no-brainer to me that an athlete would either need surgery or would need to be shut down if there were any chance at all to heal in a timely manner. Whoever told him he could play through this doesn't deserve a medical degree.
  21. If you played Pokemon Go at the beginning, but quit because there wasn't much to do, here's what's been added: - More Pokestops - The PvP/raid system is completely different - Boss battles - You can see what the neighborhood Pokemon are and where to find them - Pokemon spawn more often - It's easier to acquire higher level Pokemon - There are missions and rewards - You can make friends, send gifts, and trade I live in Chicago and it's a good game here ... but once you get into the suburbs there still aren't many Pokestops. My building being a Pokestop has always made it easier for me to get gear. I played at the beginning but got bored. I came back a few months ago and it's been a nice diversion during my day....
  22. "The size of your Weedle is colossal!" --Pokemon Go
  23. Without multiple doctors signing off on something saying he's injured, him and the player's union would sue the Twins so fast your head would spin.

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