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  • From Chris Vallimont to Carlos Correa: Ranking Every Player on the 2022 Minnesota Twins from 40 to 1


    Matthew Taylor

    As the 2022 season for the Minnesota Twins rapidly approaches, let’s rank every player on the Twins from 40 to 1.

    Image courtesy of © Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

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    In these rankings we will only be looking at players on the 40-man roster, and we will only be looking at their value to the Twins for the 2022 season. This is different from the Twins asset rankings that Nick Nelson does each year where he ranks the Twins players in terms of the long-term value they bring to the club. In these rankings, young prospects might be ranked lower than aging veterans and past production will typically trump future projection. In the simplest of terms, these rankings will answer the question, “Who would you rather have for the 2022 season?”

    Tier 11: Likely Non-Contributors

    40. Chris Vallimont
    Vallimont struggled mightily in double-A last season, but was added to the 40-man roster to be protected in the Rule 5 draft. Don’t expect to see Vallimont contribute to the Twins this season.

    39. Ronny Henriquez

    38. Blayne Enlow
    After undergoing Tommy John surgery last season, Enlow will look to get healthy in 2022 as he prepares to be a contributor for the club in 2023.

    37. Drew Strotman
    Strotman has been converted into a reliever and will work as such with the St. Paul Saints this season. He struggled as a starter after joining the Saints last year, but in a bullpen role he will likely get a shot with the Twins at some point in 2022.

    36. Cole Sands

    35. Jordan Balazovic
    While he hopes to get a call up to the Majors at some point in 2022, Balazovic still has yet to pitch above the double-A level and will be starting the 2022 season on the injured list. Still a promising prospect, Balazovic will hope to string together some healthy months and work his way up to the Big Leagues.

    Tier 10: Bench Utility Guys…With Upside?

    34. Gilberto Celestino

    33. Royce Lewis
    Having not played in competitive baseball games since 2019, the 2022 season will be a big one for Royce Lewis. The former number one overall pick will look to prove that he still has what it takes to be a superstar in this league. Lewis will start the season in St. Paul and fight to work his way up to the Big Leagues where he can fill in all over the diamond.

    32. Nick Gordon

    31. Jose Miranda
    Miranda exploded onto the scene in 2021 in Wichita and St. Paul, posting one of the best minor league seasons in Minnesota Twins history. Miranda will look to ride that momentum into the 2022 season, where it shouldn’t be long until he gets a call up to the Majors.

    Tier 9: Who Keeps Their Job Longer?

    30. Chris Archer
    The most recently acquired player on the Minnesota Twins’ roster, Archer has shown what his ceiling can look like. The problem is, he hasn’t reached that ceiling since leaving the Tampa Bay Rays in 2018. Now with injuries and declining velocity, we’ll see how long he can stay in the rotation.

    29. Dylan Bundy

    Tier 8: Bullpen Cycle Guys

    28. Cody Stashak
    After bursting on the scene in 2019 with an extremely impressive run as a rookie, Stashak has struggled mightily with injury. Last season, Stashak didn't pitch at all after May, and now again this season the right hander finds himself on the injured list with bicep trouble. When healthy, Stashak has impressive upside, but until he can prove himself to be healthy, he finds himself at the bottom of the "Bullpen Cycle Guys."

    27. Griffin Jax

    26. Jovani Moran

    After pitching the lights out in the Minors last season, Moran got called up to the Majors towards the end of the season where he struggled. Moran will begin the year in St. Paul, but is the type of high-upside left hander that could pop in his second stint up in the Big Leagues.

    25. Josh Winder

    24. Emilio Pagán

    The "other guy" acquired in the Taylor Rogers trade, Pagán has shown that he has the ability to be a lights-out reliever. In 2019, the right-hander tossed a 2.31 ERA in 70.0 IP with the Tampa Bay Rays with a 12.3 K/9. After a couple of down seasons in San Diego, he has the makeup to be a potentially dominant reliever for the Twins with a few tweaks.

    23. Danny Coulombe

    22. Jhon Romero
    The newly acquired Colombian product is still just 27-years-old and with little experience in the Major Leagues. Across double-A and triple-A last season, though, Romero posted a combined 2.95 ERA with a K/9 of 11.3.

    21. Joe Smith

    20. Jharel Cotton

    19. Jhoan Duran
    Maybe this ranking is a little too optimistic for how young and unproven he is, but Jhoan Duran has a higher ceiling than almost any other arm in this bullpen. Since being moved to a full-time reliever role, Duran has upped his velocity to consistently hitting triple digits, to go along with a nasty ‘splinker’. Duran could easily be this team’s closer by season’s end.

    Tier 7: Which Catcher is Better?

    18. Gary Sánchez
    Did you know that Gary Sánchez is the fastest catcher in MLB history to hit 100 home runs? Sánchez came up with the New York Yankees as a super prospect and immediately showed off his big time power en route to some incredible seasons. Over the last two seasons, though, the swing for Sánchez has looked ugly, and his poor defense lends to him being more of a DH than a catcher. If a change in scenery can spark the offense for him again, though, he could do some special things.

    17. Ryan Jeffers

    Tier 5: X-Factor Bats

    16. Trevor Larnach

    15. Gio Urshela
    Urshela broke out in a big way in 2019, when he posted a .889 OPS over 132 games with the Yankees. After another strong season in 2020, Urshela regressed in 2021 to the tune of a .720 OPS. Urshela can play multiple spots in the infield, but whether or not his bat can rebound is what makes him an X-Factor for the Twins in 2022.

    Tier 4: Back of Bullpen Studs

    14. Jorge Alcala
    After struggling to start the year in 2021, Alcala thrived down the stretch. Over the last 22 innings of last season, Alcala allowed just two earned runs while striking out 27. We could quickly see Alcala working his way to higher and higher leverage spots this season.

    13. Caleb Thielbar

    12. Tyler Duffey
    A prime bounceback candidate, Tyler Duffey will look to return to his 2020 form after a tough 2021 that saw his K/9 decline from 11.6 to 8.8, however he still managed to turn in an excellent 3.18 ERA.

    Tier 3: Young Gun Arms

    11. Bailey Ober

    10. Chris Paddack

    9. Joe Ryan
    Ryan was acquired last season in a trade deadline deal for Nelson Cruz and quickly became a fan favorite. In his sophomore season, Ryan has already been named Opening Day starter and hopes are high for the right hander. Ryan is no doubt a Major League pitcher, but the question with him is upside. Does he have the upside to be a top of the rotation starter?

    Tier 2: The Next Best

    8. Max Kepler
    After a breakout season in 2019, Kepler regressed in 2020 and was even worse in 2021. Last season, Kepler finished the year with a lowly OPS of .719. He still has the power and still has the glove to be a fringe all-star player, but he needs to prove that this season, otherwise he might wear out his welcome in Minnesota.

    7. Alex Kirilloff
    Alex Kirilloff jumped out of the gates really strong in a Twins uniform, showing that his hype as a highly-touted prospect was deserved. The injury bug hit him hard though, as a wrist injury severely diminished his power and he limped through the season to a mediocre .722 OPS. Now, with a healthy wrist, Kirilloff figures to impact the Twins team more this season and provide middle-of-the-order numbers by the end of the season.

    6. Miguel Sanó

    5. Luis Arraez

    Tier 1: 2022 Team MVP Candidates

    4. Sonny Gray
    While Sonny Gray profiles more as a number two than a number one, Gray has the upside to be an ace pitcher for the Minnesota Twins in 2022. If he can replicate his 2019 numbers and give the Minnesota Twins a true, no-doubt ace that they have been starved for, he certainly has the potential to be the MVP of the Twins in 2022.

    3. Jorge Polanco

    2. Byron Buxton
    An argument could definitely be made for Byron Buxton to fill the number one spot on these rankings. Pound for pound, game for game, Buxton arguably produces more value than any other player in baseball. Like always with Byron, though, health is the question. If Buxton can play 140+ games for the Twins this year, he will likely finish the season in the number one spot.

    1. Carlos Correa
    In signing Carlos Correa, the Minnesota Twins are bringing in who is now the best player on the team. Correa does everything that you look for in a star player. He plays a premium position, offers gold-glove level defense and excellent offense. The best part, he’s only just entering his prime, as he is still just 27-years-old.

    Do you agree with the rankings above? Who is ranked too high? Too low? Leave your disagreements in the rankings below and let’s have a conversation!

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    I like the concept. I will go out on a ledge here and say that Dylan Bundy should be - and will be - much higher. I've been higher than reasonable on him for years, figured, like Gausman, leaving Baltimore would help him. Had a decent strike shortened season but a disaster last year and his HR was silly bad. So I don't have anything to support it, but I think Bundy will be a huge positive for the Twins this year.

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    Well done. I won’t quibble but hope you’re right about Gray. A healthy team with bounce back years from Kepler and others will field and score. It’s the pitching that will decide where the team ends up.

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    I like this - you did a really nice job of grouping and ranking.  The catcher position is now the weakest and the one with the most question marks.  Your choice of putting them almost in the middle of the rankings was good.  Your ranking of Paddack is the most questionable of all the names.  I guess you are expecting the rookie to come back - I hope he does, but right now he ranks with Bundy and Archer. 

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    Thanks Mathew for this interesting article. Rating is very difficult because a lot of the values are rated on projected performance and we have so many ?s. We look at a player's upside and project how far they can acheive it this season and also look at their positions and the impact they'll have on the team.

    Rating by groupings is a good way to do it. I agree with your 1st 2 grouping. The 3rd grouping I'd have is rotation. Rotation is very important but there is a lot of ?s, many have high hopes in our young arms Ryan and Ober but they are unproven, Pallack and Bundy has shown some promise but lost it and Archer who's working himself back from injury.

    I and many project Ryan, Ober, Pallack and Bundy as middle rotation at best in their careers. Archer has been projected as an ace before he went to PIT and injury and now that that time is behind him and with the help of Wes Johnson and maybe Johan Santana he can acheive that projection. It's a matter of getting his endurance and sharpness back but because of my projection I'd rate him at #9.

    Sanchez is a DH not a legit catcher so I'd rate him lower and Jeffers higher. I'd rate Stashack much lower. I'd put Gordon, Celestino, Larnach Miranda and Lewis in the same group as subs and rate Gordon highest in that group not because of his projection (which will be lowest) but what he'll actually contribute.

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    2 hours ago, Matthew Taylor said:

    30. Chris Archer
    The most recently acquired player on the Minnesota Twins’ roster

    This descriptor had a short shelf-life, didn't it? :)

    As for the meat of the article, I fear you have both Kepler and Sanchez considerably too high.  Got my fingers crossed that you have Urshela and Kirilloff too low.

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    3 hours ago, gunnarthor said:

    I like the concept. I will go out on a ledge here and say that Dylan Bundy should be - and will be - much higher. I've been higher than reasonable on him for years, figured, like Gausman, leaving Baltimore would help him. Had a decent strike shortened season but a disaster last year and his HR was silly bad. So I don't have anything to support it, but I think Bundy will be a huge positive for the Twins this year.

    Bundy and Gausman used to both be top prospects throwing in the mid 90s. But while Guasman had some ups and downs, he never had much for injury concerns and kept his velocity. Bundy blew out his arm and now can't touch 90 MPH.

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    32 minutes ago, nicksaviking said:

    Bundy and Gausman used to both be top prospects throwing in the mid 90s. But while Guasman had some ups and downs, he never had much for injury concerns and kept his velocity. Bundy blew out his arm and now can't touch 90 MPH.

    Again, "I don't have anything to support it, but I think Bundy will be a huge positive for the Twins this year." 

    It's opening day. It's a day for optimism!

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    26 minutes ago, gunnarthor said:

    Again, "I don't have anything to support it, but I think Bundy will be a huge positive for the Twins this year." 

    It's opening day. It's a day for optimism!

    Should be, but since no one in-market can stream the game unless you have Direct TV, opening day just reminds me how upset this makes me.

    Sorry to take it out on Bundy.

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    I think the groupings you have are good, but don’t work at all with the numerical rankings (rank in order is good, or rank by group with the numbers out of sequence good, but not both?).

    The fun of any list, too, is the chance to suggest differences, and here are a few of mine:

    Cody Stashak and Griffin Jax are rated too high; both have given gutsy needed innings in the past, but both have been a bit exposed/injured, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if they never make it back up to the Twins. Sands and Strotman (who you have down at the bottom) are already tossing at AAA, and unless Stashak/Jax get good results quickly, S and S are likely to be the early call ups. And Balazovic is looming to pass by Stashak/Jax as well.

    I’m putting Archer ahead of Bundy/Jax/Stashak/Romero.

    Winder is easily top 20; already in the Bigs, and possibly a rotation pitcher at some point this season.

    I love the Thielbar story, but no way is he a back of bullpen stud; an ERA in the ‘3’s for a one inning pitcher is more steady than stud, plus he is 35. I’d rate him no more than #30 on this list, and predict by the end of the calendar year he will be off the 40-man. (Here is where the groupings most distort the rankings; even if you like Thielbar there is no way he is better/more valuable than both your MLB catchers, and your everyday starting 3B.)

    No way as well that Duffey is #12 on the 40-man. Or anywhere ahead of Alcala and Duran for long (even in Rocco’s mind).

    I love Max, but he probably ranks more aroun the late teens or early 20s, and is vulnerable to benching/demoted-to-sub if any two young OFs start hitting. (Unless he actually starts to hit, but I've sort of lost hope there.)

    Totally agree that Larnach is an x-factor bat, but he needs to light it up pretty quickly or other x-factors will blow past him (non-40-man Martin, Miranda, Celestino if the lamp goes on in the Bigs as it did in AAA last year). I’d probably drop him into the 28-32 range, which fits better with him not making the 28-man roster. 

    Based on his hot start, I'd also rank Jake Cave as an x-factor bat, and rank him highly. Well except he isn't on the 40-man, I just remembered he is actually Jake Cave, and this post is 3 times too long if I'm talking about Jake Cave...

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    If this was looking at the list at the end of the Year, would easily find 10 names NOT to consider keeping, and many could still be upgraded right now or during the season. A few prospects on the Fringe...will either become a aprt of the team...but on the fringe...or bypassed this season.

     

    Names I would easily replace with others...but not with folks like Cave or Garlick or any number of minor league pitchers signed to fill the Saints roster.

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