
snap4birds
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Everything posted by snap4birds
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D-Day is Coming for Twins and Buxton
snap4birds replied to Ted Schwerzler's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Proposed trade to the Astros MLB.COM has a trade proposal for Buxton to the Astros for Twins get: OF Chas McCormick, RHP Forrest Whitley (Astros’ No. 5 prospect), OF Colin Barber (Astros’ No. 7 prospect) -
D-Day is Coming for Twins and Buxton
snap4birds replied to Ted Schwerzler's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Buxton would be a free agent right now if the Twins hadn't kept him in the minors a few years back, right? Would the Twins have given him a QO? If only we could see what that alternate timeline would show (I loved the TV show Community & their alternate timeline episodes). -
2022 Offseason Blueprint: Trades for Flaherty, Manaea
snap4birds commented on Cory Engelhardt's blog entry in Cory Engelhardt's Blog
I'm not sure how BTV calculates those values, but as a Cardinal fan, I can say there is no way they'd trade Flaherty for Arraez. Flaherty produced 5.5 bWAR as a 23 year old and Arraez has 5.9 bWAR in ~2.5 years. The Cardinals won't give him up, he's seen as their young ace. Yes, he was injured, but he came back and pitched at the end of the season so he should be good to go for 2022. Now, if Arraez was a slick fielding SS....... -
Minnesota Twins 2021 MLB Draft Recap
snap4birds replied to Andrew Thares's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
This is something I've wondered about. Are you referring to the MLB rule that a draftee can't be traded for at least one year? I'm not sure they still have that rule, can anyone confirm? TIA- 38 replies
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Minnesota Twins 2021 MLB Draft Recap
snap4birds replied to Andrew Thares's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
One thing I was wondering about was the quote before the draft (from scouting director?) that they would be looking to take hitters early. Then they drafted a pitcher first? Then a SS, but followed by mostly pitchers. It doesn't bother me, I know they aren't really going to reveal their strategy, for obvious reasons. It just makes me think, never trust an interview with a coach/manager/GM. I don't think any Twins fan will complain too much about them focusing on pitchers.- 38 replies
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Sounds kinda like Jake Cave for Luis Gil ?. To me, the overall tone of the article was whether or not you trust the Twins front office to make good trades at the deadline this year (based on previous years results). I think in the last few years there were people on here that felt the Twins had fleeced the Diamondbacks, etc. I'm not sure anyone got fleeced.
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Report: Twins To Sign LHP J.A. Happ
snap4birds replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Twins could always acquire someone in July to fit above him in the rotation, if they're in playoff position. So I wonder if that's what the FO is doing here, trying to shore up the rotation and see if they can bring in someone with a bigger impact possibility at a lower cost than now (whether that's trading cost or $ cost). -
Why Did the Twins Let Liam Hendriks Go?
snap4birds replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That story on the Angels clubhouse guy was really interesting. Said that some teams (Astros, of course) were altering the rosin bags in an attempt to improve spin rates. I wonder if Liam's improvement was related to a an improved spin rate? -
The Twins Worst Trades: Tom Brunansky
snap4birds replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Meh. Looking at the bWAR from these players after the trade, they each produced 1.5 for their new team in 1988. Next year, Herr was traded away, Bruno produced 1.7 bWAR, then -.5 in 1990 before they traded him for Lee Smith (over 4 WAR the next 3 years). If that's your 'worst move ever' your organization has an exceptional track record for trades. -
I haven't looked much. This https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2020-mlb-undrafted-free-agent-tracker-agreements-for-all-30-teams/ is free and still being updated. They indicate if someone was on one of their lists (top 500 going into draft, top unsigned seniors, etc.). Makes it look like KC is killing it in this phase.
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Twins Daily 2020 Top Prospects: #6 Jhoan Duran
snap4birds replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
How about a top 100 ranking right now? Eric Longenhagen just released his top 100 on Fangraphs. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2020-top-100-prospects/ Duran comes in at 63.- 23 replies
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Front Page: Making a Mega Deal for the Twins
snap4birds replied to Ted Schwerzler's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Ummm, Wade Miley just signed with the Reds.....assume you mean Wade Davis who has one year at $17 million with an option/$1 million buyout left. -
I think if you gave umps 4 seconds to think about a pitch, they'd get more ball/strike calls correct. They give an immediate call that allows everyone to react. This comes into play on steals, dropped 3rd strikes, etc. If they get that 4 seconds down to less than a second, I'm on board. (I haven't read all the articles....I'm assuming the current system provides a ball/strike call in less than a second?)
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If you take a look at that 2013 draft, there really wasn't a lot of talent available. Kind of takes the sting out of Stewart not turning out. There weren't many guys in the 1st round that look like MLB regulars, and 2 of them were drafted before Kohl so the Twins didn't even have a shot at them. Only 4 players drafted 4-31 overall have more than 2 bWAR.
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I hope you waited to the last minute to get them to throw in some free guacamole. Since it's National Avocado Day and all....
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Article: 2019 MLB Draft Day 2 Thread
snap4birds replied to Andrew Thares's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Ummm, there's a column to the left of the draftees name with a Y/N for whether they signed with the drafting team. Baseball America used to have a tracker like this that listed how much they signed for.- 171 replies
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Another option for salaries would be to do something like the NBA. Take a portion of the TV money and assign it to a pool for veteran players. If a player has x years of experience, the first x million dollars come out of the pool. If you're the Twins, you could end up paying a veteran the same as you would a rookie. I think that's how it works for the NBA....but I've been wrong before.
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The Cardinals went through a pretty dismal stretch in the 90's, it turned out to be a great advantage. The new owner (Bill DeWitt) was able to pivot from their old school ways to utilizing analytics. LaRussa and GM Jocketty weren't totally on-board, so it wasn't real smooth, but it eventually paid off. Now that every team is using analytics, I don't know how any of them will have as big of an advantage. I guess we'll know in 5 years or so.....
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Article: Making a Machado Bid
snap4birds replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If 7/175 is accurate, the Twins could top that offer and front-load the first couple years. Then you don't have to worry so much about affording Sano, Buxton, etc. if/when they start producing. I think there might be rules about how much you can front-load (or am I thinking of the NFL???). But something like 30/30/30/25/25/20/20 would come to 180 million, so you could add or subtract a couple million here and there to make it work. -
Article: Sizing Up Cody Allen
snap4birds replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Is there a listing of team revenues by year? (Sorry, I'm too lazy to look.) Do they have 2018 yet? I'm wondering if it reflects the $50 million per team for the Bam Tech sale. And would projections for 2019 drop by ~$50 million per...... -
Article: Rundown: Cruz, Cahill, Soria and Ramos
snap4birds replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Did they kick Texas out of the league? 'Bout time......- 100 replies
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Article: Twins Sign 2B Jonathan Schoop
snap4birds replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Combined with the Cron signing, my impression is the front office is taking half steps. If things work out & several of Cron, Schoop, Sano, Buxton, Kepler have their "Dr. Jekyll" version early in 2019, this could be a team in contention that makes an upgrade in July, trading some of their prospect depth. (Sort of assuming that there will be at minimum a bullpen addition or two yet this offseason.) If most of these guys have their "Mr. Hyde" version in 2019, it will be a selloff at the deadline again. I can't say I really blame them....when I look at the Twins roster I don't see a lot of 'sure things'. There are just so many guys that have question marks. But there are a lot of guys younger than 30. I think several are going to really excel next year. If I had to guess, I'd pick the older ones entering their prime years like Schoop, Kepler, etc. And I think Sano will mash. But I don't think there are enough established producers that it would make sense to go all in. Only 6 guys that reached 2 bWAR last year are on the roster right now, and none reached 4.