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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Doomtints
    Kepler may be young, but he was in the minors for the maximum amount of time and he has now been in the majors for three seasons. Next year will be his sixth year of professional-level baseball. It took him three seasons to figure out rookie ball, but he was very good most of the time after that. Kepler has been a successful player when you consider the incredibly long odds he had to make it to the majors at all. He is a success story. If this is his ceiling, he did pretty well for himself. Not a star, but a capable baseball player. If this is his "ceiling" he will find a place to play for a few years even if the Twins move on. Dependable guys have a place in this sport. If a team is going to choose between a 96 OPS+ player who is 26 and one who is 32, they will chose the 26 year old every time, especially if the younger one can hit a few dingers and play solid defense. Plus, he'll be a hell of a lot cheaper. Kepler is probably the type of players the Rockies brass salivate over. He hits the ball in the air. Make the trade, Twins.
  2. Doomtints
    Ya'lls website jinxed the Twins.
  3. Doomtints
    Tom Kelly didn't suddenly start making silly mistakes when the talent evaporated. In his first year, I once saw Kelly keep a rookie pitcher in for a full inning. The guy was really struggling. But Kelly kept him in because he saw the guy was going to pitch incredibly well in the future. I don't remember which pitcher it was, but he was right -- he became a key pitcher for the Twins. And Kelly didn't just let him deflate out there, Kelly walked out to encourage him to make it through the inning. He did this BEFORE runs scored.
  4. Doomtints
    School was too easy. I breezed through without doing any work, simply acing every test they threw at me. This didn't work in college, mind you. College was a wakeup call, I actually had to work. I got a 32 on the ACT and a 1420 on the SAT, back when the SAT topped off at 1600 (or was it 1500?). We had to pass a standardized test to graduate, and I got one question wrong on it. In my senior year, in one of the classes that I didn't do any work, I needed something like a 92 or 94 on the final exam to pass the course. I got a 98, and I wasn't worried for a second about not passing it. No, I didn't study. If we want to start throwing around GRE scores, then I might be impressed.
  5. Doomtints
    Sure, every manager makes those mistakes. The good ones don't make the mistake a couple of times a week.
  6. Doomtints
    This article makes me think the Twins found a gem. He looks like a good project manager, and good PMs are the best of all worlds. If you can effectively manage without authority and turn chaotic ideas, data, and situations into action, good things happen. http://www.tampabay.com/sports/Rays-give-Rocco-Baldelli-new-title-of-major-league-field-coordinator_162758395
  7. Doomtints
    The last time the Twins hired a manager with experience Gerald Ford was president, so I wouldn't really call this idea taking a chance and trying something new.
  8. Doomtints
    Hrbek was truly exciting in those early days. He was smart, always smiling, and his positive attitude was spreading. It was clear that good things were coming.
  9. Doomtints
    1) Know what a tired pitcher looks like. 2) Know how to play matchups. 3) Put the players recently called up from the minors in the lineup and at their natural position. 4) Communicate with players so there are no unnecessary surprises for them, esp. when the front office has a "lapse" in communication. 5) Know the profile for a leadoff hitter. 6) Coach proactively. If the front office has to step in to solve a problem, you lose that player to the minors, a release, or a trade. This feels all like basic stuff that I shouldn't have to mention. Note that analytics isn't anywhere on this list. If you can't do the basic stuff nothing else matters.
  10. Doomtints
    Emphasis added. Also, keep reading, there's another passage where Kepler is disregarding Bonds' advice.
  11. Doomtints
    The article literally says a famous player coached him AND the Twins coached him, but in the end it was, "Nah, I'm not gonna do any of that, I gotta be me." And the Twins coach accepted that response.... Since he's out of options, the Twins coaches can't make him do anything.
  12. Doomtints
    Coachable eh? Check this out. https://www.twincities.com/2018/03/05/max-kepler-wont-change-his-launch-angle-just-for-homers-sake/ This one is cool too. http://twinsdaily.com/_/minnesota-twins-news/minnesota-twins/max-kepler-looks-to-bonds-for-hitting-inspiration-r5406 Give these a read and let me know if you think no one has yet tried to coach him, then look at his stats again to see the results of said coaching.
  13. Doomtints
    Good pitchers induce weak infield hits and lazy pop flies. So yeah, he's swinging at bad pitches.
  14. Doomtints
    The Twins don't have any "serious problems." They have holes to fill (because players left, not because players suck) and they have a huge wad of cash to do it with. This is the year the front office gets to prove itself. This is what every front office dreams about.
  15. Doomtints
    The level of competition in Germany is pretty good. It's mostly American families who live over there playing baseball, and there are some well-known coaches from the US running the teams. They're not "little league world series" caliber teams, but they're better coached than 80% of the neighborhood teams in the US, and I'm being very generous on the US side with that figure.
  16. Doomtints
    He was very good in the minors and was probably kept down there too long, contributing to his one-dimensional hitting.
  17. Doomtints
    He is swinging at bad pitches. Pitchers are inducing pop flies off of him with regularity.
  18. Doomtints
    Statcast suggests Kepler's hitting is exactly where it should be when considering his K+W+Quality Contact Rates. I would say trade him, but every other GM has access to this information. Good luck. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/expected_statistics Having said that, per this page Mitch Haniger is the next legit big star. Get him on the team, Twins. (And, BTW, it also suggests Jake Cave is due to break out).
  19. Doomtints
    Wouldn't "advanced command of the strike zone" mean getting on base with regularity? He was one of the worst on the team for OBP -- and this year was his personal best. I'm not saying Kepler is a lost cause but I don't understand this line of reasoning. K and W rates mean nothing if they don't get you on base. When looking at Kepler's spray charts, he can literally hit the ball anywhere. He is unique in this regard. The problem is on his fly balls, which he hits a lot of, the hang time is too high. He is basically an outfielder's dream, and this isn't a new problem. How do you coach a guy to stop hitting lazy fly balls? And if pitchers can induce lazy fly balls out of him so often, isn't that as good as striking him out? Pitchers usually win their at-bats v. Kepler.
  20. Doomtints
    As long as the Twins don't dink around with Logan Morrison again, I think 1B will end up OK. 1B is a position they need to fill but this is the easiest job to hire for in all of baseball. (Unless you maybe think Logan Morrison is a good player ... then god help us.)
  21. Doomtints
    Right now it sort of feels like Berrios and Gibson are Scott Baker-types. This isn't terrible but it's rather meh. I have been high on Berrios and I hope he continues to improve, but I'm also rather bored of typing around here that I hope someone on this team will continue to improve. But back to the topic ... yes, these are the guys who have to perform well for the team to have a chance.
  22. Doomtints
    When asked to explain his throwing errors when he was in the minors, Polanco said he likes to throw the ball as hard as he can every time. Wasn't this Eduardo Nunez's problem too?
  23. Doomtints
    I bet he didn't. What you are saying is this conversation happened: "Yelich, I like that guy. He is going to have a 1.000 OPS this year for sure." Of course, no such conversation happened because no one predicts such things. They would be run out of town if they did. The Brewers were looking for consistent a .800 - .850 OPS hitter, which is still cream of the crop, and that's why they gave up what they gave up to get him. So I repeat: No one expected Yelich to do what he did this year. My point still stands: The Brewers had a nice bit of good luck with this trade.
  24. Doomtints
    There is a lot of luck involved. No one expected Yelich to do what he is doing this year. You mention Lorenzo Cain and he's doing well but the #2 is really Jesus Aquilar, with his .890 OPS and 35 home runs. Much of the bullpen and the aforementioned hitters were acquired via trades and free agency, Twins fans.
  25. Doomtints
    Rosario has better defensive numbers than Kirby Puckett. Every player has "gaffes."
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