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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. I really like how you showed the importance of more numbers to really show his potential value. I will agree, Arraez needs to increase hard contact percent to really become a super star. Many people, who expect regression, point out low hard contact rate compared to very high BABIP, and may would say not sustainable. However, when you point he hardly strikes out or chases bad pitches, and he puts the ball in play a ton, it shows he can sustain the average, in my opinion. I believe many of his not hard hit ball hits may be by design, and not just luck. What do I mean by that? Someone with strike zone and bat control like he has can look at how they are defending him and will put ball where they are leaving holes, combined with pitches. I believe that he looks at defense and then will look for a zone to try to hit the ball there. That is why he takes some pitches down the pipe because he was looking for a different pitch to hit. You can almost see it on his face when he takes one of those like he should have looked for it and drove it. From the little I have seen of him I think Mr. Arraez will start to learn much more how he is being pitched and make adjustments and drive some of the meat balls. Even if he does not and manages to be on OBP of .400 with solid at bats, I will take that. Time will tell how he develops but I expect big things from him.
  2. To me the fact Wade is not on roster says Kepler must be 100% or very close to it. We really do not have much in way of CF depth if Kepler is not 100%. Cave can play it and so can Eddie but both at subpar level, not that Kepler is amazing but he is better than both of them. I would have preferred Wade over Schoop to provide depth to OF, pinch running possibly, and good late game AB if needed. Schoop can provide some pop and decent defense at 2nd when there, but he is about as non-clutch as a player can be.
  3. I 100 percent agree that when Gardy led the team they rolled over against the Yankees and just let the Yankees have their way with the Twins. I do not expect the same under Rocco. Rocco does things like look at stats against players, not just say well he is our guy. Anyone could have managed the Twins like Gardy did, he went on auto and gave no thought at all. Rocco and his team they change things based on data. I was not blaming the umpire for the Twins short comings over the years. I was pointing out fact that things like that will not be a factor anymore either, and they compounded the inept managing of Gardy. The majority of my post was about how the history of the matchups do not have any bearing on this matchup. Other than the few players from the wild-card game couple years ago, who was on the team last time Twins played in a full post season series? Single game play in is not same as best of 5.
  4. The series will be interesting, as both teams have made a few changes since last meeting. I hope the new bullpen for the Twins can get it done, else there will be a lot of late game blow ups that piss me off. At least with instant replay the umps can only give the Yankees so much of an advantage, no calling a ball that is fair by 3 feet foul, or at least it will not stand up to a challenge. I think Rocco will not make the mistakes Gardy always did. There were too many to list, but at least from what I have seen from Rocco he will let his players do what they do. I agree that what happened years ago has no impact on this series. I know national people are big on Yankees, but many are big on Twins too. ESPN have us ranked forth in power rankings for the season. I believe the series will come down to 2 main areas, fielding and hitting with runners in scoring position. If either team gives the other too many extra outs the long ball will catch up to them. Also, if one team leaves runners on base when they have chances, again the other team long ball will catch up to them.
  5. Do the MLB teams have input on where they want players to play? Meaning fact Lewis is in CF is that with input, and/or approval of Twins? I believe there was talk of transition to CF one day, just wondering if that was Twins request, or manager believes different player is better at SS and wants Lewis bat in lineup.
  6. As I am annoyed with not only not running the ball hard out of box, but also trying to go to third after not running hard out of box and making third out at third, something that should never happen, Eddie is who he is. The Twins have preached that all year for players to be them. They are adults and hopefully he will learn from it. He is not a child that needs a time out, he knows he cost the team, and hopefully he learns from it moving forward. I am not surprised he got the start the next day, not because we are short on options, but at this level, what does sitting a guy for a game really teach them they do not already know? If you do not like it, cut him and move on to someone that will hustle 100% of the time, else live with some of his bone head plays.
  7. Great read, on Reed. To me it shows that he is the type of person needed in organizations. He has been stuck in AAA while others have jumped him, and instead of being upset about it, at least showing that he is upset, he gives back to the community he calls home for now. Just like Harmon, and a bit of an aside, my Grandmother personally knew him and would tell amazing stories about him. The best one I remember hearing about Harmon, was that he would sign autographs for every person that waited for him, and when asked why, his response was because without the fans I would not be here to sign autographs and if they will wait for me, the least I can do is sign for them. He also made Twins players change their signature so fans knew who signed their ball, and again because in his mind that may be a huge thing in their lives to get that signature, so why not take a few more seconds and let them be able to read who signed it. Mr. Jake Reed, Harmon would be proud that he is in the Twins organization.
  8. If pen can keep pitching like they have, at least top pen pitchers that is, we should get 2 of 3. For whatever reason the Twins have struggled at home most of the season. Not sure why that is, but hopefully they can turn it around soon. We had big wins in Cleveland, lets not lay an egg against Chicago.
  9. He is not Yelich nor will he be. He is doing very well, and the upside is still there. Part of Yelich power came from changing home parks too. It is possible Max learns to hit balls to all fields more often, but that is something he needs to plan to do. There still not too many OF I would take over Max though. If he could just learn to equal his splits, he always seems to hit one side much better than the other at any given time. Saw other night over last 30 games he is .400 against LH, but only .100 against RH.
  10. I find it interesting the Twins have played 8 more games against teams with above .500 record. The remaining schedules have Cleveland only playing 3 more games against above .500 teams, that Twins do not play as well. Cleveland plays 3 games against Philly. So why the 5 game difference by end of season, who did we play Cleveland did not, or is that stat based on where they were when played them? I do not take much stock in that stat anyways though. The reason is logic would dictate no team has huge success against above .500 teams, because if team A is crushing those teams, then the other teams are less likely they will be above .500 by end of season. Now the Cleveland stat that they crushed 3 teams and have losing record overall against all others is very telling to me. Those are three of worst teams in league. Sure Twins feasted on bottom feeders overall too, but have held own against top teams, even most losses have been close games, from what I remember.
  11. The big question that needs to be answered, will Buxton be healthy enough to swing a bat? He should still make roster for late inning defense and running situations, but if he cannot swing a bat you need five OF in case they go into extras and his spot comes up. If he cannot swing, and he does come up to hit, he will have to bunt and hope to get on, or just stand up there and hope pitcher cannot throw 3 strikes.
  12. After next 9 games we will know much more about where we will fall into playoff picture. I think we will win division, unless Cleveland can take 5 of remaining 6 or all 6, against us. I think we will be road team, but looking at our record that may be a good thing. It really does not matter who we play, most likely if we want to get the ship we will need to beat both Houston and New York. We can beat either, and both have dealt with injuries all year on and off. New York has major pitching problems, but our pitchers did nothing to stop their lineup either. Should be a fun October.
  13. Eddie is who he is, like it or not. You cannot make him any different at this time. He has done a little better, but he will swing at bad pitches and sometimes he will get hits, some times he will not. If you want him to change to Arraez, he will not. If he can get hot in playoffs he can carry the team all the way to the ship. Personally, I do not expect he will be on team long term and will be replaced by one of our many up and coming OF. Our team leads MLB in runs scored, and we are complaining we could have scored more if Eddie would just stay off some bad pitches? How many bad pitches this season has he produced big hits on, did you look at that? I have not, but know in the past I have seen him hit big hits on pitches well out of zone. You have to take good with the bad and accept it. If he knew how to hone his zone he would have by now.
  14. Umm why not call him up? He is not taking space from anyone else, and when you in playoff push it is not about getting new pitchers time it is about winning. If they do not call him up, he will be sitting at home figuring out his off season. What good does that do? At very least he can go in a blow out and not use up someone you want in a close game.
  15. I personally would not give QO. If you want him back work out a contract you expect him to sign. If you go QO, then him and his agent say that is starting offer and will want more, which he will not get, go into offseason with QO over his head and end up Lance Lynn style. Think about it, past Cy Young winners have not got signed because of the QO. So if offered Odo should accept it, but then he may resent team for it and Odo strikes me as one that needs to be in good mood to perform well. Of the three FA to be, I would like to see Twins sign one and it would be Big Mike. He has been most consistant pitcher this year and been getting better as year goes on. I would not want 3 or 4 rookie, near rookie pitchers. Maybe they go out to sign a FA not sure what will be there though. For Odo, I personally would pass though.
  16. First, I am not trying to argue that Lewis is set to be top player around, but there is a reason many outlets have him near top prospect around. Yes, his numbers are not as good as one would hope, but being over 3 years younger than average comp should be considered. Finally, pure numbers does not tell the whole story, and sure the FO and coaches have much more of an idea of how he is doing. Remember Kepler numbers last few years and people were talking platooning him, now he is doing great and no need to platoon. Kepler had some of hardest contact on the team last year, but had very low BABIP compared to average exit velocity. I trust in the Falvene two-headed monster, at least so far.
  17. Did Graterol get put on 40 before September 1? I may be wrong, but believe only those on 40 Man by September 1 are available for playoffs, or does that change with 60 IL changes? Not to look ahead too much, but think off season will be very interesting. We have a lot of MLB ready guys or will be soon, and not enough spots to put them, on the offense side at least. Who gets moved, and for what?
  18. I think May needs to have the approach, throw it until this hit it. I hate when a pitcher is over powering or making a hitter look foolish, then they overthink it and try to throw something different. Happen with Santana, forget the color guy, think it was Morris, but he said on 0-2 throw the FB again, he was over powered, and the curve got hung. When Buxton, and many others, were struggling against the slider low and away swinging every time, I was thinking why would a pitcher ever throw something else? Until the hitter shows they will not chase it, throw it.
  19. I agree. There was a lot of talk about Falvey being part of the Cleveland pitching prospect train, finding diamons in the rough and molding them to good if not great pitchers, I was skeptical that an assistant GM, or what ever his title was in Cleveland, would have all that much impact. However, look at what in just a few years has happened here, so many possible top pitching prospects that seem legit are starting to emerge. Will be interesting to see what happens next couple years with prospect log jam.
  20. I think most people were hard on bullpen because it was largest weakness, however, when compared to others, like this article shows, they are not as bad as people think. Every team has some bad games bullpen wise, it happens, but those are the games most remember, not the games they got the job done just fine.
  21. I think there is a question if you leave off any of the starters and which one? You only need 4 in playoffs at most, and would you want any of them coming out of bullpen? I am a fan of bringing defense and runners to the playoffs for late game moves.
  22. As much as I want him to be an Ace, he really is not a true Ace, only the Twins Ace. He is very good, but I am never thinking when he takes the mound we have this game for sure. In terms of the wins, remember he is going up against normally the best pitcher on the other team, which limits run scored for him typically.
  23. No way is Javier put on 40 after this season. A rebuilding team may try to take him knowing he will struggle a ton, but for a contending team no way do they waste a spot on MLB roster, and I do not think Twins would be willing to use 40 man spot either. The only way this changes is if he plays some winter ball and tears it up.
  24. I was hoping last night he was going to come through, but can't do it every time. It has been very nice to see this change. Lets hope as pitchers adjust, he does as well. I think the biggest thing for Sano was he never failed in his life until getting to majors and then could not figure how to get out of it, despite being coached, but sometimes you need to let players fail their way before they are willing to do it your way.
  25. I wonder how much of Cruz being on team has helped Sano. It may not have done a thing, but Sano's change in swing seems to fit much of what Cruz has done. I am sure Sano was told for years to do what he is doing now, look to hit ball to right center and adjust to offspeed. But sometimes it takes someone else to tell you the same thing for it to sink in. If Cruz has impacted Sano at all, he is worth way more than Twins are paying him, because when healthy Cruz has raked all year. Hope he keeps it up and comes back next year doing same thing.
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