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Hosken Bombo Disco

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Everything posted by Hosken Bombo Disco

  1. Game 5 of 2002 ALDS was intense, especially the ninth
  2. Yes but that is changing. Baldelli said as much in a recent postgame. “I’m going to use Rogers any time it’s close,” or words to that effect.
  3. I agree more with the first half of your comment. I’m sure there are pitchers out there this deadline with unseen value, beyond the big names. But even those might cost more than a lot of posters here are comfortable.
  4. I think I agree with you and I think I was overstating my case. Maybe I should say make a bet on two of them for the future, and trade one of them here at the deadline.
  5. Come August 1st, I think at least one of Kirilloff, Larnach, or Rooker is in another organization. It’s possible all three are best suited to left field, and they all can’t play there at the same time. I personally think the FO should make a bet on one, and trade the other two.
  6. Oh? Only half joking here, but let me ask, were you posting these thoughts four- six weeks ago?
  7. A solo homer in the first inning of a scoreless game is not high leverage. Last inning, bases loaded, tying run on third, is a situation quite a bit more critical. But I get what you’re saying.
  8. I can’t blame Arraez getting picked off in the fifth inning. It happens. Maybe it shouldn’t, but it does. It was looking like a wild pitch—the ball actually got past the catcher—but then took a funny hop off the umpire and stayed near the plate. Arraez was kind of hung out to dry.. and then maybe tried to do a little acting to save face? Also Cave needs to do two things: not step out of the batters box when offering at the pitch, and then just let the pitch hit your leg. These things are going to happen to all teams.
  9. Just to be clear, the 95.9% was from June 3rd. Today the division is at 84% which is predicting a 5 out of 6 chance. (please no RR jokes here!). I think 84% is still too high. It would be interesting to see how many division leaders with 4 game leads at this point, do go on to win. Or if they get passed up in the standings, or whatever. I think 5 out of 6 might be a touch high (but not much). Anyway I agree the standings are much more likely to remain neck and neck and I do also think the Twins are capable of pulling away again, even if by virtue of Cleveland faltering again at some point. .... Anyone else? I'm genuinely looking for insight into this probability thing John raised, and how FOs might think about it
  10. I've always felt that the postseason probabilities are just another way to interpret the standings. The standings are the standings, and the probabilities are derived from that. Nothing more. I mean, are the Twins still 96% sure to win the division? The Nationals 12.5% chance to grab a Wild Card? So, you play the game and see what happens. Even assuming the front offices have their own proprietary data, using a playoff probability would seem like a poor reason to give up on the season in July with two months left. Maybe not necessarily for the back of NL Wildcard group this year, but for a team chasing down another team for a division lead (like the AL Central the past few seasons), I think so. It just seems misguided and a sleight to the fans. Thoughts?
  11. Disagree completely. Every team goes through these funks. The regular season is six months long, they play nearly every day, plus add spring training and most of February. Keeping an even keel is essential to turning this back around (among other things, and yes they need to start playing better again too).
  12. See bolded. If anything, he might have took Perez out too soon today. caveats: I didn't see the game, and according to the article Perez had a rough go in the 4th and 5th, but it looks like the 6th went well enough, and the bottom of the Mets order was due up in the 7th. Day to day, that's probably the toughest decision a manager has to make. Not always obviously, but day in, day out, is when to give your starter one more batter or one more inning. In general I lean towards "leave 'em in, let 'em work out of it" with the starter, myself. Though with limited catcher visits nowadays maybe that idea should change.
  13. I think Marwin will be in right for the time being. He’s turned into a pretty important piece. Agree about Arraez!
  14. Twins fans dwell on the errors the Twins make, but forget the errors of the other team by the next half inning. The double play by Sano and Garver was pretty good.
  15. Another poster upthread had it right, I think—the smart play is to take off for third, but check part way to see where the throw is going. And on plays like that, I think everyone just assumes Buxton is going to be safe anyway.
  16. In addition to what ashbury said, in contrast to Duffey, what I like about Harper is it looks like he can throw his curve in any count to any location.
  17. I agree completely. Despite the lack of big names in the bullpen and frankly some insanely good luck at times, I think there’s a method to the madness. I think many times the team really does know what will get the opponent’s batters out, and is able to successfully translate that information back to the pitching staff and catchers, and they have been executing well! We are a long way from “attacking the zone” and getting that “first pitch strike” though that 0-1 count, if you can get to it, is still important too, obviously.
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