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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    The MacPhail family is quite impressive. Larry, Lee, Andy and Bill, all high up there in the administrator food chains of various teams and/or sport related organizations.
  2. jimmer
    In fairness, Nolan never actually deserved to win the CY. Even the year he finished 2nd to Palmer, Bert should have won.
  3. jimmer
    and some of us aren't from Minnesota, nor live in Minnesota, so we aren't bound to the 'peacefully' part either :-)
  4. jimmer
    That kind of logic/point basically means that whatever the Twins decided is best then we should agree with that. Doesn't leave much room for discussion in places like this even though that's the way it will end up, because they are the deciders. That doesn't actually mean it's the right move and agreeing it's the right move just because they say it is, is a big appeal to authority. IMO, it was a bad idea to sign him the first time and it was an even worse idea to sign him for even more money and more years a second time. Just because they decided it was the right move both times, doesn't mean it was.
  5. jimmer
    That wasn't the scenario presented that I responded to and I'm not sure I'd do that either, but it's better than rolling out a 6 man rotation all year.
  6. jimmer
    They demoted him because they had better pitchers and they likely were only able to trade him to a team desperate for pitching (and for little return) because they, and many, knew how dependent he was on their defense and that park of their. If he was better, they likely could have gotten more for him.
  7. jimmer
    'Gibson's competition was much weaker by March 2014 than May's will be this spring. Pelfrey and Milone if both healthy, Stauffer, the wildcard of Alex Meyer -- that's a lot tougher to beat than the March 2013 versions of Worley and Diamond (both demoted to AAA the previous summer) and Deduno (recent arm surgery, minor league deal previous year, had been removed from the 40-man just over a year prior).' If the 25 year old former first rounder, and high prospect Alex Meyer (who we traded Span for) can't compete and beat the likes of those guys, we have big issues.
  8. jimmer
    We already have a weak rotation as it is. Going to a 6 man rotation would mean less starts for the pitchers who actually deserve to be in a major league rotation right now. Why would we want to, on purpose, take away starts from Hughes and Santana and give them to lesser pitchers? That's like having your best OBP guy batting 9th instead of in the top 3 spots
  9. jimmer
    I think it'd be best for everyone involved to tell the pitchers who is in the rotation and who is not before ST starts and stop trying to sell the pitchers and the fans the idea of there being a position battle.
  10. jimmer
    I'm not sure we'd get anything for Milone. The As ballpark and defense REALLY made him look much better than he is. I agree, though, if we could find a sucker to take him, that'd be great.
  11. jimmer
    I think he did that because his arm was below average and not overly accurate, or do I remember wrong?
  12. jimmer
    My favorite Jacque Jones moments is when he'd lose the ball in the Metrodome roof and just put his arms out looking around wildly, then it'd bounce like 20 feet away. I know that sounds means, but I don't mean it that way. It was just so comical.
  13. jimmer
    I mention 200 IP and 450 PAs because Hughes and Escobar get the benefit of the doubt from so many that their improvements are real and/or sustainable while Plouffe gets nothing but doubt from most on his improved defense. Is it because we have witnessed first hand his poor years and we put more value on those while the other two we've really only had when they were good so we put more value in that? If that's why, is it really fair or accurate? All are short sample sizes. In reality, what those three did last year (and we can add Suzuki in there) are all examples of short sample sizes that can only tell us how those players performed last year. :-)
  14. jimmer
    Indeed. How he did in 226 chances can't give us an accurate description of the kind of defensive player he is overall, just like 55 IP for relievers can't, nor 200 IP, nor 500 PAs. All are short sample sizes. Those can only tell us how that player performed that year. :-)
  15. jimmer
    Fangraphs had his DRS at 10th, so fairly close there. Still, DRS is a cumulative stat and is driven by opportunities. Opportunities helped by not only the player's ability (range) but by the pitching staff giving up batted balls in their direction.. As far as the Fan Scouting, previous performance almost assuredly let their opinion of his fielding in previous years cloud their thinking in regards to performance this year..
  16. jimmer
    I agree he likely isn't. It's normal practice for people who have a good understanding of stats not to base a player's actual abilities off one year's worth of anything especially if he has a decent amount of history. That goes for offense, defense and pitching. I made it clear I wonder if he can maintain that level of defense. Yearly stats only says what a player did that year, does not mean he is always going to be that player. We also need to remember UZR is a comparative stat and that talent at positions fluctuate. Some may think he's just an okay defensive 3B but maybe last year was a down year for defense at 3B so his ranking is artificially higher. But in regards to how he was last year, Fangraphs says he was top 4 defensively for qualifying 3Bs. I don't think any of us using the eye test watch anywhere near enough of other teams games to really say where he ranks against others. And we definitely don't do it with the sole purpose of evaluating a player's defense at a certain position in order to make a comparison to the other 29 players at the same position.
  17. jimmer
    I said 4th based on Plouffe's Fangraphs UZR and DEF rankings last year. not sure he can maintain that, but that's what I used.
  18. jimmer
    How would that average against change if the pitcher pitched for even an average defensive team?
  19. jimmer
    Must admit, when I read the title of this thread, I was expecting something completely different. Something like, 'I predict Vargas to slug over .500 on days that start with the letter T' or something like that :-)
  20. jimmer
    I suppose if you choose to judge defense by errors and fielding %, but having 30 or more different scorekeepers views on what is and isn't an error is too subjective to me, so I find it to be a very unreliable way to judge defense (on top of the sure number of fielding chances that can effect those numbers along with difference in home field surface (turf, grass), etc. Jeter, by errors and fielding %, was a good defensive shortstop. Except that he wasn't a good defensive shortstop at all.
  21. jimmer
    Exactly. Top four defense is better than just okay. As with many of our players who really outperfomed their regular career norms (Hughes, Escobar, Plouffe, Dozier, Suzuki) will they be able to sustain that level while the new people are adjusting to the bigs? Although new, we likely should include Santana in there too.
  22. jimmer
    Fangraphs had Plouffe at 10th in DRS (a counting stat), 6th in range (RZR), and 4th in UZR. He had a very good year in the field.
  23. jimmer
    Nice research! Chipper will get in, Arod likely won't, and Mauer probably should just based on what he's done so far. In the case of Mauer, there were some years that are much better than people think, but because people focus on counting stats too much they under-rate those years. On top of that, between what the perception of what 1Bs need to do and, well, injuries, it could be an issue. Not so long ago, I thought he'd be a first ballot HOFer for sure, now he may end up a borderline guy if that. Before his switch to 1B, I'd hear people state that even with his career BA and OBP, if he didn't reach 3000 hits he wouldn't be in. My response at the times of hearing those, no catcher in MLB history has even reached 2700 and only seven have reach 2000.
  24. jimmer
    I think in reality, the measure of a great GM is his ability to get the most value from his players he can in relation to the amount he spends on them and hopefully that value is enough to make them competitive more years than not. Beane is a great GM regardless of the fact he has zero W Series titles. I think the same can be said of Friedman. I think most owners understand that when 1/3 of the teams in the majors make the post-season tournament, rarely does the best team actually win, and so, in reality, that's probably not the best measure of a GMs performance. I think way too much importance is put on the postseason tournament's ultimate results. It's been pounded into us that it's the most important thing and to the fans, it is. To the players, it probably is. For most owners, I'd say it's about the money, regardless of what they might say, cause they sure won't say it's all about the bottom line. I believe that how a team does over the course of a 162 game season is more indicative of it's talents than how it performs in a one game playoff, a best of five game playoff, or a best of seven game playoff.
  25. jimmer
    'The MLB draft is incredibly difficult to judge or even analyze for more than a decade for various reasons.Top prospects don’t always make it big and there are hidden gems found in late rounds. However, when you have the opportunity to draft second overall in the draft, it is important to get it right.' A somewhat good example of this is that for all the hoopla about having the #1 pick, when Ken Griffey Jr is voted into the HOF next year, he will be the first #1 overall pick to ever make it into the HOF.
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