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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Yeah, he's raw. I think Buxton struggled a bit too at the same age and then flipped a switch. Hopefully he does the same. Here's pipelines current write up on him: Cavaco first started getting attention for his complete tools package at the Angel Elite showcase last fall, where his tremendous raw power particularly stood out. The only question about his offensive profile is how consistently he'll hit to get to that power, as there is some swing and miss to his game. Beyond the bat, Cavaco will show flashes of plus tools across the board. He's clocked sub-four-second times home to first out of the box and he was a plus defender at third, with very good hands, footwork, a plus arm and a willingness to stick his nose in the dirt. His profile took another leap forward when he started showing the ability to play shortstop and that's what the Twins sent him out as during his pro debut in the Gulf Coast League. Because Cavaco hadn't been invited to most of the summer showcase circuit events, there was a lack of track record on him against elite-level competition. That lack of challenge might make for a bumpier transition to pro ball, but there's confidence his tools will translate just fine eventually.
  2. gunnarthor
    Yes, we did.
  3. gunnarthor
    Oh, there is some upside there but also some considerable risk ...
  4. gunnarthor
    So, in 2017 the FO tried to move Dozier, overplayed their hand, planted obvious rumors in the media to try and drive up his trade value, failed and then in July they traded away talent on a team that made the playoffs. The best return was (checks notes) Zack Littel. In 2018, they made a good trade (Odorizzi) and it looks like the Yankees might have fleeced them in the Jake Cave trade (Gil is #4 prospect in Yankees org). They also traded away a draft pick and $ to the Padres to get out of paying Phil Hughes. They made several deadline deals that are too early to judge fairly but the Pressly trade looks bad while Dozier/Escobar look ok. Maybe the FO just isn't good at trading? Maybe ownership is pushing back more on payroll than we know?
  5. gunnarthor
    Maybe one, not the other?
  6. gunnarthor
    I think Graterol and Balazovic would have gotten us Stroman.
  7. gunnarthor
    I think they might make a Zack Duke trade in reverse but nothing that moves the needle. This deadline is another good reminder that the players are winning despite ownership, not because of ownership. Over the last 25+ years, we've seen our FO's forced to keep payroll low. That's why we hired these two guys.
  8. gunnarthor
    In fairness, we have seen the current FO in a playoff situation and they decided to be sellers. Not sure you can be more conservative than that. Let's see how this plays out before we give them credit for things they haven't done.
  9. gunnarthor
    I suspect that he earned his promotion. He's been better in July and has probably figured out some of the mechanics that were affecting him earlier in the season. The team might want to see how he does against AA pitchers and/or getting out of the pitching friendly FSL.
  10. gunnarthor
    It's not a bad trade but it doesn't really move the needle either. But Romo is a solid bullpen option that we should have confidence in. That's not nothing.
  11. gunnarthor
    Anyone investing in foreign stocks or (predominately foreign) funds? Right now, I hold Tata Motors (TTM) and PDS, a drilling company from Canada. Kicking around Siemens (SIEGY), SoftBank (SFTBY), and/or Toyota .
  12. gunnarthor
    Giants can probably do better.
  13. gunnarthor
    That was a pretty impressive win. Listened on the radio and for a while it seemed we were going to beat ourselves.
  14. gunnarthor
    Don't forget the stupid moving to North Carolina saga
  15. gunnarthor
    This feels like it was written by the Twins PR department. Until the Twins show that they'll make significant payroll additions, we should correctly assume they won't. This FO refused to add to a playoff caliber team two years, so, until they do, we should assume they won't. My guess is that the Twins do a few minor moves to bring in bullpen help - maybe even taking on a little salary - and losing some prospects in the 15-30 range but nothing bigger than that. I think we'll hear rumors that the Twins are interested/close to making a big move but it won't pan out.
  16. gunnarthor
    I think this is pretty spot on.
  17. gunnarthor
    International is so hard to follow. Some of us might remember big money guys like Amaurys Minier, Lewin Diaz (until this year, at least) not making it and small quantity signings doing pretty well. Every year around this time, I think we should keep a list of all the players the Twins sign so we can remember how different classes did v. expectations. But I'm too lazy to do it.
  18. gunnarthor
    Kiriloff has a higher obp than I thought he had for all his struggles. That's a pretty good sign.
  19. gunnarthor
    I'd trade for Thor and I would include one of Lewis/Kiriloff but not both. But that might be enough. He's got lots of cheap years of control left so they'll want a Sale like return. Which they won't get but if I was them, I'd start by asking for Lewis, Kiriloff, Rortvedt and Dhuran or such. I'm not sure the Twins would feel comfortable making such a big 'win-now' trade. Also think the Twins should also focus on talented pitchers who have lost their shine but that the Twins might be able to fix - Dylan Bundy is #1 on that list for me.
  20. gunnarthor
    I tend to agree more with Mike on the topics in this thread. Don't overly worry about market up and downs and hold for the longterm, don't daytrade. I personally love large dividend stocks although it does impact your taxes at the end of the year. But if you can afford it, dividend reinvestment can really build up a stock in your portfolio. We've added over 300 shares of WFC over the years just through reinvestment. That adds up. Trust companies that are well run/strong moats or in industries that are required/needed. Put some money in index funds. Make sure you max out your companies 401k and have an IRA that you contribute to to the max before you put money elsewhere. We've had some luck on some smaller companies - Shopify, Roku, Helmrich Payne. But we've never gone all-in on those type of buys. Probably not a good idea but man, I wish I had bought more Shopify.
  21. gunnarthor
    I wasn't impressed with him earlier but looks like he might have turned a corner. Really good sign if he did. Good for him in putting in the work.
  22. gunnarthor
    https://www.investors.com/news/technology/chewy-com-ipo-price-range-raised-before-trading-date/?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo
  23. gunnarthor
    He was surging up the draft boards though.
  24. gunnarthor
    I agree. I think we'll see a handful of promotions after the minor league all-star break and he could be one. I'm sure Diaz will move up as well.
  25. gunnarthor
    HIs line at AA is .305/.335/.542. The league average is .240/.319/.361. He's not walking enough - less than 4% - but his strike out rate doesn't seem too bad in today's game. He has some versatility - the Twins have played him mostly in LF and 2B this year. He'll get a call up next year and he'll be a solid bench player/10th man type for us for several years.
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