Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

drivlikejehu

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,284

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Tutorials & Help

Videos

2023 Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Free Agent & Trade Rumors

Guides & Resources

Minnesota Twins Players Project

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. drivlikejehu
    The MWC is a solid baseball conference. By the 3rd round virtually all prospects need major improvements to profile as a good big leaguer. Jax seems to have the command needed to succeed, so it's just a matter of whether his stuff continues to improve.
  2. drivlikejehu
    It's extremely rare for an ace to have a mediocre strikeout rate. As of now there are none in the league. Very low walk rates help reduce the strikeout rate needed for success, but Stewart isn't really that kind of pitcher and probably won't be, at least in the foreseeable future. Stewart's strikeouts have picked up this year, which is certainly a positive sign. But he clearly has a ways to go.
  3. drivlikejehu
    How can having good players backfire? Worst case is that a team makes a trade. The Twins desperately need talent, everywhere.
  4. drivlikejehu
    The Twins have had a lot of draft years where they get literally nothing, out of the entire draft. So while I see what you're saying in terms of position scarcity, step one would just be to actually draft and develop big league talent. I'd rather have a decent outfielder than a pitcher that flames out in A-ball, not that the Twins have had success with position player or pitchers.
  5. drivlikejehu
    I just don't see how you can get worked up about position when almost none of the Twins picks ever pan out. People talk about the Twins having a surplus before the season, and within weeks its a deficit.
  6. drivlikejehu
    Teams have a limited ability to project "ceiling" too. There was a good Fangraphs article about that the other day. Did anyone think Altuve was a guy with a really high ceiling? Since 2003, the Twins have signed 2 draft picks that have produced more than 10 career WAR: Matt Garza and Brian Dozier. That's it. A few good years or 4-5 average years is what it takes to get to that mark, and they've managed it twice, and one of them they traded away for Delmon Young.
  7. drivlikejehu
    The MLB average OPS for catchers this year is .680, including backups. That's not great, but it's a lot higher than Turner projects for, and also higher than Garver is likely to manage. I don't think Turner could crack .600. The guy just can't hit at all. I don't understand what some people are looking at to come to a different conclusion. I could see Garver managing a .650 OPS for a few years, which would be OK for a backup but . . . who cares? Teams can get a guy like that in free agency for a couple million. Garver's only real selling point is that he could be a backup or AAAA type for a few years and make the league minimum.
  8. drivlikejehu
    Well, they can't hit, so there's that. Turner is a .220 hitter in AA, basically a poor man's Drew Butera, which means he's not even backup material . . . Garver is a little better, but still borderline even by backup standards, and he's not exactly the best receiver in the world, either. I'd rather have Rortvedt than both of them combined, not even close.
  9. drivlikejehu
    The idea that the Twins have an OF surplus is, uh . . . dated at best. Sano will be a 1B/DH by the time a HS draftee is in the picture, not to mention that Kepler is unproven.
  10. drivlikejehu
    The Twins' track record makes it impossible to have much confidence in their picks. I'm not a scout, so I don't have an opinion on Kirilloff in particular.
  11. drivlikejehu
    I don't find prospects as encouraging as I used to, because the Twins haven't generally been able to translate prospect talent into performance at the MLB level. If anything I'm more worried for the prospects because they are in a failing organization.
  12. drivlikejehu
    I don't think Walker will be able to sustain above-replacement-level production in the Majors (assuming he gets the chance), so it's pretty easy for other prospects to be ranked ahead of him in my view. I agree with the general gist of your rankings, so I'd have him behind most of those you've listed. Palka to me is borderline top 20 . . . basically I'd rather have some of the younger lotto tickets like Diaz because there is still a lot of time for them to develop. Palka is 24 1/2 and has contact problems at AA, so while it could come together for him, he seems like a guy without a high floor or high upside.
  13. drivlikejehu
    Walker can't hit or throw . . . I mean, this is baseball, right? I have him outside the top 40. Palka is a better prospect but I don't think top 20 . . . he doesn't have defensive value and it's questionable whether he can hit for a decent average. I could see him being a role player though.
  14. drivlikejehu
    It is really unfathomable to me how openly and intentionally ignorant Antony is, and surely he's not the only one. I truthfully cannot wrap my mind around it. In what other line of work is that acceptable? Maybe still some corners of the sports world, though not really MLB outside Minnesota. How would I imitate this at my job? client: What are the consequences of this transaction? me: Well, in 1990 you'd take a big tax hit. client: What about in 2016? me: I really prefer to stick with the 1990 thing.
  15. drivlikejehu
    Ryan's decision-making after this season will reveal a lot about his character. He should not only resign, but also recommend to Pohlad that he look for outside replacement GM candidates. I mean, Ryan doesn't even want the job in the first place . . . he'd rather be retired or semi-retired. It would be damning if, under those circumstances, pride prevented him from accepting responsibility and paving the way for change.
  16. drivlikejehu
    Seemingly bizarre and nonsensical comments by Pohlad. The idea that there is nothing Ryan can actually do to fix the "system failure," and also that no other approach would make a difference either . . . I don't even know how to describe his philosophy. Baseball nihilism? Now, I do think part of it is just that he's really bad at giving the dreaded vote of confidence, because that was definitely an aspect of the message. He's not going to make a mid-year change, since that would be pointless, tying into the general theme that ownership is helpless and clueless. Though on that specific issue I agree with him. Bottom line is that Ryan is putting ownership in an untenable position. He is not up to the task and there are significant financial ramifications for the Pohlads. This has been obvious for years, but at some point it will be too much for them to accept anymore.
  17. drivlikejehu
    Looking at expected outcomes, May is probably a win better than Milone as a starter this year . . . not trivial, but also a difference May can partially or even mostly erase with strong performances in high-leverage situations. The problem though is that May has legitimate upside that Milone and some others do not. The Twins need that upside in the rotation, because what they have now isn't good enough to contend.
  18. drivlikejehu
    Hu was a borderline top 10 prospect in the Twins system. It is straightforward incompetence that he was dealt for a replacement level, or slightly above reliever. Ryan was yet again fleeced by someone much smarter than him.
  19. drivlikejehu
    The problem with the statistics cited in the article is that weak ground balls are almost always hit to the 'pull' side of the field. I'd be interested in the production breakdown on balls hit to the outfield.
  20. drivlikejehu
    In the draft, the more expensive picks are much more valuable than the less expensive picks. It's hard to compare that structure to the international free agents, but I think there's something to be said for maximizing the number of elite prospects in the system. Ultimately there will be an international draft anyway.
  21. drivlikejehu
    Bolstering the bullpen is fine and all, but the difference between May and Pelfrey in the rotation more than outweighs that. Plenty of excuses are being offered up for this, as expected. The Twins made the wrong move, as expected. I would be more irritated except I've been criticizing this move for weeks, because it was so obvious that it would happen regardless of how badly Pelfrey pitched. Nor should Milone keep a spot over May. Milone's ERA is much better than he's really pitched, and he would be a better lefty out of the bullpen than Thompson or Duensing. May is better now and more a part of the Twins future plans. So that aspect of the decision is also just plain error on the Twins' part. Not that Milone doesn't 'deserve' a spot, but May deserves it more.
  22. drivlikejehu
    Slegers is an interesting prospect. His strikeout rate has picked up a bit recently after a very slow start in that area. In his career to date, he has walked few batters and induced a lot of infield flies. There is definite MLB rotation potential if he progresses in terms of refining his command and off-speed pitches.
  23. drivlikejehu
    Could you point to some evidence that many, or any, people were expecting 50+ home runs from Bryant?
  24. drivlikejehu
    Garver is old for the level and showing zero power. He is doing better but his prospect stock remains limited at best.
  25. drivlikejehu
    Castro has been below replacement level for 2 out of the last 3 years. He stinks.
×
×
  • Create New...