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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. You are correct. It was a strange jump. Maybe they got some new statcast data or updated their algorithm? I mean, he had a good game, but not THAT good.
  2. Don't look now but Byron Buxton is 15th among all MLB position players in fWAR (1.8) with about 40 fewer PA than most of those ahead of him. On pace to be a 6+ WAR player.
  3. Ummm, no? I mean, not even in the discussion. I know it has only been a month, but you can't hit like that and be the top prospect, especially with only one full year of good results in the books.
  4. Anyone know what is going on with Royce Lewis? Could he be injured or hiding an injury? His OBP is still good, but he has zero power and a very low BABIP. Seems like nobody in Fort Myers is hitting for much power. Very surprising and disappointing as I always thought it was considered a hitters league.
  5. Seems like Twins' minor league pitching has been exceptionally good and the hitting pretty bad. Kind of surprising. Does anyone know when Kirilloff is expected back from the injured list?
  6. Some sort of injury. Was considered mild I think. But haven't heard anything about when he'll return.
  7. Ryne Harper has been fantastic both in terms of the stats and the eye test this spring. Any chance he makes the team, and if not, any chance we can keep him at Rochester? Would be a shame to lose him.
  8. http://www.startribune.com/twins-shortstop-jorge-polanco-set-for-seven-year-deal/505833702/ HOLY COW. $25 million guaranteed for Polanco over 5, plus 2 options (I like those number for the Twins). Kepler up next. Rosario, Berrios and Rogers likely as well.
  9. Don't understand why they aren't trying to sign Berrios to an extension. This seems like the offseason to do it. You aren't going to find many better young pitchers with less injury risk.
  10. Agree that Berrios should be the top choice for an extended contract. Yes, pitchers have more injury risk as a general matter, but Berrios' excellent injury history and obvious attention to offseason fitness and strenghtening lessen that risk somewhat.
  11. Thanks Tom. This, like all of the earlier Prospect Spotlights, is superb. As for Royce, he sure looks like a legit shorstop to me. The range and athleticism are obvious and the arm looked surprisingly good. In fact, all three of those things look better than the corresponding tools for Polanco, and by defensive metrics, he's an average or close to it major league SS. Plus by all accounts Lewis has a great head on his shoulders, so I'm not very worried about his mental fitness for the position. In fact, just watching these plays, it is hard for me to imagine Lewis not being a better fielding SS than Polanco at some point, but I guess you are right, a lot can happen before he reaches the majors.
  12. True, but that shouldn't really affect his FIP right? I mean, maybe a little in that with a lower BABIP he gets into trouble less often and so gets less tired/can use his splitter more, etc., but it shouldn't affect is FIP much right, and that was still much better in 2017?
  13. While I definitely agree we shouldn't give up on Gonsalves, Duran's stuff is WAY better than Gonsalves' stuff. Gonsalves has never hit 96, let alone 93 or 94, and he has never had a breaking ball anywhere close to Duran's. To get an idea of how good his raw stuff is (although he's clearly starting to put it together in games so it isn't just "raw" anymore), note that Fangraphs stated after the Trade Deadline about Duran: That's pretty high praise, and "consistency issues" are quite common among even very good young pitchers in the lower minors.
  14. One wonders if Falvey and Levine feel like the previous regime partially screwed up the development of Buxton and Sano, and feel they can do a better job with the next wave of prospects. I'm not saying they are giving up on Buxton and Sano (they clearly aren't), just that they maybe feel like Buxton and Sano are already a couple of years behind where their ability and potential should have or could have put them by now, and with only 3-4 years left in that window (absent extensions, which don't appear forthcoming), they don't want to sacrifice/undermine their "own" prospect wave by mortgaging it for the prior wave that they don't have complete ownership of or faith in. I don't know, that's just the sense I get. Part of it is what Falvey said in that ESPN interview about how the arms race has moved from "selection" to "devlopment." The sense I got from that part was that he (probably rightly) thinks the Twins had fallen way behind on development in the past 10 years or so. If it were up to me, I would extend at least Berrios (try to add 3-4 years) and Rosario (adding 1-2 years) this offseason (and maybe Buxton if the price were great, which it probably is not) so that they can be part of that next window. I don't see Sano, Kepler or Polanco being critical to that next wave.
  15. Underwhelmed by obtaining a 2 WAR/30HR player at a position of need for . . . nothing? I mean, if he's the only good bat they get this offseason, then sure, but its November 26th.
  16. it is actually 4 years of control now. It was 3 years before the service time shenanigans.
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