Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

alarp33

Provisional Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,283

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Tutorials & Help

Videos

2023 Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Free Agent & Trade Rumors

Guides & Resources

Minnesota Twins Players Project

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    Again, you are grasping at straws big time. He's not going to go on FSN and say "we're going to be terrible in August and September"
  2. alarp33
    Umm, pretty much everyone? That's usually what happens when you are considered in your prime and hit .269/.349/.522 with 76 home runs and a 128 wRC+ the 2 seasons that proceed this..
  3. alarp33
    Dozier had an 87 wRC+ thru June. His win probability added was worst on the team. He was supposed to be the best player on the team
  4. alarp33
    Just to be clear, as it seems lots are forgetting this. Lynn and Escobar can certainly still be made an offer in November
  5. alarp33
    Who is "they"? You understand the Twins Front office has only been on the job since November 2016? Also, since when does trading 4 expiring contracts and a 29 year old reliever who had 1 year left constitute "rebuild mode"
  6. alarp33
    I think you're looking for a reason to be mad at him and grasping at straws. He got out in front of it and was honest in my opinion. I'm not sure why you need him to come out and say the exact words "were packing it in this season", weren't the 5 trades enough? I found him to be fairly candid and enjoyed hearing about some of the prospects.
  7. alarp33
    I'm curious what exactly you expected him to say? "Yeah Dozier really sucked this year which in turn made our team a non contender and took away any value he may have had" I'm guessing he also woud've been ripped on here by the folks who thought a 7-10 game deficit to Cleveland was nothing had he not spoken publicly
  8. alarp33
    Because you said so?
  9. alarp33
    You think Dozier would’ve turned down a QO??
  10. alarp33
    Tyler Austin?
  11. alarp33
    Yeah I should have put in the qualifier that I didn’t research much, just wasn’t on the one list I checked. At best he was a borderline top 100 guy
  12. alarp33
    That’s fine, I’m just pointing out let’s just call him untouchable then, because he is not bringing back a haul like that. No chance
  13. alarp33
    Sonny Gray was 27, had a higher peak, an extra year of control... and didn’t return a top 100, let alone the 2+ you are asking for. Is he the perfect comp? No, but I don’t know how the Twins would get much more than that. It’s ok to demand a haul, and not trade him if you don’t get it. But let’s stay in reality
  14. alarp33
    This was literally in the quoted section I replied too; "I already know the odds were 8%-12%,"
  15. alarp33
    To be fair, you are ignoring the Fangraphs projection model because the other 2 models on Fangraphs support your narrative more. 1.6% needs to be included if you want to throw out absolutes like "I know the odds were 8-12%"
  16. alarp33
    You are referencing 8% coin flip odds. What does it matter if Presley is on the team or not for those odds? If I'm understanding the coin flip odds correctly, it's not based on player projections or performance. So having Casey Fien or Ryan Presley wouldn't make a difference. The odds that include projections based on the actual roster were 1.2% on the Friday the trade was completed. Please correct me if I'm wrong about the 8% you keep referencing.
  17. alarp33
    Last year the games to be made up were far less, and the team that was being chased was FAR worse
  18. alarp33
    2% is 2%, 2 out of 100. You are intentionally being disingenuous with numbers when you try to say "25%". Presley had 8 "shut down" performances for the Twins this year, and 11 "meltdowns". So because a website compared him to Chapman, Hader or Diaz are you ignoring the actual performance he's provided this year, and his entire career?
  19. alarp33
    I wish I could like this twice.. it's like people have completely forgot how terrible this baseball team has looked the vast majority of the season. I can't believe we're bringing out the pitchforks that a team who hadn't been at .500 since April 22 decided to trade 2 average players, 1 of which was a pending free agent, the other of which received a pretty damn nice return for 1.2 years of service
  20. alarp33
    You keep throwing this number out there like it's super meaningful, without acknowledging the fact that trading Escobar, adding Sano in his place.. trading Pressley, adding Moya in his place, realistically only lowered your 8.4% to what, 5-6%? It did not go from 8.4% to 0.0%
  21. alarp33
    What? Last years team may have out performed their peripherals but they won 85 games, no one has taken that away. This years team may be better than its record indicates, but unfortunately the record is all that matters when determining post season teams. It’s great that you were so impressed by the 4 game winning streak, but all that winning streak did was bring them within 5 games of .500
  22. alarp33
    That was preceeded by a sweep at the hands of the Royals. You can try to put lipstick on a pig all you’d like, but the record and standings don’t lie
  23. alarp33
    I’m sorry I still don’t understand your point. GM’s don’t call each other and ask for “a #4”. Gibson has trade value, largely because he’s pitched well recently and the SP trade market is extremely thin. You’re losing me with this “you demand they talk about him and trade him as a #2”
  24. alarp33
    Again, you are looking solely at his performance this season. I am not. His WAR is higher than Kershaw's this year. His WAR is higher than McCullers, and Carlos Carrasco, Quintana, Hendricks, Price... and the list goes on. Those teams would laugh if you suggested Kyle Gibson was a clear upgrade over their guy
  25. alarp33
    I guess I'm not sure what you're going for here, but his trade value does not equal his stats for this season. If only it were that simple. But GM's will look at age, contract, length of deal, history of performance, etc.
×
×
  • Create New...