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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. It's hard to evaluate at a high level of precision. But the Twins have overall been below average at drafting for the past 15 years, no matter how you want to look at it, with the caveat that the evaluation always lags because the results take so long to manifest.
  2. It will be a miracle if Meyer is ever able to pitch regularly for the Twins. At this point there's no real reason to track what's happening . . . his arm isn't healthy.
  3. I don't think Rosario really has much value. I'm sure there are teams that would love to take a crack at teaching him how to hit, but they aren't going to pay much for that opportunity. To put it another way, his value is that of a 4th OF + the chance he can be turned into a solid regular * the value of a solid regular with his years of control, etc. So, more than a pure 4th OF, but much less than a solid regular, since the chances of fixing him aren't great.
  4. Interesting trade. I definitely like it from the Twins' perspective, though I don't think Mejia is anything special. He gives the Twins more depth from which to jettison non-performing veterans.
  5. For sure, though interestingly most of the Twins' young hitting prospects that did well there continued to have success at higher levels, including the Majors in a good % of cases (jury is still out on some of course).
  6. The measures aren't entirely different, they are based on runs created/prevented against replacement level.
  7. Low minors walk rate is not very predictive. Since he's not striking out, and appears to be making hard contact, it looks like he is seeing the ball fine but just being very aggressive. Doesn't concern me.
  8. I don't understand. WAR is basically just a re-denominated count of runs created and prevented. If a pitcher saves 10 runs over replacement with his pitching, and a position player saves 5 with defense and creates 5 with offense, it seems very reasonable to say their contribution was roughly equal.
  9. I'm not as worried about Antony as maybe I should be . . . It really makes zero sense to retain him. Pohlads could have chosen the status quo and instead fired Ryan.
  10. That's the whole point, he knows better. How many times has the podcast covered the mishandling of trades, injuries, prospects, playing time, every possible aspect of the organization? Literally thousands. OK, so there have been some good things. No one completely disputes that. It just has not been *enough* good things, and in any event the organization has serious ongoing problems that have not been addressed. Things needed to change. Bonnes himself has been clear and unwavering on that point for the entire run of the podcast. Did that mean firing Ryan? Well, technically you could say not. But how do you fix the problems without doing that? If he had a way, that would have been a perfectly fine position to take. But to advocate for the status quo was not a tenable position, by his own words and the obvious facts.
  11. Well, I'm not even sure what this is supposed to mean, but my post was not a "personal attack." I listen to the podcast regularly. It was a very frustrating episode . . . Bonnes came out of nowhere to make a bizarre pro-Ryan argument with minimal justification. You can't talk about how the Twins are screwing up constantly and then turn around and say, that despite having said those 10,000 things, Ryan has done a good job and deserves more time. Did Bonnes mean what he said on practically every other podcast? It makes zero sense. If he is going to put himself out there then it's fair game to call him out on this.
  12. Without a basic understanding of stats, you can't even tell how well a player has performed! Is it seriously tolerable in any way, shape, or form, for a GM or Asst. GM to seriously value RBIs and pitcher wins as they decide franchise-altering moves??!!
  13. There has never been an excuse for how Antony and others in the front office are ignorant about statistics. Not even sabermetrics, but just basic stats. Everyone else in the game has moved on. It is unconscionable. No professional should ever be so uninformed about basic facts within their line of work. I'd be shocked if Antony had done much to learn in the interim. There's zero evidence to support such a notion. There is zero reason to think he is even qualified for his prior job, let alone GM.
  14. Granite's AA numbers equate to a sub-700 OPS in the majors. He has limited power, so pitchers aren't afraid of him and he would draw few walks in MLB. Mediocre OBP, poor SLG . . . Fourth OF potential is there but 2.3 WAR, not likely.
  15. Well, to be fair, basically anyone is better than Santana. Granite is nothing special, but I guess if you want a replacement-level CF he's as good as the typical minor league FA option.
  16. I've always felt that Ryan was covering for the Pohlads on financial matters. Really it would be more surprising the other way, that Ryan just hated spending other people's money.
  17. Not a fan of most of those, which I'm hoping just reflects who is best known rather than a real option.
  18. Appalachian League results aren't terribly meaningful. It's also an easy place for left-handed batters to hit home runs. So really there just isn't much to go on stats wise . . . he strikes out too much but seems to be hitting the ball at least reasonably hard. Combined with his draft status, I think he's towards the back end of the top 20 Twins prospects.
  19. The problem with Wade is that, since he doesn't have much power, pitchers won't be afraid to throw the ball over the plate. At the higher levels, particularly the Majors, that will make it hard for him to rack up tons of walks. He will need to make harder overall contact to maintain a solid average and at least keep pitchers honest to some extent.
  20. They do have completely different batted ball profiles though; Neshek is an extreme flyball pitcher while Hildenberger gets a ton of grounders. Neshek has benefited overall by keeping HRs allowed within reason while sporting an extremely low BABIP . . . he's been a bit lucky in his career not to allow more XBHs though. Some of that difference might just be approach on the mound, because from a delivery and movement standpoint they are reasonably comparable. It's interesting.
  21. Jepsen had one really good year in his entire career. Then a few that were pretty good, and the rest not so much. In 2014, Hu would have been justifiable for him. In 2015, that was too much.
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