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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    He clearly has the best stuff on the team and that would probably still be the case throwing 98 instead of 102. I don't know why people are so afraid to try. Imagine what a waste of talent it would have been if the Twins had kept Johan Santana in the bullpen. Relievers get hurt all the damned time; they're not protecting his arm having him throw 102 in the bullpen. Give him 30 starts. Even if he's only "Sonny Gray" caliber he should stay in the rotation. If you get a season like 1974 Rich Gossage move him back to the bullpen.
  2. DJL44
    I doubt it. Bally Sports will continue to produce programming so they can generate revenue. They're just not paying back debtors.
  3. DJL44
    Austin Martin is going to the outfield.
  4. DJL44
    Good article at Fangraphs Diamond Sports Group’s Bankruptcy Could Rock the Baseball Revenue Boat | FanGraphs Baseball There is plenty of revenue here, even as cable subscriptions decline. Everyone knew this was possible and should have planned for that contingency. The business is profitable, but not profitable enough to cover $430M in debt payments every year. I think they can easily ask for $4-5B after bankruptcy restructuring. The best fit for this content is ESPN - they have the cable contracts and the streaming platform already in place.
  5. DJL44
    116,000 out of market fans. Those numbers would certainly climb if in-market fans could subscribe to watch their favorite team.
  6. DJL44
    If Bally goes bankrupt someone will buy the rights. Bally wasn't losing money off the contract, they just can't make their debt payments from the billions they borrowed to buy the contracts from Fox.
  7. DJL44
    They need to replace the revenue with subscriptions AND ads. Ad sales for sports are very lucrative.
  8. DJL44
    TV distribution was a lot different in 2001. That's 6 years before Netflix started streaming.
  9. DJL44
    Not on this team. Kepler and Gallo are excellent defenders. Lewis is unlikely to be better. I think Lewis could be Manny Machado at 3B. You wouldn't put Machado in the outfield.
  10. DJL44
    The positional adjustment is 10 runs higher at 3B than in LF. If Lewis' defense is average at each you're throwing away 1 WAR per season playing him in LF. Teams haven't been putting slow footed sluggers at 3B. They've been putting a second shortstop at the position (Bregman, Arenado, Machado, Chapman). Jose Miranda is a below average defensive 3B and there are several good fielding LF on the team. That means the Twins would actually throw away 2 WAR putting Lewis in LF and Miranda at 3B.
  11. DJL44
    I hope this is the catalyst that ends local blackouts.
  12. DJL44
    I think you're underrating how range can help a third baseman. It makes no sense to me to play Jose Miranda at 3B if Royce Lewis is available. SS, 3B, CF, 2B, RF, LF, 1B in that order and I'd probably trade him if I only had room to play him in RF, LF or 1B.
  13. DJL44
    He'll get one ball a game in LF and you don't need an arm there. He's too good of a defender to be put out to pasture.
  14. DJL44
    It would be a waste to use Royce Lewis in LF if he can play the infield. Better off trading him.
  15. DJL44
    To be fair, the writers didn't elect Baines, that was the Era Committee - mostly former players and executives.
  16. DJL44
    Just wait for them to end up in breach of contract. The problem is they won't find another option as lucrative. The Twins need Sinclair as a bidder - otherwise it's just NBC/Comcast and AT&T who are left. It would be great if the Twins were the first team to drop cable and go directly to streaming, though my dad might not be able to figure out how to access streaming.
  17. DJL44
    Yet somehow Billy Wagner, who wasn't half the pitcher of Santana, is on the cusp of election. Seriously, Santana has 7 seasons better than any of Wagner's.
  18. DJL44
    JT Snow or Eric Hosmer are good comps for Mauer at 1B. Mauer is 0.5 wins above average in the time he spent as a regular at 1B. That doesn't really contribute much to his Hall of Fame case. Will Clark could hit the crap out of the ball. Twice as many HR as Mauer. It helps Mauer that he looks better than Posey and Molina. JT Realmuto is the only active catcher who looks like he has a chance at the Hall of Fame and he needs a few years to catch up to Mauer. Adley Rutschman had a nice debut but it's one season. If the Hall of Fame doesn't elect Mauer they might just stop electing catchers. That would make for a less interesting museum.
  19. DJL44
    What's left? Are any of the free agent relievers available better?
  20. DJL44
    And his issues with management. And his awful defense.
  21. DJL44
    There are dozens and dozens of players who "coulda been" Hall of Famers if they had only stayed healthy.
  22. DJL44
    All teams use the 40 man roster to shuttle pitchers up and down in order to maximize the number of healthy pitchers available. Twins pitchers with options: Lopez 2, Ryan 3, Paddack 2, Ober 2, Woods-Richardson 3, Varland 3, Balazovic 1 Duran 1, Jax 2, Thielbar 1, Alcala 3, Moran 2, Megill 2, Winder 2, Henriquez 2, Sands 2, Headrick 3. Enlow 2, Ortega 2 I don't expect them to option Lopez, Ryan or Duran and Paddack will be on the injured list but any of the rest could be optioned back and forth to allow for flexibility in the pitching staff. You wouldn't think of 36 year old Thielbar as someone with options but he still has 2 seasons left before free agency.
  23. DJL44
    Batters in the #3 slot are usually pretty good. Most of them OPS 900 or better against the league.
  24. DJL44
    Sheffield took steroids. He would have been elected already otherwise. Andruw Jones got 58% of the vote and looks like he will get elected. He'd be in already if he'd stayed in better shape in his 30s. He also ranks lower among CF than Rolen does at 3B.
  25. DJL44
    You're looking at the wrong stats. OPS+ of 109, 116 and 126. He's a well above average bat in those seasons and still an excellent defensive player. It wasn't an accident that he made the All-Star team in 2010, it was an All-Star worthy season. For a number of reasons it is much harder to find players who can hit well and handle 3B defensively than it is in the outfield or 1B (hard to find lefthanded batters is #1). Rolen is a no-doubt top 10 career at his position. He ranks higher among 3B than Puckett does among CF (not in the top 25). The Baseball Hall of Fame has been way too stingy inducting third basemen. They have only elected the guys who would have been elected even if they played 1B plus Brooks Robinson and Ron Santo. Santo had to wait until after he was dead. Hopefully Rolen's election makes it easier for top 3B talent to get recognized.
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