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d-mac

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Everything posted by d-mac

  1. I think pitchers throwing harder, plus greater emphasis on pitchers that can get K's has more to do with the increase in K's than batters trying to "muscle up" on every pitch.
  2. Based on his BB/K last year, I'd say his plate discipline is a pretty great "tool".
  3. Exactly. Plouffe has averaged 3 wins the last two seasons. The problem is 3rd base is historically LOADED. Some of the best all around players in the AL are at 3rd. 10 years ago this was probably the opposite.
  4. He's not going to learn plate discipline by bunting, though.
  5. I always thought Hamilton's speed was more highly regarded as a minor leaguer. Sort of Hamilton... then everyone else. Buxton (legit 80 speed) was the top of the everyone else pile.
  6. Billy Hamilton has more than elite speed. He's the second coming of Ricky Henderson. Why is he even in this discussion?
  7. I meant plate appearances. 59 AAA plate appearances is a small sample size. 268 AA plate appearances his half a minor league seasons worth. Both of those came in 2015. Why does being injured in 2014 have to do with rushing him through the upper minors?
  8. Great, step 2 is realizing the flaw in your logic. Buxton could turn out to be one of those players, it happens to top prospects all the time. Baseball is a hard game. This ain't football, chief.
  9. You did not just quote bleacherreport. I can't take you seriously. But in case you were wondering, McCutchen seasoned in the minors with over 550 PA's at AA and over 800 PA's at AAA before he made his debut in 2009, where he immediately started hitting in a crappy Pirates' line-up. Buxton has had a grand total of 271 PA's at AA and 59 at AAA. Not to mention McCutchen walked more and struck out less than Buxton in the minors.
  10. Here are Buxton and Gomez's numbers from their AA seasons: .283/.351/.489-19% K rate. .281/.350/.423- 20% K rate Which one is which? Gomez's first taste of the majors- 139 PA's .232/.288/.304- 19.4% K rate, 5.8% BB rate; 52 wRC+ For comparison Buxton had 138 PA's, hit .209/.250/.326- 31.4% K rate, 4.3% BB rate; wRC+ of 54 The comparison is extremely apt. Maybe the comparison to Gomez is inconvenient to your narrative?
  11. HOOOKAYYY. Buxton had one good game and now he's ready? He's hitting .200/.261/.300 with a 36% K rate against a bunch of AAAA players. In light of his spring and September stats, I'd say his bat is not ready for primetime yet. Just because he's a top prospect in baseball means jacks*** when his weakest tools are contact and pitch recognition. Such a significant portion of this team's success is tied to his success (not to mention all the $ they've spent on them) I'd hate to see the Twins throw it away by tossing him to the wolves before he's ready.
  12. I think what should happen is Buxton starts the year in AAA (he's looked as awful this spring as he did during his cup of coffee) and Sweeney, Arcia, and Santana make the team. Reevaluate in a month. I bet Santana doesn't make it to Memorial Day with the club.
  13. He probably won't ever. What I know about Koreans is that they are extremely polite- it's a big deal in their culture. Because bat flipping is controversial here, he's probably going to shelve it.
  14. I don't think base stealing from occasional pinch running appearance to be all that valuable. Even if we are only talking about 200 PA's, I'd rather have someone with the track record of a .700 OPS hitter vs a .500 OPS hitter. Much more valuable 5-10 steals of second base. Not to mention if Sano is in right, wouldn't we want a defensive replacement for him late in the game?
  15. A. Yes, I think it is imperative for Buxton to get AAA reps. B. I also think Sweeney would be better than Santana, a converted infielder. I'd rather have Buxton skip AAA than have Santana starting on this team for any length of time.
  16. In what world is Mastroianni more valuable than Sweeney? He's a .212/.274/.289 career hitter. Sweeney's worst year (2014) he hit .251/.304/.338, the same year Mastroianni hit .116/.136/.186. Your comparing a replacement level player vs. someone with 8 career WAR. Sweeney's only 6 months older. Obviously, the caveat is that is he healthy? But if he is, what's not to like?
  17. And Buxton was a wRC+54 last year. Your point? Sweeney has a track record of being a solid player. If this team is going to be a contender in 2016 we can't tolerate sub .600 OPS players in the line-up. The risk of Buxton OPS'ing .550 in April and May is a lot higher than it would be for Sweeney.
  18. I know this won't be a popular opinion, but I'm ok with Rosario/Sweeney in LF/CF to start the year while Buxton's bat marinates in AAA. Yes, he was out of baseball last year, but Sweeney is a career .276/.333/.380 (wRC+ 94) career hitter. Plus he's been an above average defender in CF and plus defender in the corner over his career. He'll be a fine place holder for a few months, then when Buxton is ready, a great 4th outfielder and defensive replacement for Sano.
  19. Hicks was rushed. He was not ready. I don't know how any sane person that watched his first two seasons in the majors could come to any other conclusion.
  20. Rosario was a plus defender in LF. But Buxton? SSS, but fielding metrics say no. Nor is it a given that his bat will heat up.
  21. I still think Buxton is not ready for the majors, let me put this in perspective: Player A: .192/.259/.338; wRC+ 62; BB% 7.7; K% 26.8; UZR/150 -11.0; fWar -0.5 Player B: .209/.250/.326; wRC+ 54; BB% 4.3; K% 31.9; UZR/150 -8.4; fWar -0.6 Can you guess who is who? Player A was Aaron Hicks in his debut 2013 season, in which it is now universally agreed upon that he was rushed to the majors too soon. Player B was Buxton's 2015 debut, which I would argue was worse than Hicks' debut season. Buxton cost the Twins nearly as much as Hicks did, but in only 60% of the plate appearances. For those of you say his defense outweighs the liability with the bat, although small sample size, UZR disagrees with you. And for what it's worth, Hicks was a liability in the field in both 2013 and 2014. 2015 was the first year he actually didn't cost us runs in CF. I'd be very wary of throwing Buxton to the sharks before he's ready. Ultimately, it could be a detriment to his development and stunt his bat.
  22. I like this pick up. He has rated as an above average defender at all 3 outfield positions according to fangraphs, plus a career wRC+ or 94 is not bad for a CF with plus defense. I am not confident at all with Buxton as our starting CF out of spring training- he was woefully overmatched last year in his small sample size look. Roll with Sweeny as our starting CF out of spring training so Buxton can get two months worth of AAA PA's would probably be ideal. Sweeny would give us a very quality bench and 4th outfielder option.
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