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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Doomtints
    The extended sloppy play by the Twins infield is unacceptable. Has Baldelli talked about this in any substantial way? Talk about the pitching all you want, every pitcher is going to look bad with this defense behind it. I have never seen a Twins infield play defense this poorly.
  2. Doomtints
    The market this year should be ample for the Twins to improve where they need to. This is rare and let's hope they take advantage.
  3. Doomtints
    It would be sad if people still hold their breaths on that one after all these years. But yes, people do....
  4. Doomtints
    I can see it now. Twins fans barrage Lynn. Lynn gets traded to a different team. Lynn beats the Twins in the playoffs. This year and next year. This quote says it all: "I hope the Twins aim higher, in spite of his success."
  5. Doomtints
    Salary relief for the Marlins, an exchange of minor leaguers, and some fresh blood for the Twins to finish out the year. This is a solid but not earth shattering move.
  6. Doomtints
    It's difficult to compare Buxton to Puckett or Hunter because Buxton's WAR is much more reliant on his defense. Though Buxton's hitting tool is coming along this year, it's still just in the neighborhood of what Span's was. Span's WAR dropped off when his defense dropped off. To beat a dead horse, the Twins could have and should have kept Span until he was a free agent at age 31. I don't know why any team would trade a good defender and competent hitter at age 28. Regarding Buxton's track, let's see if his hitting tool continues to develop as it has been quite slow in coming along. As thing stand today, I would say your career projection is way too high. His batting average is 80 points lower than Puckett's but you have him surpassing Puckett in WAR. Buxton's defense won't remain elite for his entire career. He is one knee, back, or neck injury away from being an average defender, at worst, and he's 4-6 years away from being average in the field at best.
  7. Doomtints
    Good point, I had forgotten about Manaea.
  8. Doomtints
    I don't expect this team to beat the Yankees in the playoffs. The best hope for the Twins is for someone else to do that. But you never know, if this team gets hot like it was earlier in the year....
  9. Doomtints
    The A's have shown they can make moves like this. They can simply trade Stroman away later to get similar prospects back. They've done this before. However, I think the author might be smoking something. The As don't need starting pitching, they need bullpen arms. If the Twins are not smart, the As will get what the Twins are looking for.
  10. Doomtints
    A graphic was flashed during the playoffs a year or two ago showing how playoff teams in that year acquired their talent. The number of playoff teams with talent that came from trades would clearly surprise you. If I recall correctly, there was only one team in the playoffs that year which was mostly home-grown talent. There were a couple that only lightly dipped into the free agency pool, but almost all the teams had large parts of their rosters coming in from trades. Settlers of Catan might be a good game for armchair GMs to play. You acquire resources on your own, but it's difficult to get every resource at the right time and in the right ratios to win, so to make up for that you have to do trades. Only by doing both can you win the game.
  11. Doomtints
    I haven't seen any "it's over" type comments, but anyone expressing them should be welcome to. They could be right.
  12. Doomtints
    So what you're saying is I'm not following the herd. This does not change my advice. If the Twins are shopping for starters, hopefully they are digging deep.
  13. Doomtints
    Loaded question. There is only one Verlander, there will be no next one. Besides, I would only look at picking up relievers. 1) Jimmy Sherfy, or Yoshihisa Hirano if the Rays are ready to promote Sherfy to full time. (I don't know the extent of Sherfy's injury which could change my opinion). 2) Amir Garrett, or Lucas Sims if Garrett is untouchable. 3) Reyes Moronta, Sam Dyson, Will Smith, or Tony Watson. The Giants have a great bullpen but are starving for hitting. The Twins have some guys who can hit, right? This could be a blockbuster, multi-player trade.
  14. Doomtints
    The best advice is to not follow the herd. Archer didn't look great to me yet everybody was all up on him. Same with Darvish being injury prone. Oakland tends to do well because they ignore the name and they ignore the fanfare. They look at the data, and I don't mean WAR or even FIP, which for example were masking Archer's actual performance.
  15. Doomtints
    Another game, another pair of throwing errors by the Twins infield. The Twins infielders seem to have a special affection for sloppy play when Gibson starts, though the infielders are starting to share the love with everybody.
  16. Doomtints
    You start by saying they are not unsophisticated. You end by saying they don't know PR. In the middle, you talk about things I wasn't talking about, all while saying I'm wrong. Thanks for the vent.
  17. Doomtints
    The outfield defense has been nearly flawless. The infield defense not so much.
  18. Doomtints
    (Also, and this is the worst bit, until recently the Pohlads were the regional bottler for Pepsi. Gross.)
  19. Doomtints
    Carl started out by buying foreclosed properties (mostly farms) during the Great Depression. He continued to buy failed or failing assets and properties, including banks, land, buildings, etc., throughout his lifetime. Note a couple of things: - Though the Pohlad family was valued at $3.6B as late as 2015, Jim is suspected to only have cash in the $1M - $10M range in spite of running the both the Twins and managing the real estate holdings. How would you feel about doling out $100M contracts when you have much less than that? - The $3.6B value in 2015 appears to be going downward, though I'm not sure how as the economy has been good, so take this with a grain of salt. - The liquid assets in the family that come from the businesses are shared by 20 different people and their families. Jim probably doesn't have the control we think he does. If the Twins go in the red, it affects a lot of people, all in his family.
  20. Doomtints
    I imagine more will be done than in the TR years -- where we would often see one token move at the last possible second to make sure there wasn't an uproar among fans and the press -- but as to the caliber of this year's moves it's impossible to know. One thing is for certain, any move the Twins could make that would make a difference would be an expensive one, both with cash and prospects. And, yes, if they don't make an appropriate move or two I can see this team fading down the stretch. Saving money year after year only makes sense if you're willing to spend that money you saved when the time is right. The Twin Cities have proven that the seats will be full when the team does well, and they'll be empty when the team sucks. The path forward for this team could not be more clear.
  21. Doomtints
    Bill Smith was given enough rope, it seems, but Jim and Terry were both clear that every expenditure had to be run through both Jim Pohlad and Dave St. Peter after Smith was demoted. St. Peter has stepped back since Levine was hired, but Levine has still made it clear that he has to run things through Jim. The closest thing to what you are alluding to is a statement by Jim Pohlad during the Terry Ryan firing stating he was surprised that Terry Ryan didn't come to him more often to ask for more money in order to make a move. Considering payroll is heading downward since then, I suspect this statement was largely for PR. Heck, every statement this team has made since 2010 regarding payroll has been for PR. Reality has never jived with their statements.
  22. Doomtints
    Good points. People have mixed him up with Buxton a little bit (and you too perhaps a little bit... I don't remember the Twins marketing Sano as the next big thing). Since Bill Smith left as GM, the Twins felt like reluctant partners with Sano. This is the first year that feels different, where he isn't being jerked around or questioned at every turn by someone in management. Also, consider the source. Twins Daily was part of the Sano drama when it unfolded. A healthy dose of skepticism goes a long way in baseball, this article/narrative is no exception.
  23. Doomtints
    Then you should be a White Sox fan! This is how they have played for at least a generation now.
  24. Doomtints
    Dozier's "advanced" middle infield defensive metrics were awesome when Pedro Florimon was standing next to him. They weren't so good otherwise. We have to be careful here, do Polanco's numbers look better due to Schoop? We're also forgetting that the "advanced" defensive metrics cited in this article need three years of data to be trustworthy. The 15-20 errors Polanco will commit this year, to me, says he still isn't a good defender. Does his offense make up for his errors? So far, sure, at least usually. Later on, maybe not. Every bat gets cold. Knoblauch was great out there except for his throwing errors, too, and the problem, as we all know, only got worse. Polanco's glove isn't the problem.
  25. Doomtints
    The biggest surprises are 56 wins, 166 home runs, 119 team OPS+ (though dropping fast), and 115 team ERA+. Individual improvements are less significant. The above stuff happened as a team.
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