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  • 3 Trade Packages for the Twins to Consider


    Ted Schwerzler

    The Minnesota Twins are just a couple of weeks from the Major League Baseball Trade Deadline. Needing to get better before that point, they’ll have to look at which pieces they’re willing to swap for new talent. Focusing on the rotation and bullpen, they have more than a few options to consider.

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    Looking at teams that could consider being sellers, I came up with 49 names as part of a Trade Deadline Manifesto. Any number of those players could be had, and there will be plenty of buyers looking to acquire their talents. Although Minnesota could use a bat, and now with the injury to Ryan Jeffers, some catching help, the focus should still be on the mound.

    Using Baseball Trade Values in an attempt to build some realistic packages, here’s a trio of options for Minnesota to consider. Working from a starter to a package and finally just bullpen help, you decide if the juice is worth the squeeze on any of these swaps.

    Minnesota Twins get: Frankie Montas
    Oakland Athletics get: Spencer Steer, Matt Canterino, Steven Hajjar, Marco Raya

    Arguably the most discussed name on the open market, Montas’ value is a complete question mark right now due to his health. If the shoulder isn’t serious, he’s going to be moved and Oakland should command a haul. He’s probably not quite the level of Luis Castillo, but that could help Minnesota’s chances to land him. Whatever you make of it, they are currently the betting favorite to do so per Bovada.

    Netting an ace like Montas, who is also under team control through 2023, isn’t going to come cheap. In this scenario, Minnesota would need to part with one of their Futures Game participants in Steer. Canterino is probably a reliever, but he could be an elite one at that. Hajjar is a former 2nd round pick, while Raya was a 4th round pick. Both have started their professional careers on a high note and the early returns look promising. It’s fair to suggest this may still not be enough and that makes the Twins give even greater.

    Minnesota Twins get: Jose Quintana, David Bednar
    Pittsburgh Pirates get: Matt Wallner, David Festa, Aaron Sabato

    This is a tricky swap given the amount of team control Bednar still has to his credit. He’s a reliever and is already 27-years-old, but he also has earned his first All-Star appearance and looks the part of among the best arms on the market. Quintana has thrived for the Pirates and has previously experienced success as a frontline starter. He’s a free agent at the end of the season, but could provide valuable innings down the stretch.

    With Ke’Bryan Hayes and O’Neil Cruz manning the left side of the infield, Pittsburgh may be more inclined to target Wallner from the Twins than Steer. Festa was a 13th round pick out of Seton Hall, but he’s posted a dominant 2.01 ERA across his first 80 2/3 professional innings. The hope for the Pirates on Sabato would be that a change of scenery could help him. He’s flopped hard as a big bat prospect that’s limited to anything beyond first base. This could be an area for additional value to be squeezed from this trade if they are able to make it work. Depending on the market for Bednar, this return could be entirely too light.

    Minnesota Twins get: Daniel Bard
    Colorado Rockies get: Kala’i Rosario, Steven Cruz

    This is the type of deal Minnesota should have plenty of ammunition for. They need help in the bullpen, so any amount of relievers on deals that expire this season make sense. Bard is 37-years-old and his journey back to the big leagues is well documented. The 2.02 ERA and 20 saves has him looking like one of the best closers on the market. Pairing Bard at the back of the bullpen with Jhoan Duran would be a nice come-up for Minnesota.

    Rosario might be a lot to give up for an aging reliever, but there’s also a ton of volatility with a hitter so young and so strikeout prone. The power is absolutely there, and that would play nicely in Colorado, but it’s hard to project if he’ll ever make enough contact for it to matter. Cruz has one of the biggest fastballs in Minnesota’s system, but command has been a problem. He’s 23-years-old and at Double-A, so there’s still time for someone to make it work.

    What do you think? Are you in on any of these trades? Is there a prospect that is completely hands off for you?

     

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    Definitely would not do that trade for Montas.  Berrios had a much longer track record than Montas at this time last year, with the same amount of remaining control, and did not require that level of package to get from a team that ostensibly was going to try and compete the following year.  18 seasons of team control in exchange for 1.5 seasons seems like not a great deal, especially considering the bullpen is much more of an issue than the rotation. 

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    Three thoughts.  First, with Montas, it all depends on how he does in his next two outings to make sure his shoulder is fine.  If it is, I would do that trade but I don't think it is enough.  Remember, Martin was a top 10 guy in MLB at the time of the trade and SWR was highly rated as well.  I think they would want more, especially given the paucity of starting pitching available.  Second, Pittsburg will also want much more for Bednar given the years of control.  I am not keen on Quintana as I think if we add a starting pitcher it needs to be a difference maker like Castillo or Montas.  Quintana doesn't move the needle much at all.  Finally, I would take Bard in a heartbeat and I don't think the cost would be very high given he is on an expiring contract.

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    7 hours ago, ToriiRules!! said:

    Ya those first two are the most unrealistic trade scenarios I’ve seen!!! That’s way too much for a year and a half of montas who is barely healthy right now… and not near enough for Pittsburgh to accept for Bednard.

    Actually, getting Montas without giving up one (or more) of Larnach, Kiriloff, Miranda or Balazovic is a steal.    Doubt the A's would bite though.

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    9 hours ago, Cap'n Piranha said:

    Definitely would not do that trade for Montas.  Berrios had a much longer track record than Montas at this time last year, with the same amount of remaining control, and did not require that level of package to get from a team that ostensibly was going to try and compete the following year.  18 seasons of team control in exchange for 1.5 seasons seems like not a great deal, especially considering the bullpen is much more of an issue than the rotation. 

    And Berrios was healthy.  I could see Speer and one of the others but only if Montas is deemed healthy by someone other than Falvine looking at the medicals the Giants, er, sorry, the Athletics provide.  Also, is Montas domestically docile?  Only asking because it would be nice if someone, anyone, asked that question when acquiring a player.

    Okay, I'm a little jaded from other times Falvey has tried to add help.

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    First off trade values include subjective grades on an imperfect science/ It does not legitimize anything 

     

    Trade for Montas only makes sense if the pitchers are all future relievers. That is a pessimistic view on things Maybe the prospect sites don’t like Steer. Unbanked and in AAA. Low trade value

    Trade value people have a value for Bednar, so does the Pirates. Guess which one is more accurate for assessing if a trade is accurate

    By history of trades for relievers like Bard Cruz and a lottery ticket would be enough

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    I do the Montas trade to get us an Ace to lead the rotation.  Montas is a superior pitcher to Berrios.  Remember, we were always "waiting" for Berrios to break out and be that #1 and he never quite made it.  He was good but not great.  Montas has been great for 3 years running.  He has arrived as an Ace.  I would try to add A.J. Puk to the deal to further fortify our BP.  Puk is finally healthy, is very affordable according to BBTV's and is left-handed.  I give a little more to have him added. 

    I too think we'd need to give up more in the Bednar/Quintana deal and I'm not comfortable stretching THAT much for those two.  But I WOULD do the Bard deal.  So if you added Montas, Puk and Bard, then Alcala as well and subtracted 4 arms that have been underperforming you would have a much better pitching staff going forward in the 2nd half.  

    And I think the Twins NEED to do something like these two deals or Cleveland or Chicago could very well pass us up and we'd be on the outside looking in at the playoffs.  We had a chance to really put our boot on the necks of the White Sox and Guardians and our BP let us down.  Multiple times.  We're in for a real dogfight in the second half of the season.  

    P.S.  Buxton should have been All Star Game MVP.  He had the "Game Winning Hit."  If what he did and Stanton did was reversed, I'm still not sure Buxton overcomes the East Coast Bias and wins it.  But he should have.  

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    I honestly don’t think they should make any trade that is solely about 2022. They don’t have it this year. That has become really clear. Why sell off any long term assets, especially if they aren’t at peak value, just to squeak into the playoffs. I personally think they should go the other route and see if Correa would accept a trade anywhere. I don’t think the true contention window is open. Why does another first round flame out matter?

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    It would be hard to find a national writer that sees the Twins as favorites to win the World Series in 2022. A number of comments on Twins Daily have referenced the same basic idea as a means suggesting that Falvey hold his prospects or be very judicious if any trades are made at all. There have been a number of suggestions to trade Kepler and several mentioning Polanco too. A continual trend among many on TD refers to a window and the future. Every comment is our opinion naturally ...

    .... My take - the Twins are in first place which is a goal for many teams and their fans. The Twins have a number of players in their prime and support from emerging young players as well as some solid role guys. This may be the Twins best shot for years. Next year baseball will introduce a balanced schedule and you can count on all of Kansas City, Detroit, and Cleveland to be better. If not now, it is maybe never. Thus, it makes sense to make an attempt now. It may not be possible to get the help wanted for the pitching staff using prospects because other teams may not have any interest, but Falvey needs to throw out a pile of querries. It doesn't make any sense to trade from the MLB roster (I include Lewis), unless we are talking about pitchers we seek to replace with additions via trade, because the loss of regulars just weakens the team. I am in favor of a couple of trades for pitchers.

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    1 hour ago, Rcrose29 said:

    I honestly don’t think they should make any trade that is solely about 2022. They don’t have it this year. That has become really clear. Why sell off any long term assets, especially if they aren’t at peak value, just to squeak into the playoffs. I personally think they should go the other route and see if Correa would accept a trade anywhere. I don’t think the true contention window is open. Why does another first round flame out matter?

    Selling off one of your clubhouse leaders when you're currently in first place is a great way to lose the locker room. Giving up on your players makes it very difficult to keep them come free agent time.

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    2 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    I like the Montas & Bard trade best, they are very doable and needed. Contreras & Robertson (Cubs) trade would be interesting.

    Does it matter that Montas might be injured and potentially useless for the next 1.5 years?  I mean, it mattered to me when they traded for Paddack, which is why I didn't like the trade.

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    17 hours ago, twinstalker said:

    Does it matter that Montas might be injured and potentially useless for the next 1.5 years?  I mean, it mattered to me when they traded for Paddack, which is why I didn't like the trade.

    I was totally against the Paddack trade from the beginning. Paddack had elbow problems for awhile was advised to have tommy john but he opt out for a stem cell treatment. SD tried to push him off on NYM but they looked at him & said no. Montas has only a mild sore shoulder. Of course we can't take their word for it like SD. Montas should be fine but he needs to be looked at carefully. With the minor arm problem we could get some kind of discount. We have time to wait for him to get 100% if indeed it's minor

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