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  • Which Padres Pitcher Joins Minnesota Next?


    Ted Schwerzler

    Just prior to Opening Day 2022 the Minnesota Twins shuffled their roster when they got together with the San Diego Padres for a trade. Over the winter, these two could again match up as partners swapping assets.

     

    Image courtesy of © Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

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    Derek Falvey and Thad Levine swung a deal with San Diego the day before Opening Day when they sent closer Taylor Rogers (and Brent Rooker) to the Bay Area in exchange for Chris Paddack and Emilio Pagan. The former looked the part of a strong asset until he underwent Tommy John surgery early in the year, while the latter was held onto through a season of ineffectiveness.

    I’d assume both parties still have each others’ numbers, and with the Twins needing high-end starting pitching, it makes sense to call a team with excess in that category.

    Truly it’s too bad that Joe Musgrove got paid this season with the Padres. Dating back to his time with the Pittsburgh Pirates, he should’ve been one of the most coveted arms in baseball. The stuff has always been amazing and he simply needed someone to unlock it. Regardless, I digress.

    Both Mike Clevinger and Sean Manaea will be free agents following the World Series. Both would represent an upgrade for the Twins, and either could’ve been a trade deadline target should the team have opted for it. Obviously Falvey has a substantial amount of familiarity with Clevinger due to their shared time in Cleveland, and he could be willing to reunite. Manaea was among the two pieces (alongside Frankie Montas) that Oakland was always expected to move, and they did so in early April.

    Money is the only thing necessary to negotiate terms with either of those two arms. Prospect capital could be used on either Yu Darvish or Blake Snell.

     

    San Diego’s depth this offseason won’t look like what it did over the summer, but maybe they’re still willing to part with one of their highly paid arms. Darvish is entering the final year of a deal he signed with the Chicago Cubs. In 2023 he’ll make $18 million, and Minnesota general manager Thad Levine is plenty familiar due to their time together with Texas. Darvish lost most of his first year with the Cubs to injuries, but has been great since then.

    Similar to Darvish, Snell will be entering the final year of a five-year deal he initially signed with Tampa Bay. Snell does have incentives tied to his contract, but the former Cy Young winner is set to make just $16.6 million in 2023. That number is likely well below what he’d get on the open market, and is someone the Twins could have interest in an extension with as he’ll be just 30-years-old next season.

     

    Although neither price tag will rival that of what top starters receive in 2023 on the open market, the dollar amount is enough that it should demand a prospect return. The Padres will be looking to reload following an NLCS exit in the postseason. They now have Juan Soto to lock up, and will return Fernando Tatis Jr. next season.

    Minnesota has ample opportunity to add top pitching talent this winter, and one of the questions they face is how they'd most like to do that. The farm system isn't loaded with elite prospects, but taking on salary could help to make quantity type trades more feasible. Money is also there to be spent, even if it's on a contract they didn't negotiate.

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    Musgrove could have blossomed in MN, but after being stuck in PIT for years, he was stolen away by SD which IMO doesn't have a good coaching staff for pitchers. I'm sorry after the Pagan trade, it has soured me on any trade w/ SD. So no deal.

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    I am running from the Padres as fast a healthy Byron Buxton chasing down a deep fly ball can... LOL

    I am not sold on Paddock.

    Also, not sure who got the worst end of that deal. LOL

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    OR, instead of trading even more prospects for either one of the 30 and 30yo+ veterans on 1yr deals they could KEEP their prospects and spend the same $ or a little more in FA.

    Rodon and Bassitt would look outstanding  in the Twins rotation without losing any additional prospects. 

    Remember a year ago when Manea was considered one of the top available trade options? Well, after a down year he's available without having to trade for him. And there are a handful of similar arms out there that could be solid options in the "Gray or Mahle" quality range it would be nice to plug in if depth is the answer. 

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    Let’s trade for Woodruff of the Brewers or Pablo of the Marlins and trade Larnach & Sands or Winder. Cabrera of the Marlins is and other pitcher I like as a 5-7 choice. 
    Resign or extend Correa for 5 yrs. for @$38.1 per year followed by 2 yr. Mutual  extension. That a need of 2 relief pitchers, a ,catcher, a right power hitter who could be a corner outfielder. 

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    Personally, I would not go after any of them.  I would not want to give up the prospects for Darvish or Musgrove, and the FA do move the needle enough for me.  They are better than our 4th or 5th most likely, but unless they are better than our 1, I do not care too much. 

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    Both Mike Clevinger and Sean Manaea will be free agents following the World Series.  Both would represent an upgrade for the Twins, and either could’ve been a trade deadline target should the team have opted for it.

    I don't think they were an upgrade in 2022 and might not even be in 2023, especially in Sean's case.  86 and 75 ERA+ respectively with 114 and 158 innings.  Bundy had a 79 ERA+ (and 140 innings).  Archer and Winder were 85 and 82 ERA+.

    Please FO, aim higher.  Or be realllyyyy confident Clevinger is fully back.

    (Sure - Mike is an upgrade if he goes back to his pre surgery numbers of roughly 140 ERA+.  His SO/9, FIP, etc aren't kind to him though.)

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