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Vanimal46

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Everything posted by Vanimal46

  1. Vanimal46
    It’s no secret I’m a proponent of going big signing a SS. But now that I see projected crowd sourced salaries on FanGraphs, I think we will be outbid on AAV and years. Trevor Story (projected 6/$150 on FG) and Javy Baez (4/$80) might be in the realm of possibilities. As far as Seager is concerned, who is my dream scenario, I think he ends up in Yankee pinstripes. We knew they were looking for SS at the trade deadline… That sweet LH swing with that short RF porch is a match made in heaven.
  2. Vanimal46
    Makes me wonder who he thinks we’ll sign in the top 25 overall. I suppose Eduardo Rodriguez is a good guess? I just don’t see the Twins going above and beyond to get Ray or Stroman. Also, Jon Gray’s projected contract from Ben and the crowd source looks quite appealing…
  3. Vanimal46
    My dream is to sign any of the top 5 SS free agents - knowing full well that the budget remaining for pitching will suffer. Please take advantage of this elite class.
  4. Vanimal46
    Just when it looked like things were turning around, #20 in the college football playoff rankings, they lay an egg against a bad Illinois team.
  5. Vanimal46
    Molina, Posey, and Mauer are unquestionably the top catchers in baseball that we’ve seen in the last 20 years. All 3 should be represented in the HOF. Molina for his iron man longevity at the position, and the latter 2 for their utter dominance for multiple years.
  6. Vanimal46
    Who would have guessed Yadi Molina would stick around longer than Buster Posey? Whether Posey ends up in the HOF or not, he’s one of the top 3 all time catchers in the last 20 years. Cheers to an excellent career!
  7. Vanimal46
    Decent dart throw. I am guessing he’ll go through the waiver wire process again and compete for a bullpen spot in spring training.
  8. Vanimal46
    I said in the reload, not rebuild article that I am out on Rodon completely. He’s going to get a crazy multi year offer, and my offer will be insulting compared to the others he receives. Syndergaard will probably get offers over $100 million and I don’t think one of them will be from the Twins. If he only wants a 1 year deal for a better chance at crazy money, I am not sure why he would leave the Mets.
  9. Vanimal46
    I may be on an island with this take, but I am totally out on Rodon. He was absolutely electric to begin the season, then tapered off towards the end of the season. Didn’t eclipse more than 5 innings after his start on July 18th. And was skipped a couple of times because of arm fatigue and shoulder issues. Of course, that is expected when he missed basically the last 2 seasons with arm injuries. He’s just not someone I’m comfortable handing a large multi year contract to.
  10. Vanimal46
    It will be wise to trade one of Arraez or Polanco this winter so the other can handle 2B duties full time. Out of the 2, I prefer trading away Arraez. Though an argument can be made that Polanco is at his peak value and won’t improve more than what we saw last season.
  11. Vanimal46
    Welcome aboard @Dave Overlund! As far as the venue was concerned, it was a dump. You could smell that stale air trapped in the building since 1982, the trough in the restroom was a mess, not to mention the stadium was configured better for football than baseball. With all that being said, the Twins had a definite home field advantage in that place. We were more aware of the weird bounces a ball would take off the Astro turf. Our players didn’t lose the ball in the white Teflon roof as much as opposing players. Target Field is a massive upgrade for the Twins, and so is US Bank Stadium for the Vikings. If there’s anything I miss from the dome days, it’s Hormel Hotdog night!
  12. Vanimal46
    The trade hurt emotionally, no doubt. It’s also going to hurt financially. Because now we are looking at pitchers that are his caliber, maybe slightly better for double the price of his last arbitration year. Martin better be a stud to make it worthwhile.
  13. Vanimal46
    This article drives home the point that trading away Berrios really hurts… It hurts the budget, and the ability to be strong contenders. We may be desperate for pitching, but I hope we’re not that desperate to spend more than $20 million AAV for any of these guys. Allocating 15% of the payroll to someone who could easily have a down season or blow out their arm is a risky proposition.
  14. Vanimal46
    Can’t tell if you’re being serious or sarcastic. There are plenty of buy low success stories in recent years. Odorizzi, Pineda, Hill, Clippard, Thielbar, Wisler, Harper…
  15. Vanimal46
    This is a much needed reminder that playoff baseball is the biggest crapshoot of the 4 major US sports. You never know who will be the unsung hero to carry you to a WS berth. Twins fans shouldn’t be surprised to hear that Rosario got red hot for 2 weeks. We’ve seen it countless times during his tenure with Minnesota.
  16. Vanimal46
    I’m going to sound like a broken record over the next few months. I don’t believe the Twins will pay big money for pitching. I think about the organization’s philosophy to build from within… Falvey and Levine weren’t hired to hand out massive contracts to pitchers. Not even a 1 year pact to someone like Verlander. I need to see it first. Besides that, there’s a lot to like about your plan. And of course, things I don’t like. Jon Gray is a solid target. He’ll certainly be in my plan as well. 3 years is no issue at all. If there’s a bidding war, my walk away price is $15 million AAV. I can see us making a trade to fill a slot in the rotation. Kepler, Larnach, Garver, and Arraez are all in consideration to make that happen. Ending up with Galvis when there are 5 great to elite SS free agents will be a tough pill to swallow. I really hope we make a run at one of Story, Correa, Baez, Semien, or Seager. Unless the new CBA revamps everything we know about baseball contracts and control, I doubt we’ll see a talented position group like this hit free agency in the same year. I like that you didn’t allocate a ton of money to the bullpen. I’m in agreement with you being skeptical about spending a bunch of money at this position. Nerris is a fine addition. Philly has a knack for ruining bullpen arms. Maybe the change of scenery does wonders for him.
  17. Vanimal46
    I’m opting out on spending medium to big money for relievers. They are the most fickle position in baseball. Kings of SSS. I would much rather go cheap in the pen and allocate the budget to a stud SS or SP.
  18. Vanimal46
    He was 37 years old in 2011. And got worse through his mid 40s. What a bold and brave take.
  19. Vanimal46
    I concur 100%. Promote @Andrew Mahlketo the front page of TD!
  20. Vanimal46
    This is an excellent, well thought out article about his potential contract extension. Well done! The AAV doesn’t scare me. Neither does the incentives to be honest. It’s the number of years that terrifies me. This negotiation is one of the most unique discussions in MLB history. There’s frankly very few, if any (I can’t think of one) examples in the past with players who have only played 100+ games once in their controllable years with a team. I’m glad my employment is not in consideration making this decision. If we end up extending him through his mid 30s, we have to be very confident his newly found power is sustainable. Otherwise, halfway through that contract he’ll become an anchor in the organization instead of the beaming light of hope he is today. If I were Derek Falvey, I would try like hell to make that extension 5 years or less. I’m way more comfortable with the potential of losing him at 32/33, rather than being contractually obligated to him through 35.
  21. Vanimal46
    Love it. I’m pretty much in alignment with you with this plan. We need to sign one of the premiere SS free agents long term and let the chips fall later with Martin and Lewis. I think you’re selling this roster short to be honest. Looks like a competitive roster that can compete for at least a wild card to me…Massive upgrade at SS, 3 pitchers who can slot ahead of Ober and Ryan. I give up predicting what relievers are going to do. For all I know that cobbled together group is a top 10 or bottom 10 unit. I’m not a huge fan of Arraez at 3B and Rooker in LF, but we have reinforcements who can end up playing at those positions. And there’s room in the budget to acquire help at the trade deadline if we’re above .500.
  22. Vanimal46
    He’s the market inefficiency right now. Batting average for MLB was below .240. If he’s on the trade block, teams will be calling about him, no doubt.
  23. Vanimal46
    Concur. This is also why I want the Twins to go big in the SS FA market so we can lock in an elite solution long term.
  24. Vanimal46
    Signing any of the players listed in the OP should be a top priority. None of the flaws scare me away. If Correa and Seager’s flaw is injury history what does that mean for Buxton? I guess we can keep kidding ourselves that they’ll be in on top pitching FAs even though we have a long history of not paying for pitching. Ervin Santana still holds the coveted record of largest contract we’ve ever paid for a pitcher. 8 years and running!
  25. Vanimal46
    I’m reposting this excellent analysis from @Otto von Ballpark because we’re going to read a narrative about Jax’s success the first time through the order that is not true. “Jax, 1st 5 MLB starts, first time through the order: 5 GS, 4 H, 0 XBH, 0 R, 3 BB, 0 HBP, 11 K Jax, next 9 MLB starts, first time through the order: 9 GS, 12 H, 8 XBH (6 HR), 12 R, 6 BB, 2 HBP, 14 K His 4 relief appearances don't help either, first time through the order: 4 G, 9 H, 3 XBH (2 HR), 5 R, 4 BB, 7 K All told, he had a 5.39 FIP/xFIP the first time through the order this season, 5.10/5.36 after moving into the rotation. Still a fairly small sample, and obviously it can't account for the potential of his stuff playing up in the pen, but it doesn't appear that he has shown any particular first time through the order ability thus far.” Original post here
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