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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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It's interesting for sure, but I have a hard time seeing the Twins giving their two biggest bonuses to two HS pitchers. Not saying I'm against it (depending on who the pitchers are) but I thought all we heard about was risk aversion.
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Even if we can't tell by the ratings, we may be able to determine it based on awards and water cooler attention. AMC let Breaking Bad and Mad Men end when the creators said their story had been told in it's entirety. They were still Emmy darlings when they folded up shop. Kudos to AMC for not pushing harder for longer runs. But judging by their current stable of shows, I'd bet they are now conflicted, it's hard to get that kind of qualify consistently. No doubt Netflix has seen that. HoC and OitNB should have already wrapped, but for all I know the creators were also wanting to tell more of the story even if it should have been over.
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Watched episode one late last night. Looks like more of the same of Season 3&4; I'll push on though. Thought they would have announced this would be the final season but I haven't seen anything so I'd guess not. It's going to be interesting to see how Netflix handles its popular shows. As far as I know they haven't had a popular one end on its own accords, only unsuccessful ones have ceased producing new episodes. Will they allow their flagship shows to end while still topical and well made? Like some cable stations. Or will they push the creative team to churn out dreck past its expiration date. Like the networks.
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Article: We Can Rebuild It: Creative Bullpen Fixes
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Or that he presently has a .143 BABIP and there is nearly a 3 run gap between his ERA and xFIP.- 137 replies
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Article: We Can Rebuild It: Creative Bullpen Fixes
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm pretty bullish on 6'0" RH starting pitchers presently. But I understand the concern. His injury history is the only thing that gives me pause with him.- 137 replies
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Article: We Can Rebuild It: Creative Bullpen Fixes
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If people are skeptical about putting Hughes in the pen because they don't want Gibson in the rotation, how about if the Twins do take Nick's suggestion of calling up Romero for the pen, let him get his feet wet as a long man for a month or so and if he doesn't completely fall apart see if they can ease him into the rotation, hopefully allowing for both Hughes and Gibson to move to the pen by the AS break?- 137 replies
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I'll settle for having one come June 11th.
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Article: Will Hunter Greene Haunt The Twins?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Just the word "safer" as it is clearly an indicator of comparison where as "safe" is a generally accepted adjective of clear definition. I know it sounds like symantics but it isn't, in this case it is regularly being used to sway opinion. And to be clear, plenty of people here are using "safer". And honestly, I'm 50/50 on Greene and Wright right now. I was heavily in Greene's camp a few weeks ago. -
Article: Will Hunter Greene Haunt The Twins?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Which still seems misleading to me. When comparing poisons we don't say that cyanide is safe simply because it's possibly less lethal than anthrax. When these pundits use the word 'safe' I'm guessing there are way too many readers jumping to the conclusion that the guy is a near lock to be an average if not quality major leaguer when the likelihood is far from that. -
Article: Will Hunter Greene Haunt The Twins?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree, but the lack of risk communication is universal among all types of prospects. If they were being rational, they wouldn't label anyone as 'safe'. Every player is 'un-safe' and unlikely to be even an average MLB player. So if no one is 'safe' and everyone is a 'risk' we're really just talking about degrees of those terms. -
Article: Will Hunter Greene Haunt The Twins?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
3.5-4.0 is only like a top 40-50 offensive player in the game. Plus WAR gets adjusted backward for 1st basemen. I think I'd shoot for someone with more potential. Plus he'd be a lefty hitting at TF, any power grade is going to have to be reduced significantly. And we're talking about a position that can be filled by just about any player. It's become a position that even if it isn't filled internally can be filled with fairly affordable free agents. -
Article: Will Hunter Greene Haunt The Twins?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Considering McKay's NCAA career BB/9 is 3.19 I'd guess he's no Maddux. Wright is currently and has for his career walked fewer batters. Not that walks are the only factor when it comes to control. -
Article: Will Hunter Greene Haunt The Twins?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd think the odds that either of them become an ace are much less. People like to throw around the "No righthanded HS pitcher has gone 1-1", but that's a bit misleading because only three HS arms of any sort have gone 1-1. Since the draft started 17 pitchers have gone 1-1, I'd say only three were aces which generously includes Garrit Cole and Stephen Strausburg who under most circumstances would probably be considered TBD and David Price who may have finished being useful right when his rookie contract was up. If finding an "Ace" is the goal, you probably really do have to go with the guy with most upside. If it's more important to try to get a guy who won't bust, clearly the college guys make sense, but it's still a long shot. Only 5 pitchers taken 1-1 have managed even a career of 25 WAR. Cole and Strausburg likely some day will make it 7, but tossing out those two plus Aiken and Appel, there have only been 5 of 13 pitchers who have even been barely not disappointing, or 38%. If getting even a "safe" guy is that low of a percentage, I think I'd rather have the guy with the most ceiling. And I'm not saying that's Greene; it might be Wright. Probably not McKay though. -
Article: Keith Law On The Twins Minor Leagues
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I wonder if it has something to do with the unintended organizational reinforcement of traditional Minnesota even-keeled temperament? Buxton and Berrios really appear to be humble and quite young men. I'm sure many of us come from a Midwestern family that worries about meeting others' expectations; we know that can be hard and cause a burden. With their restrained and quite demeanors, they appear like they might be cut from the same cloth as many of the same people that fill the stands at Target Field. Sano, Polanco and Vargas? Those guys always look like they're having a good time. I know the coach telling the kids to "Just go out there and have fun!" is a Little League cliché, but I don't know that it makes it any less beneficial.- 14 replies
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Article: The Scouting Skinny: Kyle Wright
nicksaviking replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If a team was willing to let them do both I'd find value. If it's the old fashioned way where they do one for 6 years, struggle and then transition to the other then I'd think all the service time lost kills the value. -
Yeah, I'd say the record is still up in the air, mostly because they still have over 60 games left against mostly terrible AL Central teams. The Twins (or the Tigers or White Sox or Royals) could end up with a pretty nice record simply because the other teams are so very awful. I too miss May. I was really looking forward to seeing him in the rotation again.
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Good recommendation, I stayed up too late last night and finished this show. I thought it was really good. It was hilariously absurd at times yet it felt much more true to life in terms of what a spy might actually do compared to the action packed Bond and Bourne stuff. It was a strong cohesive story with lots of humor and tension. I'm also a sucker for characters with moral ambiguity and that basically describes every character in the show here. Michael Dorman, the actor playing the main character was really good. I hadn't heard of him before, but I'd guess we'll see him in bigger projects soon. He nailed that role.
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Article: The Scouting Skinny: Brendan McKay
nicksaviking replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No because it's going to end with the last out of game 7 of the World Series when Hunter Greene of the Twins blows a heater by some poor Cub with such velocity that it splits the planet in two. Going out on top baby! Bummer we'll miss the parade though. -
Article: The Scouting Skinny: Brendan McKay
nicksaviking replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So if the front office doesn't pick the guy we want we get to get upset now. If they do pick the guy we want but he busts we get to get upset later? Seems like the only way they get a pass is if they pick the guy we want and it's the right decision. -
Mauer's contract was negotiated by the guy 2 GMs ago, I can't see that causing our new guy to be gun shy. These aren't the same men. And his contract was negotiated at that time because the guy 3 GMs ago (also 1 GM ago) WAS gun shy. Mauer should have been locked up at minimum 1 year earlier than he did and plenty of forward thinking GM's would have done it much, much earlier say about where Sano is at in his career now. If there's any lesson to be learned, it's the longer you wait the more you pay. Or get nothing at all.
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Article: The Scouting Skinny: Brendan McKay
nicksaviking replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
There will be pitchforks if they pick the wrong guy, that's why I propose everyone here picks their preferred player and lists him in their signature. We will then have Brock lock that feature so it will be stamped on our posts until the end of time (or the end of the internet, whichever comes first). Then upon the draft and every day henceforth if our player was not selected by the Twins and he is better than the guy the Twins did select, we may denounce the team for their inferior draft acumen. Everyone who picked an inferior player must keep their trap shut about the draft. -
I was also interested until I checked Fangraphs and saw his average velocity was only 90 MPH. I don't care if he's AA/AAA fodder, just as long as he doesn't somehow leapfrog Melotakis. Heck, I'd rather see Randy Rosario and I'd rather see Jason Wheeler moved from the rotation and into the Twins pen first. Probably David Hurlbut too.