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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    ***Moderator Note*** We've been over this before here at TD. Covid is dangerous and real, the vaccine is is needed and in society's best interest. That's not an opinion, it's a fact. This is TD's stance and the owners of the site have no desire for their website to linked to any other crackpot agendas about this very real and serious topic. Stay on topic. If your feelings on the matter cannot be represented due to this stance, sorry, there are plenty of other sites for you to post those takes.
  2. nicksaviking
    But if the Twins are subpar at developing pitchers don't you think they would be compelled to be better than par in free agency to make up for it? Or are the fans expected to just shrug their shoulders and accept that they put in an average effort? Trading for pitchers isn't the same animal as signing free agents either. I don't understand your last point. Trading for Kenta Maeda and Jake Odorizzi are two of the best moves the front office has made.
  3. nicksaviking
    I know there are many who don't like the analytic approach, but I think many around here, if not most, appreciate the attempt at forward thinking. But it's not enough to have that approach, you still have to produce. That's why I keep asking for a distinction between job responsibilities. I like the theoretical game plan. Is it possible that Falvey has instituted a good framework and infrastructure while Thad Levine has botched the execution?
  4. nicksaviking
    I think if Rocco was basing things strictly off numbers, he wouldn't be tentative. Robots are decisive, Rocco isn't. He's winging it even if he doesn't think he is. Agree that Burrows as a starter is a dumb call. Rogers is a lefty though and Colome had a sub 1.00 ERA last year, co-closers wasn't a dumb call to start the year. Arraez is also a one-trick pony slap hitter, he's not the best hitter. Even the much maligned Miguel Sano has almost caught up to him in OPS. These aren't black and white issues, which means there aren't black and white answers. But the decisions you don't like, who is making them? Are you unhappy with what Levine is doing? Or with what Falvey is doing. They need to be distinguished. This isn't some kind of collective automaton regardless of what people want to think. If SPECTRE has a hierarchy and delegated responsibilities, certainly the Twins do as well.
  5. nicksaviking
    I actually don't think they are micromanaging in-game stuff as much as everyone suspects. I think Baldelli THINKS he's following the basic guidelines, but I think there's many situations where he's way off of what the analytics would suggest. I bet there's lots of decisions he makes where the front office just scratches their heads.
  6. nicksaviking
    Is it possible that one of Thad Lavine and Derek Falvey is good at their job and maybe one isn't? I think we really need to know who does what. Who's in charge of negotiating contracts? Who's in charge of prioritizing free agents? Does Deron Johnson have full draft autonomy? I assume not so how's that dynamic work? I assume Falvey is in charge of implementing all the new statistical analysis to the organization? Who is making the decisions about which guys are called up from Rochester? Who's managing the 40-man roster? Who's managing the 26-man roster? Who's managing the payroll? Who's making the call on the coaching staff (and lack of bench coach)? Keeping this stuff vague probably helps insulate them from some blame, but these are two different people with two different jobs, they aren't, you know, actual Twins.
  7. nicksaviking
    Not Stroman, this team needs to be better at missing bats, not worse. But it's these kinds of pitchers that are so often a trap. You have to be sure that they've turned the corner and are going to be a #1. Most of these guys are inconsistent year-to-year and not suited to being a long-term top of the rotation arms. But then they come along and put together a nice stretch prior to becoming free agents and get the teams that can't typically afford the 100M pitchers pay these way more than they're worth. The bottom line is, these guys are more than likely going to be #3 type pitchers but because they end up being the mid market teams prize off season acquisition, they'll be treated like a #1. If you don't already have a #1 and #2 on staff, you're already putting yourself behind the 8 ball matching up against teams that have solid rotations, particularly come playoff time. I mean if you really think Ray or Syndergaard or Gausman or Rodriguez have Scherzer'ed themsleves into a stud pitcher, sure. But the Nolasco/Hughes/Santana situation can't happen again.
  8. nicksaviking
    Good analysis. I actually like that Shoemaker spoke up; seeing former Twins go on to success elsewhere always makes me wish we had local reporters who'd go and ask, "What has changed?" But in this case, Shoemaker was pretty vague and it didn't make a whole lot of sense. As Matthew's article says, it's doubtful the Twins told Shoemaker to groove his fastballs down the middle of the plate, which is clearly his main issue. My guess is if there's an issue, it's the sequencing of pitches that he didn't like. His slider and four-seamer usage is up and his sinker usage is down. This would track too as they cut Martin Perez's sinker usage in half, Kyle Gibson's sinker usage dropped in favor of more four-seamers when the new front office took over and JA Happ's usage of those pitches saw similar changes as well. Of course, if the front office doesn't prefer sinkerballers, perhaps it would be more prudent to not sign them, instead of signing them and then asking them to change?
  9. nicksaviking
    The slider is my favorite pitch, but if it’s acting more like an off speed pitch, it might be best to drop it. Keep him in the rotation though, knock on wood we got a legit starter here.
  10. nicksaviking
    What are the Rangers doing? That looks like an awful trade based on the two minutes I looked at it.
  11. nicksaviking
    Uh, Gant is like an actual decent pitcher.
  12. nicksaviking
    Ok, Gibson’s off the board, Pineda should be next?
  13. nicksaviking
    Plus, we can about guarantee that neither the Twins or the Jays are using Fangraphs to do the player evaluations.
  14. nicksaviking
    Dang, starting to sound like what they were saying about Trea Turner as a prospect. Bummer.
  15. nicksaviking
    Well why stop being bold now, just plug Austin Martin in there. Joking. Mostly.
  16. nicksaviking
    Pineda + a bullpen arm might bring back a decent player instead of two non-descript players.
  17. nicksaviking
    Well it would have been boring to do all obvious predictions. Had to go off scripts somewhere!
  18. nicksaviking
    Yeah, there's just not a ton of value for corner bats and not a ton of value for guys with low on base skills. But I understand why he had value to Twins fans. He was an enjoyable player to watch and his energy was always needed. I still hope for the best for Eddie, definitely one of my favorites from this era.
  19. nicksaviking
    Eddie Rosario got traded for 67-year-old Pablo Sandoval? That's got to sting a bit.
  20. nicksaviking
    OK, just for fun, predictions for the rest of the day: Pineda gets moved within the hour for a surprisingly decent return. Simmons and Robles go for PTBNLs with the Twins eating half of Simmons remaining salary. Donaldson rumors pick up but they fall through at the last minute. Just before the clock strikes zero, the Twins trade Miguel Sano to Boston.
  21. nicksaviking
    That's a bridge too far for me. Buxton has said he's still open to an extension; the front office just needs to swallow their pride and accept that they can't always make deals that are uber-team-friendly.
  22. nicksaviking
    I'm glad the everyone is pretty stoked about Martin, seems like he's a pretty consensus top player. Going straight from college to AA isn't exactly a Twins move. We sure he's not going to be sent back to rookie ball? Is he going to develop any power though? He didn't hit too many out of the park in college either.
  23. nicksaviking
    I'd agree, they spend money but they're also smart with it. Their farm has been great. But of course it got that way because they went and bought the best GM in the league from the poorest team in the league.
  24. nicksaviking
    Yeah might as well hold on to him. If he performs well next year he’d surely see a spike in value. If he doesn’t, well the proposed package coming back isn’t too pretty right now. Though, he might be a good pot sweetener if they move Berrios.
  25. nicksaviking
    Unfortunately not. The rules still allow the team that picks him up to retain his rights until he's reached his service time limit. Really feels like it shouldn't be that way, but that's how it goes. The Twins have pulled that trick a time or two to good benefit. Brandon Kintzler comes to mind.
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