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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    If this continues with Wimmers, I would also be really interested in what he credits for the turnaround. I saw his stats live at the game today and was absolutely shocked. (In a good way!)
  2. TheLeviathan
    Not dead yet! http://blog.earthlinkbusiness.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/mp1.jpg
  3. TheLeviathan
    I've always been on the Kepler bandwagon and I'm thrilled to see him coming along as well as he is. One concern I have is that this team going forward might have a power problem if bother corner OFs are looking 10ish HR guys. Assuming Mauer continues to play 1B that might mean a team with only 3 guys that can hit 20+ a year. (Plouffe, Sano, Dozier) I love all the speed and defense out there in the OF, but there would be a sacrifice to that as well. Just thinking out loud about that future lineup.
  4. TheLeviathan
    Well, we think of it differently because baseball is the only sport that has a different set of rules for each league. The simple fix is to simply stop having pitchers hit, then this won't seem like a fad anymore.
  5. TheLeviathan
    He's going to get eaten alive by the pitching at the big league level.
  6. TheLeviathan
    I don't think my wife would appreciate me dating any of you.
  7. TheLeviathan
    Can we please just get Vargas up here and give an actual DH option? I am confused more and more each day that he is not up with the team.
  8. TheLeviathan
    See I took player analysis as also including analysis of their tendencies. I doubt there are many multi-variable regressions in which RBIs are valuable, but I wouldn't exclude the stat completely. It may be a quick and dirty window into a deeper issue in some situations. But neither of us know what the Twins are or are not doing in order to analyze their players, I just hope they aren't artificially restricting their analysis because something is seen as antiquated. (Or, worse yet, not antiquated enough)
  9. TheLeviathan
    "Inexcusable to include" seems a lot like "dismissed" to me. It also seems strange to me to suggest that there is no conceivable type of player analysis in which RBIs might factor in as a relevant variable to consider for pattern or relationship analysis. Perhaps all you meant was that a player's RBI total isn't a very fair or conclusive way to judge a player. I agree. It also seems to me that your initial statement was stronger than that.
  10. TheLeviathan
    Well, I'll just let it go since you prefer to be condescending, even after you mistakenly accused me of misunderstanding statistical analysis. I hope the Twins are willing to use RBI if it is relevant to the analysis of a player and it most certainly can be, but need not be for all.
  11. TheLeviathan
    RBI as a statistic certainly has a great many weaknesses, but you could use the statistic as a window into other ones to examine why a player has had such success (or lack thereof) in driving runners. Perhaps it's your team's lineup construction or other issues, but I don't feel the need to dismiss the statistic entirely. Even if better alternatives exist. Sometimes the surface level questions "why is this guy struggling to post RBI?" can lead to deeper questions that require better measures to answer. Ultimately, it comes down to what questions you're asking and the best stat to find the answer.
  12. TheLeviathan
    RBI shouldn't be a go-to, but inexcusable to even consider? Going a bit far and a pet peeve of mine with talking baseball stats. No metric or stat is inexcusable or worthless. In fact, the more of them we consider and overlap only enrich the context of the evaluation....not diminish it.
  13. TheLeviathan
    Pfft, little did he expect we always had home runs in our back pocket if we needed it.
  14. TheLeviathan
    The high leverage component and the men on base component of that are completely independent of him. We need Mauer himself being more productive.
  15. TheLeviathan
    While it is great he is being extra RISPy this year and true that he doesn't HAVE to hit HR to be productive.... it's still very much true that his production is not what we need from him.
  16. TheLeviathan
    If you want to liken the Plouffe emergence to anyone on this roster - Perkins is the best comp. Two guys the organization and the fan base had all but drummed out of town that totally changed their own career arc with some changes in their approach. Think where we'd be today without them and breathe a sigh of relief they pulled themselves up and made themselves into true contributors.
  17. TheLeviathan
    Not to mention the "just move him somewhere else!" isn't exactly a great strategy in its own right for a host of reasons.
  18. TheLeviathan
    It's also possible Tom Bernard was just speaking out of his backside and hasn't "eyed" anything about Plouffe. I would probably put those odds at more than just "possible" and much closer to "certain"....
  19. TheLeviathan
    The push to move Sano off of third is just totally inexplicable to me. Keep him there until you have to move him and stop freaking out about MiLB errors and how big he is. The Twins should hold on to Plouffe until Sano forces the issue coming north and with the DH spot in the air there is plenty of reason to believe the two can co-exist. But the Twins would be foolish not to listen to offers on Trevor, they just have to be very selective in what they accept for him.
  20. TheLeviathan
    Always been a believer this kid is going to contribute for us some day, excited to see that steam building.
  21. TheLeviathan
    I would suggest there is this other element of the roster dealing Plouffe could also help with - SP. Sometimes it's just finding the right match - a team with a need and an excess. I'm not saying that exists, but sometimes that partner comes out of nowhere and a player like Plouffe is exactly the type to make that happen.
  22. TheLeviathan
    I think there is a lot of muddling that distinction from both ends of the issue.
  23. TheLeviathan
    Plouffe is closing in on 29, I wouldn't call that young. He's in the heart of his prime right now, but that's the peak of the hill. Not the upslope. Personally I don't WANT to deal Plouffe. But I strongly believe that any player approaching 30 that you don't have a long-term commitment already in place with....should be on the trade block. Not that you have to deal him, but you damn sure shouldn't be shutting the door without listening either.
  24. TheLeviathan
    He was ok for about 100 starts in a ballpark that very much favored him. (To the tune of about .75 of a run better for his career) Do some lefty junkballers find a way to have long and productive careers? Sure, but not nearly as many as flame out after brief moments in the sun. Working against Milone also is that his career numbers don't show him to be all that great against LHB either, which even makes the bullpen a dicey alternative. He's nice depth to have, but I think we're making too much out of what he's doing in AAA. Not that Rochester is complaining I'm sure.
  25. TheLeviathan
    For me a AAAA player is one that demonstrably dominates AAA but can never capture anything approaching the same level of success in the majors. Not a non-factor or a do nothing, but a roleplayer rather than a starter. I don't see Tommy Milone being able to hold down even a back-end rotation job with his stuff. A transition to the bullpen might be a far better use of his skill set.
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