Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Where Are We Now? (New Years Edition)


    Seth Stohs

    Happy New Years Day! As the calendar changes from 2019 to 2020, let’s take a look at what the current Minnesota Twins roster might look like if the season started today. The Twins added two pitchers on Tuesday, likely completing their search for pitching. What is left to do?

    Image courtesy of Peter G. Aikin, USA Today

    Twins Video

    The Twins front office has been busy this offseason. To this point, they have signed Jake Odorizzi to the qualifying offer. They brought back Michael Pineda on a two-year contract. They brought back Sergio Romo and brought in another veteran bullpen arm in Tyler Clippard. They took care of the backup catcher spot by signing veteran Alex Avila. And on Tuesday, they signed veteran starters Homer Bailey and Rich Hill.

    All that, along with the business-as-usual events such as minor league signings and bringing in new coaches throughout the organization. They have hired Mike Bell as bench coach, but they still need to hire an assistant pitching coach/bullpen coach.

    While the core of 2019’s 101-win team is largely still intact, Rocco Baldelli will have plenty of new faces as well.

    Let's take a look around the diamond and see what the Twins roster might look like if the season were to start today. Hopefully it gives Twins fans a glimpse at the work that Derek Falvey and Thad Levine have ahead of them to fill out Rocco Baldelli's second Opening Day roster:

    Catcher (3) - Mitch Garver, Alex Avila, Willians Astudillo

    No question. Silver Slugger award winner Mitch Garver earned the Twins starting catcher gig. Alex Avila will be the #2 catcher, and yet we know that means he will likely catch a lot due to the team’s emphasis on rest. As the roster is currently comprised, Astudillo represents a good 26th roster option, at least until the team signs a first baseman or third baseman. Then he is an ideal 27th man for a 26-man roster.

    Non 40-man options: Tomas Telis, Juan Graterol

    Infielders (5) - Marwin Gonzalez (1B), Luis Arraez (2B), Jorge Polanco (SS), Miguel Sano (3B), Ehire Adrianza (UT)

    Clearly the Twins are going hard after third baseman Josh Donaldson. If they sign him, Sano moves over to first base and the infield is set. Sano at first base. Luis Arraez at second base. Donaldson and third base. Jorge Polanco at shortstop. Adrianza backs up four spots. Gonzalez backs up two spots and two outfield spots too. If they don’t sign Donaldson, Sano probably stays at third base and they bring in a Mitch Moreland type to play first base for a year.

    40-man Options: Travis Blankenhorn, Nick Gordon

    Non 40-Man Options: Alex Kirilloff, Cody Asche, Jack Reinheimer, Wilfredo Tovar, Zander Wiel

    Outfielders (4) - Eddie Rosario (LF), Byron Buxton (CF), Max Kepler (RF), Jake Cave (4th)

    Rosario is still a Twin! He may not have had a great year, but when a guy hits .276 (.800) with 28 doubles, 32 homers and 109 RBI, he shouldn’t be traded for just anything. Hopefully Buxton and his shoulder will be ready by Opening Day. And hopefully Kepler can continue to grow upon the progress he made in 2019. Jake Cave and LaMonte Wade will likely battle it out for an outfield spot as Marwin Gonzalez can also play out there.

    40-man Options: LaMonte Wade, Luke Raley, Gilberto Celestino

    Non-40-man Options: Brent Rooker, Alex Kirilloff, Trevor Larnach

    Designated Hitter (1) - Nelson Cruz

    I feel pretty comfortable with this one.

    Starting Pitchers (5) - Jose Berrios, Jake Odorizzi, Michael Pineda, Homer Bailey, Rich Hill (maybe in June)

    As of now, the Opening Day rotation will consist of Jose Berrios, Jake Odorizzi and Homer Bailey. Michael Pineda will have to miss about six weeks due to his suspension, and Rich Hill will be out until sometime in June after having a modified Tommy John surgery.

    The question becomes… who will make starts for the Twins until Pineda and Hill are ready to pitch?

    Short-Term Starter Options - Lewis Thorpe, Randy Dobnak, Devin Smeltzer, Brusdar Graterol,

    Last week, I wrote about the idea of Brusdar Graterol being a “primary” pitcher. Another option would be for him to get starts until Hill comes back in June. At that point, a decision could be made about how to proceed. Keep him starting, or move him to the bullpen to limit his innings. Thorpe, Dobnak and Smeltzer all made starts for the Twins in 2019 and had varying levels of success. All four should be a part of future Twins plans.

    The Bullpen (8): Taylor Rogers, Tyler Duffey, Trevor May, Sergio Romo, Tyler Clippard, Zack Littell, Cody Stashak, Matt Wisler.

    Taylor Rogers became a top reliever in the league in 2019, and Duffey and May both took huge strides in the second half. So did Zack Littell and Cody Stashak who pitched well in their rookie seasons. Sergio Romo and Tyler Clippard provide a veteran presence and know-how. Wisler is out of option, so he would have to make the team or be placed on waivers. He’s got impressive strikeout rates. The bullpen has a chance to be a strength and has plenty of good depth. It will be interesting to see how the pecking order changes over the course of the season.

    Other Bullpen Options

    40-man Roster: Ryne Harper, Fernando Romero, Sean Poppen, Jorge Alcala, (Graterol, Dobnak, Smeltzer, Thorpe)

    Non 40-man Roster: Blaine Hardy, Ryan Garton, Mitch Horacek, Caleb Thielbar, Daniel Coulombe

    So, what do the Twins need to do over the remainder of the offseason?

    (There is likely no huge rush at this point. We have seen free agency trickle into spring training if not into the season. The trade market is always open..)

    1. Corner Infielder - The Twins appear to be going after Josh Donaldson very strongly. Getting him would add a huge bat to an already potent lineup while improving the defense in the infield. If Donaldson signs elsewhere, it is likely that the Twins sign a first baseman in the Mitch Moreland mold.
    2. Outfield - While it shouldn’t be a huge priority, a right-handed hitting outfielder might make sense as a platoon option with lefties Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler. It also makes sense for the guy to be able to play center field well when Byron Buxton is out of the lineup. Kevin Pillar makes a lot of sense.
    3. Starting Pitching - I think the additions of Bailey and Hill on Tuesday likely signal the end of the Twins efforts in attracting starting pitchers. Unless teams drop their trade prices on possible ace-like pitchers (Jon Gray, German Marquez as examples), the Twins have improved their staff while giving themselves quality depth.

    That's where the Twins roster is right this moment, as well as some areas of need.

    What do you consider the Twins areas of strength, and how would you prioritize their areas of need the rest of the offseason?

    MORE FROM TWINS DAILY
    — Latest Twins coverage from our writers
    — Recent Twins discussion in our forums
    — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
    — Become a Twins Daily Caretaker

     Share


    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    The rotation will only improve if one or two of the rookies step up and force their way onto the starting rotation.  Marwin Gonzalez is utility, he should stay at utility.  As a starter Gonzalez is average - replacement level.  We need a first baseman.  The BP is not as solid as everyone wants to think - we need someone to rise to a level of dominance beside Rogers and Rogers cannot slip.  If Buxton is down again the OF is poor.  

     

    We are not close to a team that the Yankees will fear in the playoffs. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    The part w/Graterol starting until Hill is ready to go is exactly what I thought when I heard of the signing. Hill’s numbers are fantastic, but money invested in a guy who is 40 AND isn’t ready until mid-season for a forearm injury? $3 million ain’t what it used to be.

    Also, sign Donaldson already or let him go back to the Braves.

    I feel as if anyone showing interest in us and hasn’t signed yet is being that nice person who can’t just tell us no.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    So far 7 mlb contracts in they have maintained the status quo plus a bullpen upgrade and a flyer on Hill.  That should win them the division even with Sox improvements and Cle maybe selling.

     

    I still don't feel there is a playoff series they are going to be favored in (maybe just contend in pretty please). 

     

    -Sign Donaldson, overpay to get him here.  The contract is not that long even if he declines poorly the upside for at least the first two years is immense.  

     

    -Trade for a top of the rotation starter, someone to pitch game 1 or 2 of a playoff series.  They failed to address this in free agency so now it costs prospects like Lewis/ Kirloff/ Larnach/ Balzovic.  It can be done at the all star break but that is a major gamble. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    We are in no better position to be competitive in the playoffs (if we make it).

     

    Ergo.....failed off season to date.

     

    I remain impressed with the FO's ability to draft and develop players as well has hire coaches but....

     

    Continue to think that their refusal to take needed risk with either FA signings or trading top prospects will ultimately prevent us from being anything more than above average-ish

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    If the Twins sign Donaldson (other than making one wonder why they couldn’t open the check book for a SP), the lineup is going to be on par with having an arm that looks like Popeye’s after he eats spinach!

     

    On the other hand their pitching arm.....will look something like mine....when I was 2 years old...

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    The start of last year I was very optimistic. We got some very good positional players. We had an awesome pitching & catching staff, the BP was good even Blake surprised me in the beginning.

     This year I was hoping that we`d be better but as I see it as of now we aren`t. Positional players we lost Skoop & Cron but gain Arraez. What gain in OBP we lost in defense & power. Pitching we lost Gibson & Perez, yeah they petered out at the end but they helped give us a commanding lead in the beginning . Catching we lost Castro so it`s hard to replace him as back up. BP is better. 

     But I was expecting to dominate the Central Division & win at least 1 game in the Post season not to just compete for the division

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Am I the only one who thinks we have too many Taylor’s, Tyler’s, and Trevors in the pen? Probably. It looks like the Twins will yet again go offense first? I know it’s awfully hard to build an elite pitching staff, it generally has to start in house. Unfortunately I don’t think Berrios has turned out to be the "ace" many hoped for. The disconcerting thing about the yet again offensive bent to this team is that despite career or near career offensive years by a lot of players, the playoffs were remain nothing but a glorified exhibition series. That dynamic will not change until somehow they change the level of pitching and defense. I know bombas sell tickets, and win games during a long season. But we been dere, done dat. It’s time to up our game! 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Sign Donaldson, trade Sano for Gray, sign Moreland for 1st base.

    All we have is middle to back of the rotation starters compared to the Nats, Astros, and Yankees. Not sure Berrios would start a playoff game for any of these 3 teams and he's our number one.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    If the Twins sign Donaldson (other than making one wonder why they couldn’t open the check book for a SP), the lineup is going to be on par with having an arm that looks like Popeye’s after he eats spinach!

     

    On the other hand their pitching arm.....will look something like mine....when I was 2 years old...

    If they do open the checkbook and sign Donaldson, wouldn’t that just give some credence to the stories that pitchers signed elsewhere because they wanted to be elsewhere? Something we can never know for sure. But ... that still leaves us where we always are, as I said in my post above ... still in need of pitching that has a chance of getting it done.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Sign Donaldson, trade Sano for Gray, sign Moreland for 1st base.

    All we have is middle to back of the rotation starters compared to the Nats, Astros, and Yankees. Not sure Berrios would start a playoff game for any of these 3 teams and he's our number one.

    Why are the Rockies trading Gray for Sano?

     

    If they don't think they can compete this year, they'll want guys with 6+ years of control.

     

    If they think they can compete, they aren't trading Gray.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    First, Happy New Year Seth.

     

    I think the signing of Hill/Bailey means the Twins don't have to complete a trade for a top starter at a cost beyond fair value.  Should they find that opportunity, at a reasonable cost, I expect they will pull the trigger.  What is more likely, is they find a deal similar to the Odorizzi deal and trade a mid-level prospect (or two) for a pitcher with some upside that isn't a name you are familiar with.  In either case, they will then have one excess pitcher when Hill is healthy, plus all the young kids.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    While I am not exactly thrilled with the acquisitions regarding the starting pitchers I don't exactly hate it.

     

    The Twins are putting a lot of hope into their younger pitchers and that is pretty much the norm with this team. The rotation given that we play in a weak division looks just as promising as last year's which isnt saying much but we should still compete.

     

    I think one of the huge additions would be Donaldson. If they won't spend on pitching, spend on people who can mash the ball.

     

    Hopefully the pitching staff can buy us time and we can make a move for pitching in June or Julu.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    We are in no better position to be competitive in the playoffs (if we make it).

     

    Ergo.....failed off season to date.

     

    I remain impressed with the FO's ability to draft and develop players as well has hire coaches but....

     

    Continue to think that their refusal to take needed risk with either FA signings or trading top prospects will ultimately prevent us from being anything more than above average-ish

     

    Assuming health next year we will have a playoff rotation of Berrios, Odo, Pineda, and Hill. That’s a lot better than Berrios, Odo, Dobnak, and a bullpen game. So i think at this point we are in a little better position to compete in the playoffs, and still have time to get even better.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I would like it if they spent the "Donaldson money" on more veteran BP help. If that is possible [don't have anybody in mind]. Not that I would turn Donaldson away....but he isn't coming here.

     

    Solve the 3B problem by signing a glove at SS [as has been suggested in this comment section]. Move Sano to 1B, Polanco to 2B [where he started his career], and Arraez to 3B [he is a rookie...he will embrace it].

     

    The starting staff is now better than how we ended last year. Not saying much....but it is better.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Seems like management has made a conscious decision to leave Krillof, Lewis, Larnach, Rooker, Duran Balazovic Gordon and Jeffers. in the minors to ripen making sure they are MLB ready when they come up next year and fill the holes with veterans. But other than a potential acquisition of Donaldson (which I give only a 20% chance at best). 

     

    The fact we can't get top tier talent to sign with us leads me to believe we are better off with developing the team from within where the players have no choice and are under team control for years. It also makes me believe that next year, although promising, is not going to be our year to break through which I'm fine with.

     

    We still only have tow starting pitchers signed for 2021 and one through 2022. Probably an open position at first base. In 2021 Andriansa, Austudilla, Avilla and Cave are all expendable and Gonzalez' contract will run out. That's 5 open slots that can be filled by Krillof, Larnach, Jeffers, Lewis and either Rookers or Gordon. 

     

    And 3 open starting pitching spots for Graterol, Balazovic and Duran with possibly Acala for the bullpen. That would be a dramatically different team with the potential to break the glass ceiling in say, 2022.

     

    I hope this is the long term plan as I for one am willing to wait for it to play out. Taking down a team like the Yankees is no small task and to think we are ready next year I think is wishful thinking. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I would put the Twins odds of actually signing Donaldson at 15%.  I'd take him in a heartbeat but that's what I think our chances of actually getting him are.  I would still like to see a blockbuster with the Red Sox to get Chris Sale but...???  If we DON'T get Donaldson, I know it would cause a LOT of infield shuffling but I'd go get a slick glove-man for SS like Jose Iglesias, move Polanco to 2B, Arraez to 3B and Sano to 1B.  A glove like Igesias would tighten the "D" across the board in the infield.  It would also leave the Twins tremendous payroll flexibilty to get an ACE at the trade deadline depending on who is/is not contending and who is available at the right price.  My other idea/wish has been to work a deal with Colorado for Trevor Story.  First, it would give the Twins another TREVOR...but it would also allow the Rockies to put their #1 prospect at SS (Brendon Rogers).  I really can't see Colorado contending with the Dodgers in 2020.  Story is a great glove, and a power bat who doesn't need the thin air of Colorado to be an impact offensive player.  He's flat out a better player than Donaldson, younger, and he plays a premium position.  Depending on how Lewis and Javier progress, Story would be the kind of player I'd shell out some serious $$$ to keep in my core of players like Kepler, Polanco etc...going forward.  Woudl Colorado do it??  Ask and you get...don't and you won't.  

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

     

    Sign Donaldson, trade Sano for Gray, sign Moreland for 1st base.

    All we have is middle to back of the rotation starters compared to the Nats, Astros, and Yankees. Not sure Berrios would start a playoff game for any of these 3 teams and he's our number one.

     

    So, which available starting pitchers are better than Berrios? Cuz Gray hasn't been. Marquez hasn't been. Price probably isn't anymore. Zack Wheeler hasn't been. Bumgarner probably isn't. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

     

    Not mentioned anywhere but Wisler also has some starting experience. It did not go well but would be an option depending on how he is throwing... 

     

    He's not an option to start... Berrios, Odorizzi and Pineda are good. Rich Hill is really good when he's healthy. Bailey was really good in 2019. And Graterol, Thorpe and Dobnak are all higher ceiling starting options than Wisler. He was a good prospect as a starter 4-5 years ago... Now he's got a chance to maybe be a solid mid-bullpen option.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Not a single impact move to speak of...yet. They have made some nice moves but nothing great. If they aren’t able/willing to make the crazy prices of FA then they need to be willing to meet the prices of trades via prospects. If they aren’t willing to do that, then it will take another Minneapolis Miracle for this team to compete for a title.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    With regards to SP help, i keep telling myself to be patient, that these guys are smarter than I am about baseball, that they know which, if any, SP prospects are ready.  Then I look in the mirror and I'm rolling my eyes at Tuesday's signings.  Seems like a lot of things will need to fall into place for this team to be in position to challenge the Yankees or Astros in October.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

     

    Arraez is a below-average defensive second baseman and he has barely played any third base... Not sure this would make the Twins defense any better. 

     

    Yeah, I'm not sure where this idea that I have seen floated around more than a few times came from.  What evidence anywhere tells people that Arraez could just step into 3B and be better than at his primary position.....which isn't that great at anyways?

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Seth, Chris Sale would be.  Gotta believe the Red Sox REALLY want to keep mookie.  What do YOU think it would take to get Sale if we took on all 5 years and $145 million of his remaining salary ??

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites




    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

    Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...