5 Twins Over/Unders in Shortened Season

I take the over on the first 3 due to history, age, and again age.  I will take the under on the last two.  Not convinced Maeda is Cy material but he does have talent and great splits against righys, so that is low odds, and I think Garver is in his prime and will crush, so under on the last two.

Equal or over on everyone except Arraez.

Bad luck runs out eventually. While he might miss a few games, Buck will flash!

Cruz is Steve Austin...the bionic man...and will mash as long as his wrist holds out. Might be a sort of farewell tour, but he will be ready.

Maeda is damn good. He's changed his approach somewhat, and is coming off his best season against LH hitters. Also, new league that doesn't know him as well.

Garver's bat is for real. And while he won't have to play daily, he also doesn't have to worry about being worn down. I expect some regression, but he will be above the .888 mark.

Hunch on Arraez says he will be just fine but sophomore "slump" will factor in and he won't hit .320. Might hit .319, but I think he returns to mere mortal status for a season.

Wishfully thinking and hoping for overs on Buxton, Cruz and Garver. If Arraez bats .315, I'll be more than pleased. I'll take the under. You can't assume a Cy Young for anyone, including Gerrit Cole, so that's an under.

How about an 0.5 for Sano winning one (or both) of the following:  MVP/HR leader. I'll get the ball rolling on that one with an over!

Over, under, over, under, over.  Now lets hope we have a chance to find out!

Over on all but Cy Young. I want that to happen, but I don't think we have enough of a big name. And if Gerrit Cole stays healthy, the Yankee bias will previal on the "experts" and he will win the Cy Young...

I would dearly love to be wrong about this, but so long as Cole, Verlander, Morton, Giolito, Bieber, et al. are in the league, the odds of a Twin winning the CYA are little better than average, as one out of 15 AL teams.

With this lineup in particular, it would be sad to not see them play. 

But I keep thinking about autumn, and the playoffs, when dominant pitching comes to the fore. As deep and potentially dominating as our lineup is, I'd happily trade some of that for a bit more dominance in the rotation. 

Due to the season being projected to start right at the beginning of North America's   hottest two month stretch, I expect offensive numbers to be off the charts at the outset. 

On top of that, hitters are always in front of the pitchers at the start of the season, further compounding that inflated offense. 

The only wild card here is the ball that MLB puts on the field. Even so, I still expect 10 run averages on games...and may invest on this theory.

As such, here are my prop wagers you have on the board:

1: Buxton 60.5 GP - OVER 

This is pure optimism. The only reason to believe this is that my perception is he largely has missed games at the MLB level due to unproductive play, not to injury. Here's to hoping that unproductive play is a thing of the past.

2: Cruz 21.5 HR - OVER

22 or more is not outlandish and with my inflated offense theory, 21-25 HR's seems reasonable.

3: Arraez .320 BA - OVER

While I think the league will adjust to him, I don't think it will be enough to hold him down that much in an inflated offensive environment.

4: Twins Cy Young Winner - UNDER

Huh? The Twins are built on depth, not high end talent. I hope I am wrong here, but this one seems like the most obvious bet that cannot be even odds.

5: Garver OPS .888 - PUSH (Have you ever even ran a sports book? You can't use an attainable number. You need to go something like .8885 here!!! Just playing bud. I'll take the) OVER

I expect Garver to play 50 or so games at catcher. His approach and swing seem like the kind of combo that is hard to pick apart, since pitchers will have to throw fastballs for strikes at some point. In an inflated offensive environment, I don't see .889 or higher as all that unlikely.

Obviously, if I am wrong about the scoring environment, I'm losing my entire bankroll here...