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Hosken Bombo Disco

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Everything posted by Hosken Bombo Disco

  1. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Pinto got a tough shake. In general terms of just winning ballgames, here was the Twins W-L record when: Pinto caught Hughes: 2-0 Pinto caught Gibson: 1-0 Pinto caught Pelfrey: 2-1 Pinto caught K Johnson: 0-1 Pinto caught Deduno: 3-3 Pinto caught Correia: 0-5 This was all prior to Pinto's being sent back to the minors in June (because supposedly he needed work), after catching in that horrible Sunday afternoon loss to the Astros. #accountability If people say Pinto and Suzuki are about the same defensively, that sounds right to me. I would think Suzuki's job is safe but I think having only the 2 catchers on the 40 man is a good signal that Pinto will be given his due this year and that there will be little to no net dropoff when Pinto catches.
  2. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Loving the tours through history!
  3. Hosken Bombo Disco
    How so? Bobby Cox and Leo Mazzone? Ted Turner & TBS?
  4. Hosken Bombo Disco
    It's certainly a high bar, when your 25th best has two WS titles to his name. Plus bringing a franchise like the Cubs back to relevance.
  5. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I always like to think that MacPhail took over GM duties from... Calvin Griffith.
  6. Hosken Bombo Disco
    MLB defines a fielding chance as a putout, assist, or error. As long as you are building something from the ground up… It might be time to bring the infield single into the equation too. None of the usual counting stats account for this yet, as far as I know. Even better, assign every ground ball to an infielder, as Bill James roughly suggested (I know I read that somewhere).
  7. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Looking forward to this! One slight nit pick (which I'm sure you wrestled with): a top 25 list going back only a dozen years might be depending on a lot of "above average" guys to complete the bottom of the list. Interesting that some GM positions were created in the 1920s (I did not realize that), while owners like Calvin Griffith were still running their own team well into the 70s or even 80s
  8. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Glad you pointed out this distinction Lonestar. I thought the same thing. Maybe it was a another typo. But I will admit I hadn't run across this general way to measure fielding before either. Seems like a nice addition to the data universe. Could be useful. Bravo if you dreamt it up Thrylos.
  9. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I don't like the Chih-Wei Hu = Carlos Silva comparison, because in their strikeout profiles there is no comparison. Even in the low minors Silva never really struck out any more than 6 per 9 innings, and as a Twin his K/9 never even topped 4.0, meanwhile... Hu's K/9 at the same level is around 8.0 and his K% exceeds 20% comfortably. Let's see what Hu does this year, and be prepared to move him up your list if he continues as he has. Again, not knowing anything about him other than what's on the Internets
  10. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I've never seen any of these guys play but your Walker-Balboni comparison caught my eye. So I did some digging on bbref (time on my hands tonight). Assuming Walker starts 2015 in AA, both Steve Balboni and Adam Walker will have begun their first season at AA at age 23. Balboni was in the Yankees system in the early 1980s so these are just general comparisons. Balboni was coming off his age 22 season at A with 584 PA, 26 HR (4.5%) with BB-SO totals of 69-154 (rates of 11.8% and 26.3%) and a .798 OPS. Walker's age 22 season at Fort Myers last year was 555 PA, 25 HR (4.5%) with BB-SO totals of 44-156 (rates of 8.0% and 28.1%) and a .743 OPS. Both are fine; Balboni wins by half a length. However, Balboni's AA season he made nice progress, increasing his walk rate up to 13.4%, increased his HR totals and rate, and hitting for a .301 average and .951 OPS. So these are the numbers Walker will need to post at Chattanooga to keep pace with Balboni. Balboni then spent the next couple seasons back and forth between AAA and MLB before he was traded to the Royals, who as it turns out had a use for him (for all his flaws) in their already very good lineup. The point of all of this is to say that, if "Walker's plate discipline doesn't improve, his ceiling will be Steve Balboni" might be amended to say if Walker's plate discipline finally does improve, then his ceiling will be Balboni. And in further comparison, Balboni's minor league production lagged behind other "all-or-nothing" power type guys I checked, like Jay Buhner and Adam Dunn. So, Walker has a lot of work to do, but I've heard good things about him so am of course pulling for him.
  11. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I always thought Hamburger looked a little raw, though at 27 he certainly has enough seasoning. Think he's heard these jokes before?
  12. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Wow, with you in charge Meyer would reach his innings limit by the end of April
  13. Hosken Bombo Disco
    It's a little outside the box, but a Schafer/Hicks platoon in CF might be ok, with the off day guy used as a late inning pinch runner / outfield substitution. If Hunter has lost as much jump and speed on the bases as in the field, then I'm not sure about him batting at the top. Let this not be the year he also loses his bat speed
  14. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Would love to see Hughes repeat his 2014 performance or Santana repeat his 2008 or 2013 performance, if not this year then next year. And of course Gibson continue to improve. Nolasco seems to top out at an ERA+ of 101, however. Maybe he'll be the pleasant surprise in 2015 and we can flip him for some pocket protectors
  15. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Point taken--sort of. I wouldn't use the phrase "very untrue" to describe the value of an Ace to a WS contender, which is kind of where I see some posters going. I went all the way back to the 2013 season and saw that Lester pitched pretty good in the postseason. San Francisco has three World Series trips in five years with all their own drafted pitchers. Aces like Cain and Lincecum, plus the occasional schmo like Sanchez and Vogelsong who gets hot. They had both. Admitted they also signed Zito. But Bumgarner has pitched like an ace basically every season except his late-2012 fade. He's also the same age as Meyer, fwiw. There may be several ways to assemble a good rotation but I honestly don't believe the Twins new approach of signing average or above average free agents for their age 30 years is the best way, or even close to the best. It's an imperfect science but other teams seem much more willing to fast track a guy who shows promise. If a young guy is pitching well with confidence, maybe that's the right moment to try him in the Major Leagues.
  16. Hosken Bombo Disco
    True, teams with aces can and do flame out (Kershaw) in the postseason. Usually to another team with an ace-like pitcher. A true #1 guy is the closest thing to a magic ingredient for contending, imo. Hughes had a great season, especially measured by xFIP, but Bumgarner is the guy more likely to repeat that type of season over and over. It was my understanding that Meyer had that potential. Santana is nice but no one is calling him a consistent #1.
  17. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I think it was implied that the Twins will not trade for or sign an actual #1 starting pitcher. That guy will have to be developed from within. Also, no rule stating you can have only one. Hughes had a nice season but what a Hughes/Nolasco/Santana rotation will usually get you is something close to average or above average. In other words, mediocrity. Teams that go deep into the playoffs without a #1 are an exception, not the norm. The most recent example I can think of is the 2010-2011 Rangers.
  18. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Agree 100% Why send Meyer back to AAA and risk him being bored and pissed off. Berrios. I think if Berrios should start at AAA and if he dominates his first half dozen starts then get him to the majors. This is the pattern you see in many respected organizations. These other organizations have lots of young pitchers contributing. Twins may be getting into habit of letting pitching prospects languish. I do give them credit on Gibson however.
  19. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Is Chih Wei Hu still in the system?
  20. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Span and/or Revere were traded for a middle reliever?
  21. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I was bought and sold that Span for Meyer was a fantastic deal. Then we traded Revere the following week. That was hailed as a good trade too, if a little risky. I would have thought Ryan was waiting for this moment, when we could all see those trades really start to pay off together!
  22. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I agree that Meyer/May/Berrios will have to be the Ace. Hard to count on Hughes repeating again. I'm willing to give Milone a pass on last year. I'm sure Milone was told to "attack the strike zone" just like everyone else, but without the velocity that's going to be a problem for a guy like him. Having better data on the opponents would help him I think.
  23. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Sure, but last year Pelfrey made it through spring and five starts into the regular season, despite just about everybody on TD pretty clearly believing from the day he was signed that he didn't have the stuff to pitch in a big league rotation. So maybe Pelfrey wasn't blocking Meyer last year, but it turns out he was blocking someone, Kris Johnson even. Blocking happens. I'm not sure Santana will be $15 million better than May or Meyer, so I was ambivalent. Especially if you consider that May and Meyer seem to have a great relationship, and now they are forced to compete against one another for the final spot.. Hunger Games anyone? The Santana signing is maybe not that big a deal to make in the big scheme but fun to argue.
  24. Hosken Bombo Disco
    You and I will just have to disagree that a season in the bullpen is an acceptable place for a good starting pitching prospect. Who has passed the age of 25. Trevor May had a couple of compelling outings last fall and I would have liked to see him take some turns in the rotation. I hope Molitor and Allen do not turn him into a pitch to contact bullpen arm. Even Milone might have been given a shot in ST as a possible "different look" kind of guy for the rotation (and only lefty).
  25. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Great article Nick.
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