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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    I think there’s a good argument that Cavaco’s floor is as low as any prospect we’ve looked at in the top 30. Probably a statement both on the improved depth in the system, and the fact that Cavaco was a bit of a reach where the Twins took him, really hasn’t shown much at all in the early going…nor does he seem someone likely to stay at SS.
  2. jkcarew
    Hyperbole. In fact, the opposite is true. Sano’s floor is somewhere between Davis and Carter. And he’s been more consistent, not less. Davis posted seven years of negative bWAR, (and one with 7+!)…Carter 3 or 4 with negative WAR. Sano has had one…and 2021 isn’t going to be a second. Also, say what you want about Sano’s defense, he has infinitely more defensive value than either Davis or Carter had. He’s been significantly better than both Larnach and Kirilloff over the season…and especially over the last 2+ months. Should the Twins be able to better at 1B/DH? Maybe…it would be nice. But is Sano even close to a top problem for the 2022-2023 Twins? No, not even close. That’s why he’ll likely be around next year…unless he can be a part of something that brings pitching in return.
  3. jkcarew
    Curious time to throw Sano in with Burrows, Barnes, and Rooker, isn’t it? With a slick fielding first baseman who never makes an error…instead of Sano…the final score of this game is 10-0.
  4. jkcarew
    But it explains the severely restricted pitch count so far. I’m sure Chief could tell us the sad story of Methuselah…had his old-testament league career cut short after a couple hundred years…all because his rookie year manager was too aggressive with pitch count. Cost him anywhere from 2-3 dollars in lost salary over a career that could have gone another six or seven centuries easily.
  5. jkcarew
    Neither Simmons nor the statue look anything remotely like Ted Simmons. If it weren’t for the flow, I’d have had no clue. ? Still, are we sure it’s not Darell Porter? And for that matter, even after all these years, can we be sure Darrell Porter and Ted Simmons aren’t the same guy? And why in the world do you do a statue of Ted Simmons batting right-handed?. It’s not like he was better from the right side. He wasn’t. And, of course, he had twice as many…everything…from the left side. Was there a famous right-handed postseason at-bat I don’t remember?
  6. jkcarew
    Any truth to rumors that Twins were reticent,,,willing to walk away…but then the Cardinals promised to start him in a game this weekend if the Twins pulled the trigger?
  7. jkcarew
    Yeah…that’s a good point….in my brain, I had him back by playoff time. Need to trade him this off season if you haven’t signed him by then, though. I’m very ok (happy) signing Buxton for something close to the rumored numbers. But not substantially more, IMO. We’ll see!
  8. jkcarew
    It’s probably exactly as likely that the Twins will regret trading Berrios as it is they’ll end up regretting not trading Buxton. There was a good argument for keeping Berrios…but it begins and ends with 2022. Buxton? How much lower will offers be in the off season if he isn’t extended by then…if parties drift further, not closer, to an agreement? He’s not a guy I give huge money to, be he’s not a guy you can just let walk either.
  9. jkcarew
    …his production is unparalleled… career .298 OBP and 96 wRC+. I mean, come on. He’s a talented player that has recently shown signs IN EXTREMELY SMALL SAMPLES that he could be a very valuable player. But even then, only if he reverses a long term trend of injury and sporadic play. I want him, but I’m not breaking the bank for him.
  10. jkcarew
    This club…and the manager…make the 2016 club, and it’s manager, look positively gritty and over-achieving.
  11. jkcarew
    Full blown 5-alarm dumpster fire. It’s not Rocco’s fault the Twins are bad. But on the other hand, it’s hard to lose this often and this bad, and hold a team together. Have to admit, Rocco does not look the part of someone up to that task. This is starting to feel like a complete rebuild may be the only way out.
  12. jkcarew
    Just win, baby! Last time the Twins won a playoff series, the hero was... A.J. Pierzynski. And for that...and his ability to play (even the catcher position) on a nearly every day basis, year after year...he’s one of my all-time favorite Twins.
  13. jkcarew
    $25M+ AAV, 6+ years? If a large market team is going to pay Buxton anything at all like a ‘superstar’ based on...what, 300-400 recent PA in a 7-year career where he’s accomplished almost nothing....then, he’s gone. The Twins can’t afford to take that gamble, and they’d be stupid to do so. Almost never plays more than half a year, just got his career OPS+ to 100...and will never be as good defensively as he was yesterday, especially now that we’re into a new era of Buxton injuries that impact his running. Don’t get me wrong, I get why someone would take that gamble, and probably will...but I pray it’s not the Twins. And I don’t think it will be.
  14. jkcarew
    Some, even many, or most injuries are just an instance of bad luck. But over eight seasons, the number...and the number of different types of injuries... I’m sorry, but over the long haul, the ability to be available...as Bud Grant famously said, the most important ability is availability. It’s an ability just like being fast or having power. And Buxton doesn’t have it.
  15. jkcarew
    I don’t think of several of these guys as Twins ‘left fielders’. Turns out, for good reason. I went back and checked...Shane Mack and Larry Hisle, neither put in more than one season where they played LF in even half of the games. They both moved all over the outfield (they both had big-time arm-strength issues)...and put in time at DH. Meanwhile, Bostock played considerably more CF and RF than LF for the Twins. So, to me it comes down to Allison, Rosario, and Gladden (Stewart was good for 2 seasons) Bob Allison was pretty clearly the best player in this list, offensively and defensively. Gladden gets consideration for the 800+ OPS across two WS wins. He’d be my number 2.
  16. jkcarew
    The only true TWINS father/son (both actually played for the major league team) would be Sal and Drew Butera, right? Also, Roy Smalley played for his uncle, who managed the Twins...and my uncle was my father figure...so kinda.
  17. jkcarew
    An organizational sweep! Things are looking up at the shortstop position, Lewis’s injury not withstanding.
  18. jkcarew
    Exactly this. Missed on Anderson...but if the Twins still had Wade and someone was willing to offer someone/something with a chance, the Twins would still be right to pull that trigger in a New York minute.
  19. jkcarew
    Larnach does seem so calm in the box. My concern with Kirilloff is the OBP with his low BB rate.
  20. jkcarew
    If Sano's BABiP gets to league average, he'll be much better than average. And if it works it's way all the way back to his career average, he'll be very, very good. Even this year, his HR/PA has been elite, better than guys like Judge and Stanton. Meanwhile, he's leading the Twins in HR and RBI...while struggling to make contact, and getting bad luck when he makes contact. Happy for Gordon. It's been a long journey for him. I'm pumping the breaks a bit, as it's only been 32 PA, and his BABiP is unsustainably high. Still, he looks the part of a nice piece to have on a roster. You can hate the Astros for cheating, but they don't have to cheat to be good. And they're proving it this year. That's a good ballclub, and this was a good win. Berrios was the star.
  21. jkcarew
    Toronto sure treats Martinez strangely for a 19 year-old they think is going to stick at short...let alone stick as a plus defender. He DH’s and plays 3 rd a fair amount and speed doesn’t show up in his numbers, either. As Dman noted, he’s not going to be faster or more agile, with more range in 2-3 years when he arrives. His bat seems far ahead of Palacios and Javier...but he doesn’t seem closer than either of those two as a major-league shortstop. Maybe his bat projects so well, he’s a good 3B prospect? We need those too. Anyone else find it weird that Franklin hasn’t appeared in the minors yet this year when he had already dipped a toe into A+ ball in 2019? Red flag?
  22. jkcarew
    In ‘79, Marshall appeared in 90 games...and finished 84, while pitching 143 innings...as a reliever...with 81 K’s. Game hasn’t changed much, has it? ?
  23. jkcarew
    Being ‘kind’ or ‘fair’ or respectful with how you treat those in your organization has nothing to do with commitment to winning and willingness to take on significant financial risk in pursuit of championships. They’re two completely different things. The overwhelming majority of criticism of ownership found on this site is in relation to the latter. We can all agree that it’s good to root for an organization that will make a move like they did for Stashak. At the same time, let’s not pretend that even a dozen such moves would amount to even a decimal point on the financial statements.
  24. jkcarew
    And now we know why Hackimer was allowed to fail so spectacularly...and humiliatingly...in the previous day’s game. Classy.
  25. jkcarew
    How about because Hackimer is a human being? A manager letting a player fail is one thing. Letting him fail spectacularly, is another. And the next day the organization releases him. Classy.
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