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snap4birds

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Everything posted by snap4birds

  1. snap4birds
    Jedd Gyorko qualifies for that. Sort of. He's mostly 3B/2B lately, but he did have 5 games at SS & 5 at 1B last year. (Plus 1 IP). The Cardinals probably don't have room for both Gyorko & Greg Garcia. Gyorko has the better bat, but Garcia might be a better fit for them at this point.
  2. snap4birds
    Assuming you're referring to Sickels' rankings? He has 21 Twins prospects as B- or higher (including B-/C+ and C+/B-). So far, Sickels rated 7 orgs, and all 7 have more than 10 of these prospects. MIN leads with 21, KC has 18, ATL 14, CIN 13, LA & BOS 12, SEA 11. Sadly, I don't know if we'll get the other orgs as I'm not sure where Sickels will end up. But I think the depth of the Twins prospects might be overstated a little. I don't think a few B- prospects will bring back much MLB talent. IMHO, of course.
  3. snap4birds
    How much contact do MLB teams have with high school kids, or even college kids, to do this kind of testing? I didn't think they could have any contact other than with the kids' 'family advisor'?
  4. snap4birds
    I saw a story somewhere that Kelly changed his philosophy for the playoffs, stopped throwing his slider, or threw more sliders or something. Anyway, if you look at his playoff stats, that is the kind of guy you want in your bullpen. But is it sustainable over 60 games? With the velocity he has, I would think so. He may have unlocked a key to getting more strikeouts and that would presumably lead to better results. It makes him a little more interesting, but do you pay based on such a SSS?
  5. snap4birds
    Thanks for the link of the minor league free agents. I wonder how many of those guys were Top 100 prospects at some point? (Not counting guys who had MLB careers like Mike Napoli, etc.) Lots of familiar names in that list.
  6. snap4birds
    I'd go the opposite route. I don't know how many open spots there are on the 40 man, but I seem to remember discussions that there could easily be around 8 or so. I'd look at some other teams that have a 40 man bind, and relieve them of some of the guys on their bubble. (Assuming I remembered correctly about the Twins having lots of spots once Belisle, Gimenez, etc are released).
  7. snap4birds
    Here's a look at the ballots from each of our seven voters. Opinions varied greatly on this one. There were five different choices for No. 1, and no player appeared on every list. Seth Stohs: 1) Kyle Gibson Nick Nelson: 1) Kyle Gibson John Bonnes: 1) Kyle Gibson Tom Froemming: 1) Kyle Gibson Cody Christie: 1) Kyle Gibson Steve Lien: 1) Kyle Gibson Ted Schwerzler: 1) Kyle Gibson Was the lead-in to the list for another story? :-)
  8. snap4birds
    Or is it the case that he doesn't have 'lights out' stuff, so he tries to be too fine and catch the corners? I don't watch the games or scout or anything, but I've wondered if that is why Stewart walks so many.
  9. snap4birds
    Not anymore. The Padres have taken guys out of A ball in the past. Allen Cordoba hadn't even appeared in high-A, just rookie league in 2016 and they drafted him, kept him on the ML roster in 2017 and he spent this past year down in A ball. They also drafted Luis Perdomo after his highest level was the FSL (high A). If a team knows it's tanking, and they see someone with promise, what do they have to lose if they have a roster spot open?
  10. snap4birds
    For those of you advocating picking up a 1B/DH through trade or free agency, I think Jose Martinez is an excellent candidate. He is 29 and won't hit free agency for several years, so you get his prime/decline years. He's a very good hitter, with better career splits against RHP so far. His WAR is reduced by his poor fielding at 1B, so he fits better as a DH/RF/1B in that order. He could be acquired pretty cheaply, too. He's a better fit for the AL. The Cardinals have a little roster crunch approaching, so they'd be looking for someone that doesn't have to go on the 40 man for at least one year (https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2018/8/30/17799042/40-spots-40-players). But if you're of the opinion that the Twins shouldn't have a semi-regular DH, then he's not your guy. He's just that bad on defense, apparently.
  11. snap4birds
    It seems like it's harder to get teams to give up good prospects. (Or maybe we're just more aware of their warts now with all the scouting resources/websites.) I used to be impressed to hear a prospect was in BA's top 100, now if they're not top 50 I figure they're pretty questionable. Plus, there is some value to making players earn their salary. Especially with younger players, they need to see that the really successful players work HARD at their craft. If you're just advancing youngsters to the MLB level without them earning the promotion, you're risking them learning the process to reach their ceiling. On the other hand, every game you win could be costing you a spot or 2 in next year's draft, so there is that .
  12. snap4birds
    How many Twins will be in the All Star game? Berrios? Rosario? Escobar? A good team has at least 5 candidates producing like these 3. 2 of these candidates are surprising to me. If Buxton and Sano aren't in this list at this time next year, there are going to be a lot more surprises needed for the Twins to compete. It's a lot easier to fill in with guys like Odorizzi, Rodney, Jaime Garcia, etc. when you have a few studs to carry the heavy load.
  13. snap4birds
    Thanks for the explanation on that....I was confused by that before on a different player.
  14. snap4birds
    I wonder how long Sano has to stay in the minors before his free agency is pushed back a year? Baseball-reference says he has 2.095 years of service as of 1/2018. I don't know the intricacies of how that is calculated (180 days = a full year so he had 2 years and 17 days at the beginning of the year???).
  15. snap4birds
    I hate to nitpick, but Wacha went 19th overall, not in the 20's. But I'm seeing some comparisons between him & Kowar. Wacha supposedly fell because he had a limited repertoire, I believe the same as Kowar-fastball/changeup. And I lied. I LOVE to nitpick :-).
  16. snap4birds
    ESPN had an article over the winter that said the Twins averaged over 6 runs per game over that same time period. The article stated that rate is basically unsustainable, so expect some regression. Boy were they right. Now I expect some regression the other way. Dozier will heat up. Polanco will hit when he gets back, Kepler will improve against RHP (but probably drop some against LHP but that is OK since there are more RHP), and if Buxton ever gets healthy there is no way he can be as bad as he has been. You get some of the table-setters on base more often and then the middle of the lineup finds it a lot easier. The only question is, when does the change start? If it's not until August again it might be too late.
  17. snap4birds
    OK, that's true. But do you think MLB teams have figured out some way of valuing those draft picks? I'd say if your team hasn't done so, they're negligent.
  18. snap4birds
    I think it's legitimate to look at the #74 picks to gauge the value of the pick. NFL teams have a whole table where they value every pick, it's based on the value of the picks in previous years. Of course, there is no perfect system. But if you look at past 74 picks, you get a good approximation of what is available. If you feel this year's draft is a strong draft, maybe you'd look at the past #71 picks or whatever. Anyway, no one mentioned that Akil Baddoo was a #74 pick. If the Twins had included Baddoo instead of the pick, the pitchforks and torches would be out right now..... We'll never know who the Twins would have picked at that spot, or if they would have used some of the bonus money on another pick or whatever. The Twins system is pretty deep right now, if they were bottom of the league and traded away a pick, that would be more concerning.
  19. snap4birds
    I'm a Cardinal fan. My impression of him is that he is what they called back in the day "a red a$$". He's a bulldog that doesn't like to miss a start or come out of the game if he thinks he's still throwing well. I think it's good to have a guy like that going out there every 5th day. I'm kind of shocked that he's struggled so much. He's not an ace/#1, but he's a professional pitcher.
  20. snap4birds
    Entitling the article "Fernandomania" reminded me of Fernando Valenzuela bursting on the baseball scene back in the 80's. Man, I thought he was headed straight to Cooperstown. Let's hope Fernando Romero's success lasts a little longer.
  21. snap4birds
    Supposedly, there was some concern over the number of innings Reed logged the past couple years (77 & 76) that contributed to a lack of options for him last winter. I'm no expert on how many innings a guy should throw, but there are only about 6 or 7 who threw 75 or more in '16 and '17. I think the Twins should be very careful about overusing him.
  22. snap4birds
    Addison Russell/Addison Reed????
  23. snap4birds
    Jaime gets $8 million this year, plus a $2 million buyout if they don't pick up the option. So $10 mil guaranteed. If they pick up the option for 2019, he gets $18 mil guaranteed. Plus, up to $2 million per year in bonuses. Depending on the details of the 2/20 offer, Garcia could even earn more $ than what the Twins offered Lynn. Somehow Garcia wrangled a pretty nice contract in this weird free-agent season. Lance Lynn, Arrieta, Cobb, etc. should hire his agent. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/22457044/toronto-blue-jays-sign-lefty-jaime-garcia-1-year-contract
  24. snap4birds
    Grossman is a switch hitter with better splits as a RH batter.
  25. snap4birds
    I was wondering how a pitcher with 143 IP, 117 hits allowed, 127 KO's could have a 0 bWAR. I like the 'new' stats, but don't always understand how they are calculated. So from reading the comments to this point, I'm guessing Odorizzi had a 0 bWAR because of a high(ish) walk rate, a high(ish) HR rate, extremely low BABIP, and a high strand rate. I still think it was a great trade, now if they can land Archer or someone at the top, Cleveland should be worried. But that can also occur during the season.
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