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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. Most important piece of information is missing here. Is this a major league or minor league contract?
  2. Good deal for 2022, as the Twins have money and nothing else to do with it. Could be really horrible if Correa has a bad injury this year and misses (most of) 2023. Best case scenario is probably that he's decent (I wouldn't expect his numbers to match Houston) and still marketable prior to the deadline. Or, of course, that he leads the Twins to a successful playoff run. So the Twins get a good shortstop for one year with a chance to lose all payroll flexibility the next two years. I hate these deals. It's no-lose for Correa but possibly dangerous for the Twins. Would have loved a simple one-year deal.
  3. I think the idea was to extend the Berrios experience until new pitching comes along. They saw a chance to trade one year of Berrios (for us, one year), get good prospect value, give up much less prospect value, and get two years of Berrios. It's actually pretty brilliant, and I do believe this was very foreseeable for them in July, and I'm someone who's not all that thrilled with them in general.
  4. Reds lose this trade because 1) Petty is probably nothing, and 2) they won't use the money save well. If the Reds do win the trade, then they win it BIG time, probably. But assessing it in the now, as all trades need to be assessed (and assessing risk properly), it's a Twins win.
  5. Even if the Twins signed Story, I would reserve judgment. His defense went downhill, and his hitting went downhill, and he was in Colorado. I would be shocked if Story could come close to living up to the salary he's going to get.
  6. Seriously? When we get fat prospect, are we going to excuse it by saying we had David Ortiz? Henriquez is a lottery ticket where the prize is a decent reliever if you defy all odds. That is, he's just another minor league pitcher with a very low ceiling.
  7. No, no you do know have to give to get zero. Three shortstops signed today for $5.5 million or less, all of them pretty equivalent to IKF. You're saying the Twins weren't willing to add this amount to their $90 million payroll and so needed to trade away a decent or, potentially midseason, great asset? Maybe the dumbest thing I've seen the Twins do since trading Wilson Ramos.
  8. Move makes no sense. You just traded an asset for the equivalent of something you could have just as well signed cheaply. That is, they gave up Garver for practically nothing.
  9. You say the lottery will be six teams, then talk about the chances of the 10th. I'll guess that it's the first six draft slots that are determined by the lottery, and all non-playoff teams participate at some level. I also assume the worst record has a bound of the 7th pick (assuming no tanking penalties). This article could probably have more details and be clearer (with examples on the penalties).
  10. There are very few "good" arms right now in the system. Duran and Canterino should probably be rehabbing from TJS right now. Winder's injury has the potential to be much worse (or nothing major). Most of the other pitchers either struggled at some point or dealt with injuries. It's ugly, but it could sort itself out...just not this year, I don't think. Balazovic and Winder both pitching well this year in MLB would be a 95th percentile outcome.
  11. Should we draft Rocker so it can take us years to diagnose his UCL tear as a strain, then try to rehab him for a couple of years until finally having him undergo TJS to lose another couple of years? Yeah, let's do that. Wait until you see how long Canterino and Duran go through this (Duran starting in 2020 actually).
  12. Probably. But the real issue is that the Twins have a shortstop identification problem.
  13. Where's Cesar Tovar, Bobby Darwin, Larry Hisle, Lyman Bostock, WILLIE NORWOOD? Don't get me started on the ones between Norwood and Puckett (praise on high, Rusty Kuntz).
  14. This is just pure optimism based on fandom. If Noah Miller had been taken by another organization, you would have zero reason to believe he'd outdo his general consensus ranking of around 70 prior to being overdrafted by the Twins at 36. The chances he's as good as Greg Gagne are miniscule.
  15. Well, this is the strength of the system...developing this type of pitcher. Draft them, develop them, use them for four years, trade them for hitting, replace them with the next man up. I see this as the hope of the system. If this isn't how it works, the Twins are sunk with this regime. They are missing on scouting and developing bats.
  16. ERod's K rate is downright scary, and it's doubtful he'll be much unless that magically changes. I'd choose a different 3rd prospect.
  17. Holy crap "BP...the industry standard on prospects" is about the silliest line I've ever read. They are closer to if not precisely the industry joke. Not kidding. I mean, many believe Kanye West was the best choice for President, so your statement is probably true in that sense. But BP is not nearly the industry standard and in fact has a difficult time retaining anybody worthy of evaluating prospects. The evaluators there are charged with one mission in ranking prospects: make a splash.
  18. I'll take him but only if the Twin Cities media doesn't do any stories on his issues back in 2006 or whenever. So tired of reading the same stories you could just link to from their last team.
  19. I like the Freeland experiment, pretty much done with the Weaver family, and Odorizzi does little for me but obviously would be better than what they have now. I'm not giving up anybody, really, for any of these guys. I'd probably give them Wander Javier-type value.
  20. If I were ranking #1, I think I'd go with Miranda. That could certainly be wrong, but it's really difficult to speculate anymore that Lewis was anything but a poor pick, and Austin Martin appears to have plenty of issues. I think Miranda gives you a Kirby Puckett-like hitter (in terms of swing rate and contact) with similar power. I think that's being underrated by just about everybody. But I'm not 100% confident in this assessment relative to his competitors. One thing I'm relatively confident about is that Celestino will be better than Noah Miller.
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