Wizard11

The funny thing about projection systems from “experts” is they always seem to have the last years division winners winning their division again. Seems silly to even play the games when the outcome is foretold. 🤣 I like the approach the author took to deconstruct the underpinnings of success vs the lazy take of projecting Team WAR which is heavily influenced by recency bias.

Richie, I re-read my post and I realize I left out the rather important caveat that they have not played their positions so far this spring. No doubt your research will uncover that to be accurate

For Baldelli it has to be a bit concerning that his projected 1st, 2nd, and 3rd base starting infielders as well as the CF have yet to play their positions in a game. With injuries to Gordon, Larnach, Alcala, and any others it is a bit ominous for a manager who needs his team to perform over .500. Cue Jaws music….

Good job disparaging the FO Kornhaber but why no mention of how Baldelli is screwing this up by pulling EJ after 3 at bats? More genius spreadsheet management.

Just mo Cheap Pohlads man

OK, that is definitely my favorite Stu ever. Absolutely freakin’ hysterical

Love this article and the point about the aesthetics of baseball. Watching Arraez was just fun. His animation, bat control, and joy were fun. A rare craftsman in this age of baseball. Yet I do think the Twins improved the team by trading him

I have the Twins down for 60 to 100 wins.

The Twins will open up 3 roster spots when they can move Paddack, Canterino, and Lewis to the 60 day IL. That bodes well for JB having sometime to prove himself. To me the bigger issue is if he starts slow and they wind up needing his roster spot he is likely lost to waivers. Given the potentially short horizon we may be better served by establishing him as a viable reliever (or not) early so as to be able to make a better determination on keeping him. He could move back to the rotation once it is clear that committing a roster spot to him makes sense. Regardless of role if he stinks it up again the first 2 months he will join other washed out prospects on the scrap heap.

I appreciate Ash’s pushback on the endless negative narratives on Rocco and the FO. i think people often dislike what they don’t understand. Rocco has a better career winning % than Gardenhire or Kelly. Same for the FO vs Ryan. They are not responsible for the majority of the 18 game post season losing streak. (This information can be found on spreadsheets 🤣) I do get the fan fatigue with the post season failures. It is soul crushing for devoted fans. It is likely we can all agree on that point. Winning fix’s everything. It erases concerns about lineups, pitching usage, base running strategies, rest days, etc.. winning is always the answer…the rest is just noise

Most likely Correa as his annual salary will have dropped quite bit from the first 6 years

Will you eat crow if Arraez’s knees blow out and he is lost for the season?

Actually 3 open spots as Canterino will go on the 60 day

IMO, any team signing Bauer is giving a big middle finger to women, I think that is a much more significant point then how he would or would not fit in a clubhouse.

Canterino is out for the year due to TJ surgery